Northern Ireland vs Georgia Prediction

Northern Ireland
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Georgia
Windsor Park, Belfast·Sebastian Gishamer 05/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseHighGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Northern Ireland Rest
3 days
Georgia Rest
3 days

Northern Ireland vs Georgia: result, form and history

Northern Ireland and Georgia drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 5 Oct 2026. Northern Ireland had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Georgia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.38
X
30%2.90
2
24%3.30
Double Chance
1X
76%1.33
X2
54%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.19
No
58%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 0.58 = 2.59
Over 1.5
66%1.57
Over 2.5
40%2.79
Over 3.5
23%5.50
Under 1.5
34%2.39
Under 2.5
60%1.45
Under 3.5
77%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.3 = 8.5
Over 8.5
54%2.02
Over 9.5
43%2.56
Over 10.5
32%3.45
Under 8.5
46%1.75
Under 9.5
57%1.42
Under 10.5
68%1.23
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.67
Over 4.5
40%1.97
Under 3.5
41%2.10
Under 4.5
60%1.79

Match Events

18'Giorgi KochorashviliFoul
45'Giorgi Kochorashvili INGeorgiy Tsitaishvili out
65'Ethan Galbraith INBrodie Spencer out
65'Zuriko Davitashvili INGiorgi Chakvetadze out
65'Anzor Mekvabishvili INNodar Lominadze out
74'Gizo Mamageishvili INIrakli Yegoian out
74'Jamie Donley INJosh Magennis out
74'Patrick Kelly INKieran Morrison out
82'Penalty confirmedRuairi McConville
83'Nodar LominadzeFoul
84'Isaac Price(Penalty missed)
86'Irakli YegoianTime wasting
86'Budu Zivzivadze INGeorges Mikautadze out
86'Tom Atcheson INPaddy McNair out
86'Isaac Price INCallum Marshall out
89'Georgiy TsitaishviliFoul

Lineups

Northern Ireland
3-4-2-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Georgia
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Svanadze
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.61
P. Charles7.41P. Charles
Tom Atcheson6.54T. Atcheson
Ruairi McConville7.315R. McConville
C. Brown7.022C. Brown
T. Hume6.35T. Hume
S. Charles7.219S. Charles
E. Galbraith7.17E. Galbraith
J. Devenny6.83J. Devenny
Patrick Kelly6.416P. Kelly
I. Price6.214I. Price
J. Donley6.310J. Donley
G. Mamardashvili8.51G. Mamardashvili
O. Kakabadze7.22O. Kakabadze
S. Sazonov6.820S. Sazonov
L. Dvali7.23L. Dvali
L. Lochoshvili6.84L. Lochoshvili
G. Kochorashvili6.36G. Kochorashvili
A. Mekvabishvili6.614A. Mekvabishvili
G. Mamageishvili6.615G. Mamageishvili
Z. Davitashvili6.59Z. Davitashvili
K. Kvaratskhelia6.37K. Kvaratskhelia
B. Zivzivadze5.911B. Zivzivadze

Northern Ireland Substitutes

12C. Hazard
2T. Devlin
21J. Magennis74'for Jamie Donley6.5
8C. Marshall86'for Isaac Price6.7
17P. McNair86'for Tom Atcheson6.6
13K. Morrison74'for Patrick Kelly6.1
9C. O’Neill
23B. Peacock-Farrell
11P. Smyth
20B. Spencer65'for Ethan Galbraith6.8
6J. Thompson
18E. Toal

Georgia Substitutes

21G. Gagua
18I. Yegoian74'for Gizo Mamageishvili86'6.0
19G. Tsitaishvili45'for Giorgi Kochorashvili89'6.4
22G. Mikautadze86'for Budu Zivzivadze6.2
8N. Lominadze65'for Anzor Mekvabishvili83'6.7
12S. Lobzhanidze
17G. Kvernadze
16S. Kharebashvili
23L. Gugeshashvili
5S. Goglichidze
10G. Chakvetadze65'for Zuriko Davitashvili6.1
13D. Kereselidze

Match Stats

Northern IrelandGeorgia
38%Ball Possession62%
8Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots3
9Fouls14
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
319Total Passes540
253Passes Accurate474
79%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
GeorgiaGeorgia
1523Elo Rating 1514
0.85Attack 0.14
2.72Defense 2.32
39%Hit Rate 0%
11.4Shots per Game 10.7
3.6Shots on Target 3.3
3.6Corners per Game 4.8
1.5Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GeorgiaGeorgia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
GeorgiaGeorgia0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
5W1D4L
02/10/2026
UkraineNorthern Ireland
03
W
28/09/2026
Northern IrelandHungary
00
D
25/09/2026
GeorgiaNorthern Ireland
01
W
08/06/2026
FranceNorthern Ireland
31
L
04/06/2026
Northern IrelandGuinea
10
W
26/03/2026
ItalyNorthern Ireland
20
L
17/11/2025
Northern IrelandLuxembourg
10
W
14/11/2025
SlovakiaNorthern Ireland
10
L
13/10/2025
Northern IrelandGermany
01
L
10/10/2025
Northern IrelandSlovakia
20
W
GeorgiaGeorgia
2W2D6L
02/10/2026
HungaryGeorgia
10
L
28/09/2026
GeorgiaUkraine
00
D
25/09/2026
GeorgiaNorthern Ireland
01
L
05/06/2026
GeorgiaBahrain
20
W
02/06/2026
GeorgiaRomania
11
D
18/11/2025
BulgariaGeorgia
21
L
15/11/2025
GeorgiaSpain
04
L
14/10/2025
TürkiyeGeorgia
41
L
11/10/2025
SpainGeorgia
20
L
07/09/2025
GeorgiaBulgaria
30
W

Referee Profile

Sebastian Gishamer168 matches

4.47Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sebastian Gishamer4.47
Other referees4.41

4.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.41).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland42204:0+48DWDW
2HungaryHungary42113:2+17WWDL
3UkraineUkraine41122:5-34LLDW
4GeorgiaGeorgia40220:2-22DLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland44:08
2HungaryHungary43:27
3UkraineUkraine42:54
4GeorgiaGeorgia40:22
PromotionRelegation

About the Northern Ireland vs Georgia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Northern Ireland and Georgia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Northern Ireland are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Georgia in 4th. League goal record so far: Northern Ireland 4-0, Georgia 0-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Northern Ireland and Georgia have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.