Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction

Motherwell
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Aberdeen
Fir Park, Motherwell 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel65%RiskMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.90
SignalHIGHModel62%RiskMediumGap+11.5%
Motherwell Rest
10 days
Aberdeen Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.84
X
23%3.70
2
15%3.98
Double Chance
1X
85%1.22
X2
38%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.64
No
47%2.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 0.97 = 2.74
Over 1.5
79%1.23
Over 2.5
53%1.73
Over 3.5
32%2.79
Under 1.5
21%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.09
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.1 = 10.4
Over 8.5
65%1.44
Over 9.5
56%1.81
Over 10.5
44%2.27
Under 8.5
35%2.46
Under 9.5
44%1.93
Under 10.5
56%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.62
Over 4.5
31%1.83
Under 3.5
49%2.20
Under 4.5
69%1.83

Match Events

12'Lewis MayoFoul
38'Gavin Molloy
40'Tom SparrowArgument
45'Lewis Mayo INJack Milne out
46'Connor Patrick RonanAssist: Kevin Nisbet
53'Tawanda Maswanhise INSebastian Palmer-Houlden out
53'Jardell Kanga INIbrahim Said out
53'Emmanuel LongeloFoul
63'Afeez Aremu OlalekanFoul
64'Afeez Aremu Olalekan INAlexander Briedl out
67'Regan Charles-Cook INWilly Gabriel Vogt out
68'Joe Hodge INDylan Levitt out
72'Toyosi Olusanya INAyoub Mouloua out
72'Findlay Marshall INStuart Armstrong out
75'Alex·Lowry INEythor Bjørgolfsson out
76'Ayoub MoulouaAssist: Connor Patrick Ronan
76'Ayoub Mouloua
78'Mats Knoester INDaniel Happe out
87'Kevin NisbetAssist: Marius Müller

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-2-2Coach: Alfred Johansson
Aberdeen
5-3-2Coach: S. Robinson
A. Paulsen1A. PaulsenA. Paulsen
T. Sparrow7T. SparrowT. Sparrow
J. Girdwood-Reich3J. Girdwood-ReichJ. Girdwood-Reich
M. Moormann5M. MoormannM. Moormann
M. Emmanuel45M. EmmanuelM. Emmanuel
L. Fadinger8L. FadingerL. Fadinger
J. Hodge71J. HodgeJ. Hodge
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise18T. Jethro MaswanhiseTawanda Jethro Maswanhise
A. Lowry11A. LowryA. Lowry
J. Kanga13J. KangaJ. Kanga
R. Charles-Cook17R. Charles-CookR. Charles-Cook
M. Müller27M. MüllerM. Müller
C. Cadden28C. CaddenC. Cadden
L. Mayo23L. MayoL. Mayo
M. Knoester5M. KnoesterM. Knoester
G. Molloy21G. MolloyG. Molloy
N. Guinness-Walker24N. Guinness-WalkerN. Guinness-Walker
C. Ronan25C. RonanC. Ronan
A. Aremu32A. AremuA. Aremu
F. Marshall40F. MarshallF. Marshall
T. Olusanya20T. OlusanyaT. Olusanya
K. Nisbet15K. NisbetK. Nisbet

Motherwell Substitutes

21M. ConnellyG
63D. LevittM
2S. O'DonnellD
47S. Palmer-HouldenF
19I. SaidF
15E. Björgólfs­sonF
77W. VogtF
20Dylan WilliamsD
4Jamie Knight-LebelD

Aberdeen Substitutes

10A. BriedlM
26D. HappeD
30D. KleinG
22J. MilneD
9A. MoulouaF
31M. NteloF
11Lewis SmithF
17S. ArmstrongM
7Tony YoganeF

Match Stats

MotherwellAberdeen
69%Ball Possession31%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls12
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves5
694Total Passes310
608Passes Accurate228
12Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
AberdeenAberdeen
1668Elo Rating 1549
1.58Attack 0.69
1.06Defense 1.98
23%Hit Rate 14%
13.1Shots per Game 10.1
4.3Shots on Target 2.6
5.2Corners per Game 6.4
1.5Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Motherwell 54%Draw 19%27% Aberdeen
1.86Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Motherwell and Aberdeen have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.86 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.