Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Aberdeen
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen·J. Beaton 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.04
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Aberdeen Rest
2 days
Kilmarnock Rest
2 days

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: the result in context

Aberdeen and Kilmarnock drew 0-0 in the Premiership on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Aberdeen have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Aberdeen tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.7 for Kilmarnock.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.73
X
24%3.85
2
29%4.50
Double Chance
1X
71%1.20
X2
53%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.62
No
45%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.14 = 2.71
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.66
Over 3.5
32%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
48%2.18
Under 3.5
68%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.5 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.30
Over 9.5
54%1.58
Over 10.5
43%1.94
Under 8.5
35%2.90
Under 9.5
46%2.18
Under 10.5
57%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
24%1.80
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
76%1.91

Match Events

36'Christopher CaddenFoul
38'Aaron TshibolaFoul
43'Tom LoweryFoul
45'Kevin Nisbet INToyosi Olusanya out
45'M. Ntelo INAyoub Mouloua out
45'Tony Yogane INMats Knoester out
52'N. McCannDissent
52'Ayoub MoulouaFoul
62'Mats KnoesterFoul
62'Djenairo Daniels INRory McKenzie out
62'Lewis Smith INFindlay Marshall out
74'Nesta Guinness-Walker INGavin Molloy out
75'Lewis MayoFoul
76'Erik Ring INTyreece John-Jules out
82'Aaron Tshibola
84'Greg Kiltie INMark O'Hara out
88'Stuart ArmstrongFoul

Lineups

Aberdeen
4-1-3-2Coach: Stephen Robinson
Kilmarnock
4-1-3-2Coach: Neil McCann
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.54
M. Muller7.627M. Muller
C. Cadden6.128C. Cadden
L. Mayo6.223L. Mayo
D. Happe7.026D. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker6.824N. Guinness-Walker
A. Aremu6.532A. Aremu
L. Smith6.411L. Smith
S. Armstrong7.217S. Armstrong
T. Yogane6.67T. Yogane
M. Ntelo6.631M. Ntelo
K. Nisbet6.515K. Nisbet
M. Stryjek6.61M. Stryjek
J. Brandon6.62J. Brandon
C. McCarthy6.94C. McCarthy
G. Stanger5.914G. Stanger
M. Schjonning-Larsen6.721M. Schjonning-Larsen
A. Tshibola6.436A. Tshibola
G. Kiltie6.311G. Kiltie
T. Lowery6.618T. Lowery
E. Ring7.28E. Ring
D. Daniels6.429D. Daniels
J. Hugill6.39J. Hugill

Aberdeen Substitutes

30D. Klein
5M. Knoester45'for Tony Yogane62'6.7
22J. Milne
18A. Palaversa
21G. Molloy74'for Nesta Guinness-Walker6.8
10A. Briedl
40F. Marshall62'for Lewis Smith6.9
20T. Olusanya45'for Kevin Nisbet6.3
9A. Mouloua45'for M. Ntelo52'6.7

Kilmarnock Substitutes

12C. Ferrie
19J. Meier
3M. Kamara
5M. O'Hara84'for Greg Kiltie6.2
49B. Rice
7R. McKenzie62'for Djenairo Daniels6.8
20N. Clescenco
27I. Owen
10T. John-Jules76'for Erik Ring6.6

Match Stats

AberdeenKilmarnock
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks7
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls13
4Goalkeeper Saves3
468Total Passes381
392Passes Accurate296
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

AberdeenAberdeen
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1544Elo Rating 1486
1.18Attack 1.16
1.54Defense 0.48
19%Hit Rate 19%
16.9Shots per Game 12.2
4.5Shots on Target 2.8
7.0Corners per Game 4.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

Game State Tendencies

AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AberdeenAberdeen6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
KilmarnockKilmarnock4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership25/04/2026
AberdeenKilmarnock
10
Premiership31/01/2026
KilmarnockAberdeen
30
Premiership14/12/2025
AberdeenKilmarnock
21
Premiership29/10/2025
KilmarnockAberdeen
01
Premiership22/02/2025
AberdeenKilmarnock
10
Premiership26/12/2024
KilmarnockAberdeen
40
Premiership25/08/2024
AberdeenKilmarnock
20
FA Cup09/03/2024
AberdeenKilmarnock
31
Premiership24/02/2024
KilmarnockAberdeen
20
Premiership06/12/2023
AberdeenKilmarnock
01

Recent Form

AberdeenAberdeen
7W0D3L
02/09/2026
CelticAberdeen
30
L
30/08/2026
AberdeenRangers
01
L
15/08/2026
AberdeenDundee
30
W
08/08/2026
DundeeAberdeen
20
L
01/08/2026
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
21
W
25/07/2026
AberdeenKelty Hearts
30
W
22/07/2026
Queen of the SouthAberdeen
14
W
18/07/2026
AberdeenQueen's Park
21
W
14/07/2026
Brora RangersAberdeen
02
W
11/07/2026
LinfieldAberdeen
02
W
KilmarnockKilmarnock
5W0D5L
02/09/2026
KilmarnockST Mirren
01
L
29/08/2026
KilmarnockDundee Utd
04
L
14/08/2026
KilmarnockAyr Utd
32
W
09/08/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
15
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
L
25/07/2026
PeterheadKilmarnock
5040
L
21/07/2026
KilmarnockHamilton Academical
10
W
18/07/2026
Elgin CityKilmarnock
01
W
14/07/2026
KilmarnockRaith Rovers
4020
W
04/07/2026
LinfieldKilmarnock
23
W

Referee Profile

J. Beaton231 matches

4.33Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Beaton4.33
Other referees4.06

4.33 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
PromotionRelegation

About the Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aberdeen and Kilmarnock in the Premiership table

Aberdeen and Kilmarnock are close in the Premiership table, 10th and 11th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Aberdeen 12-14, Kilmarnock 13-28. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.