Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Aberdeen
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen· J. Beaton 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.04
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+5.5%
Aberdeen Rest
2 days
Kilmarnock Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.73
X
24%3.85
2
29%4.50
Double Chance
1X
71%1.20
X2
53%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.62
No
45%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.14 = 2.71
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.66
Over 3.5
32%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
48%2.18
Under 3.5
68%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.5 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.30
Over 9.5
54%1.58
Over 10.5
43%1.94
Under 8.5
35%2.90
Under 9.5
46%2.18
Under 10.5
57%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
24%1.80
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
76%1.91

Match Events

36'Christopher CaddenFoul
38'Aaron TshibolaFoul
43'Tom LoweryFoul
45'Kevin Nisbet INToyosi Olusanya out
45'M. Ntelo INAyoub Mouloua out
45'Tony Yogane INMats Knoester out
52'N. McCannDissent
52'Ayoub MoulouaFoul
62'Mats KnoesterFoul
62'Djenairo Daniels INRory McKenzie out
62'Lewis Smith INFindlay Marshall out
74'Nesta Guinness-Walker INGavin Molloy out
75'Lewis MayoFoul
76'Erik Ring INTyreece John-Jules out
82'Aaron Tshibola
84'Greg Kiltie INMark O'Hara out
88'Stuart ArmstrongFoul

Lineups

Aberdeen
4-1-3-2Coach: Stephen Robinson
Kilmarnock
4-1-3-2Coach: Neil McCann
M. Muller27M. MullerM. Muller
C. Cadden28C. CaddenC. Cadden
L. Mayo23L. MayoL. Mayo
D. Happe26D. HappeD. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker24N. Guinness-WalkerN. Guinness-Walker
A. Aremu32A. AremuA. Aremu
L. Smith11L. SmithL. Smith
S. Armstrong17S. ArmstrongS. Armstrong
T. Yogane7T. YoganeT. Yogane
M. Ntelo31M. NteloM. Ntelo
K. Nisbet15K. NisbetK. Nisbet
M. Stryjek1M. StryjekM. Stryjek
J. Brandon2J. BrandonJ. Brandon
C. McCarthy4C. McCarthyC. McCarthy
G. Stanger14G. StangerG. Stanger
M. Schjonning-Larsen21M. Schjonning-LarsenM. Schjonning-Larsen
A. Tshibola36A. TshibolaA. Tshibola
G. Kiltie11G. KiltieG. Kiltie
T. Lowery18T. LoweryT. Lowery
E. Ring8E. RingE. Ring
D. Daniels29D. DanielsD. Daniels
J. Hugill9J. HugillJ. Hugill

Aberdeen Substitutes

30D. KleinG
5M. KnoesterD
22J. MilneD
18A. PalaversaM
21G. MolloyD
10A. BriedlM
40F. MarshallM
20T. OlusanyaF
9A. MoulouaF

Kilmarnock Substitutes

12C. FerrieG
19J. MeierD
3M. KamaraD
5M. O'Hara
49B. RiceM
7R. McKenzieM
20N. ClescencoF
27I. OwenF
10T. John-JulesF

Match Stats

AberdeenKilmarnock
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks7
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls13
4Goalkeeper Saves3
468Total Passes381
392Passes Accurate296
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

AberdeenAberdeen
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1549Elo Rating 1505
0.69Attack 0.69
1.98Defense 1.59
14%Hit Rate 14%
10.1Shots per Game 11.7
2.6Shots on Target 4.2
6.4Corners per Game 6.2
4.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Aberdeen 77%Draw 0%23% Kilmarnock
1.85Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

J. Beaton · 90 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 28% of referees analysed

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Aberdeen and Kilmarnock have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.85 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.