Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Motherwell
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Dundee Utd
Fir Park, Motherwell· C. Scott 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.00
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+5.5%
Motherwell Rest
3 days
Dundee Utd Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.02
X
28%3.60
2
25%3.48
Double Chance
1X
75%1.28
X2
53%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.13 = 2.98
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
17%4.15
Under 2.5
41%2.11
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.60
Over 9.5
49%1.97
Over 10.5
41%2.53
Under 8.5
39%2.19
Under 9.5
51%1.73
Under 10.5
59%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.8 = 2.9
Over 3.5
34%1.54
Over 4.5
18%2.12
Under 3.5
66%2.32
Under 4.5
82%1.62

Match Events

14'Emmanuel AgyeiSerious foul
19'Sebastian Palmer-HouldenAssist: Tom Sparrow
20'abdoulaye yoro INDylan Tait out
35'Sebastian Palmer-HouldenArgument
45'Mehdi Merghem INJesse Randall out
45'Jamie·Knight Lebel INJake Max Girdwood-Reich out
57'Daniel Bennie INNeil Farrugia out
58'Zachary Sapsford INLachlan Rose out
59'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden INEythor Bjørgolfsson out
59'Lukas Fadinger INDylan Levitt out
64'Will Ferry INKevin Ciubotaru out
65'Alex·LowryAssist: Tawanda Maswanhise
67'Dylan LevittAssist: Tawanda Maswanhise
68'Tom Sparrow INStephen O'Donnell out
68'Alex·Lowry INWilly Gabriel Vogt out

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: J. Goodwin
A. Paulsen1A. PaulsenA. Paulsen
T. Sparrow7T. SparrowT. Sparrow
Jamie Knight-Lebel4J. Knight-LebelJamie Knight-Lebel
M. Moormann5M. MoormannM. Moormann
M. Emmanuel45M. EmmanuelM. Emmanuel
J. Hodge71J. HodgeJ. Hodge
L. Fadinger8L. FadingerL. Fadinger
J. Kanga13J. KangaJ. Kanga
A. Lowry11A. LowryA. Lowry
S. Palmer-Houlden47S. Palmer-HouldenS. Palmer-Houlden
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise18T. Jethro MaswanhiseTawanda Jethro Maswanhise
J. Walton1J. WaltonJ. Walton
J. Rawlins23J. RawlinsJ. Rawlins
B. Esselink3B. EsselinkB. Esselink
M. Forbes18M. ForbesM. Forbes
W. Ferry11W. FerryW. Ferry
Panutche Camará8P. CamaráPanutche Camará
E. Agyei12E. AgyeiE. Agyei
Abdoulaye Yoro26A. YoroAbdoulaye Yoro
M. Merghem7M. MerghemM. Merghem
Z. Sapsford9Z. SapsfordZ. Sapsford
D. Bennie77D. BennieD. Bennie

Motherwell Substitutes

15E. Björgólfs­sonF
17R. Charles-CookF
3J. Girdwood-ReichD
63D. LevittM
21M. ConnellyG
2S. O'DonnellD
19I. SaidF
77W. VogtF
20Dylan WilliamsD

Dundee Utd Substitutes

20N. FarrugiaF
4I. IovuD
22D. NaamoD
21J. RandallF
15L. RoseF
10D. TaitM
16L. CameronM
19K. CiubotaruD
30J. AmissahG

Match Stats

MotherwellDundee Utd
60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots2
8Fouls6
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
732Total Passes292
681Passes Accurate234
6Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1668Elo Rating 1525
1.58Attack 1.05
1.06Defense 1.15
23%Hit Rate 19%
13.1Shots per Game 17.3
4.3Shots on Target 5.7
5.2Corners per Game 6.7
1.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Motherwell 61%Draw 23%17% Dundee Utd
2.08Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

C. Scott · 22 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
21.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 12% of referees analysed

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Motherwell and Dundee Utd have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.