Falkirk vs ST Mirren Prediction

Falkirk
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
ST Mirren
Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk·D. Nicolson 01/08/2026
FalkirkFalkirk
0-2
Finished
ST MirrenST Mirren

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseHighGap+4.1%
Falkirk Rest
7 days
ST Mirren Rest
6 days

Falkirk vs ST Mirren: result, form and history

ST Mirren beat Falkirk 2-0 in the Premiership on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.00
X
25%3.57
2
26%3.50
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
51%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.66
No
45%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.17 = 2.78
Over 1.5
77%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.98
Under 1.5
23%3.80
Under 2.5
44%2.00
Under 3.5
69%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
51%1.62
Over 4.5
32%2.25
Under 3.5
49%2.10
Under 4.5
68%1.52

Match Events

11'K. PhillipsAssist: H. Fieldson
59'J. Gardner INA. Doherty out
63'E. Sule INJ. Young out
66'R. CarrFoul
70'R. MacIver INB. Parkinson out
70'J. McMillan INE. Ross out
70'Goal Disallowed - handballB. Parkinson
76'S. Ramos INL. Thomas out
76'R. Carr INL. Donnelly out
79'S. Tanser INL. McCann out
79'E. Laidlaw INP. McGovern out
80'H. FieldsonFoul
83'C. R. Mochrie INR. Idowu out
87'K. PhillipsAssist: R. Idowu
88'K. PhillipsUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'L. ThomasFoul

Lineups

Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: John McGlynn
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Coach: Craig McLeish
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating7.17
Scott Bain7.319S. Bain
Ryan Strain7.322R. Strain
Deniss Melniks6.021D. Melniks
Liam HendersonC7.05L. Henderson
Scott Tanser6.317S. Tanser
Jack McMillan7.04J. McMillan
Craig Sibbald7.210C. Sibbald
Joe Gardner6.318J. Gardner
Finn Yeats6.914F. Yeats
Ethan Laidlaw6.012E. Laidlaw
Ross Maclver6.99R. Maclver
Jacob Chapman7.51J. Chapman
Jayden Richardson7.72J. Richardson
Alexander Gogić7.013A. Gogić
Marcus FraserC7.922M. Fraser
Henry Fieldson7.553H. Fieldson
Ryan Carr6.38R. Carr
Paul Nsio6.748P. Nsio
Samuel Ramos6.310S. Ramos
Killian Phillips9.388K. Phillips
Chris Mochrie7.023C. Mochrie
Eseosa Sule6.69E. Sule

Falkirk Substitutes

47Aodhan Doherty59'for J. Gardner6.7
7Ben Parkinson70'for R. MacIver6.2
23Ethan Ross70'for J. McMillan6.6
3Leon McCann79'for S. Tanser6.5
11Paul McGovern79'for E. Laidlaw6.2
1Nicky Hogarth
15Lewis Neilson
6Coll Donaldson
20Connor Allan

ST Mirren Substitutes

20Jake Young63'for E. Sule6.9
4Liam Donnelly76'for R. Carr6.9
16Luke Thomas76'for S. Ramos90+1'6.9
7Roland Idowu83'for C. R. Mochrie7.0
27Peter Urminsky
5Richard King
37Carrick McEvoy
30Fraser Taylor
32Luke Douglas

Match Stats

FalkirkST Mirren
58%Ball Possession42%
7Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots3
18Fouls18
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
432Total Passes321
344Passes Accurate243
80%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

FalkirkFalkirk
ST MirrenST Mirren
1605Elo Rating 1495
1.82Attack 0.78
2.55Defense 1.11
86%Hit Rate 19%
12.0Shots per Game 8.9
4.5Shots on Target 3.2
3.6Corners per Game 3.2
1.7Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
ST MirrenST Mirren
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FalkirkFalkirk1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
ST MirrenST Mirren2Wins · 67%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Premiership21/03/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
12
Premiership10/01/2026
ST MirrenFalkirk
02
Premiership13/09/2025
FalkirkST Mirren
12

Recent Form

FalkirkFalkirk
5W0D5L
25/07/2026
FalkirkStranraer
30
W
21/07/2026
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
4121
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
W
14/07/2026
FalkirkAyr Utd
01
L
11/07/2026
Edinburgh CityFalkirk
05
W
07/07/2026
Airdrie UnitedFalkirk
12
W
16/05/2026
FalkirkRangers
25
L
13/05/2026
Heart Of MidlothianFalkirk
30
L
09/05/2026
FalkirkHibernian
13
L
02/05/2026
FalkirkMotherwell
10
W
ST MirrenST Mirren
6W2D2L
26/07/2026
ST MirrenDunfermline
01
L
21/07/2026
ST MirrenEast Kilbride
43
W
18/07/2026
Cove RangersST Mirren
04
W
11/07/2026
DumbartonST Mirren
04
W
27/06/2026
ArbroathST Mirren
24
W
25/05/2026
ST MirrenPartick
10
W
21/05/2026
PartickST Mirren
11
D
17/05/2026
ST MirrenDundee Utd
11
D
12/05/2026
AberdeenST Mirren
02
W
09/05/2026
ST MirrenKilmarnock
03
L

Referee Profile

D. Nicolson85 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Nicolson4.00
Other referees4.16

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.16).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
PromotionRelegation

About the Falkirk vs ST Mirren forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Falkirk and ST Mirren in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Falkirk are 3rd and ST Mirren 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Falkirk 20-14, ST Mirren 12-22. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Falkirk have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.