Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor Prediction
Turkey · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
54%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Muğlaspor Rest
4 days
Bursaspor Rest
4 days
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%5.05
X25%3.77
253%1.57
Double Chance
1X47%2.23
X278%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.84
No47%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.58 = 3.11
Over 1.577%1.28
Over 2.554%1.86
Over 3.532%3.20
Under 1.523%3.50
Under 2.546%1.86
Under 3.568%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9
Over 8.553%1.84
Over 9.542%2.40
Over 10.529%3.36
Under 8.547%1.88
Under 9.558%1.50
Under 10.571%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.575%-
Over 4.558%-
Under 3.525%-
Under 4.542%-
Match Events
35'Yasin UzunogluArgument
35'Ertuğrul ErsoyArgument
45'Yasin Uzunoglu INIbrahim Sissoko out
51'Goal cancelledKelechi Iheanacho
52'Jurgen ÇelhakaFoul
58'Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Halil Akbunar
62'Korede Osundina INPoyraz Yildirim out
64'Halil Akbunar INHüseyin Maldar out
72'A. Kazmaz INBilal Ceylan out
72'Jurgen Çelhaka INDaniel Avramovski out
72'Oguzhan Matur INDriton Camaj out
74'Eyüp Akcan INLewis Baker out
74'Amine Boutrah INEmir Kaan Gultekin out
79'Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Juergen Elitim
83'Hüseyin MaldarAssist: Kelechi Iheanacho
84'Rahmetullah Berisbek INZeki Yavru out
84'Kelechi Iheanacho INBaran Başyiğit out
90'Luis MagoDissent
Lineups
MuğlasporBursaspor
4-4-2Coach: M. ErAvg ratingAvg rating
17E. Kılıçarslan
15O. Nahırcı
44L. Del Pino
53A. Kazmaz
28A. Engin
21J. Çelhaka
23A. Güneren
5O. Matur
11M. Diarra
99Y. Uzunoglu
13K. Osundina
98K. Matisli
77R. Berişbek
4E. Ersoy
5E. Başyiğit
93B. Gök
7H. Akbunar
34E. Akcan
6J. Elitim
73A. Boutrah
10Lincoln
14K. ỊheanachọMuğlaspor Substitutes
10D. Avramovski72'for Jurgen Çelhaka
3A. Barak
20B. Bulut
7D. Camaj72'for Oguzhan Matur
22B. Ceylan72'for A. Kazmaz
91İ. Furat
35Batıhan Hanoğlu
27I. Sissoko45'for Yasin Uzunoglu
48O. Sol
9P. Yıldırım62'for Korede Osundina
Bursaspor Substitutes
80I. Šaranić
57B. Yayıkcı
18Z. Yavru84'for Rahmetullah Berisbek
66H. Maldar64'for Halil Akbunar83'
39A. Kıvanç
9E. Gültekin74'for Amine Boutrah
20B. Başyiğit84'for Kelechi Iheanacho
27T. Bayramov
42L. Baker74'for Eyüp Akcan
52T. Aydoğan
Match Stats
MuğlasporBursaspor 39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots6
11Fouls9
4Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves4
311Total Passes500
227Passes Accurate411
8Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
MuğlasporBursaspor1639Elo Rating 1746
2.71Attack 2.03
1.28Defense 2.16
50%Hit Rate 66%
12.4Shots per Game 16.5
6.4Shots on Target 5.9
4.6Corners per Game 5.2
2.6Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Muğlaspor- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.9 in second half)
Bursaspor- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Muğlaspor0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Bursaspor1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
24/09/2019MuğlasporBursaspor13
Recent Form
Muğlaspor3W6D1L
11/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükMuğlaspor
SivassporMuğlaspor
Fatih KaragümrükMuğlaspor11
D18/09/2026Muğlaspor
Iğdır FK
13/09/2026MuğlasporIğdır FK22
DSivassporMuğlaspor11
D06/09/2026Muğlaspor
Vanspor FK
MuğlasporVanspor FK22
D01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor01
W28/08/2026Muğlaspor
Boluspor
MuğlasporBoluspor20
W22/08/2026
Bodrum FKMuğlaspor
Bodrum FKMuğlaspor00
D16/08/2026Muğlaspor
Bandırmaspor
MuğlasporBandırmaspor00
D09/08/2026
SarıyerMuğlaspor
SarıyerMuğlaspor20
L10/05/2026Muğlaspor
Elazığspor
MuğlasporElazığspor8070
WBursaspor6W2D2L
11/10/2026Bursaspor
Mardin 1969
Batman PetrolsporBursasporBursaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Manisa F.K.BursasporBodrum FKBursaspor
BursasporMardin 196912
L19/09/2026Batman PetrolsporBursaspor12
W13/09/2026BursasporEsenler Erokspor22
D07/09/2026Manisa F.K.Bursaspor12
W03/09/2026Bursaspor
İstanbulspor
Bursasporİstanbulspor40
W29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
KayserisporBursaspor12
W21/08/2026Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor21
L15/08/2026BursasporIğdır FK
09/08/2026BursasporIğdır FK10
WBodrum FKBursaspor02
W26/07/2026Bursaspor
Shakhtar Donetsk
BursasporShakhtar Donetsk00
DReferee Profile
4.14Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.14 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).
Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26:11 | +15 | 28 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 |  Keçiörengücü | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 20 | LWDWD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Antalyaspor | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:10 | +3 | 13 | WLDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 |  Pendikspor | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9:31 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:25 | -22 | 1 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 26:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 26:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | 23:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | 18:19 | 18 |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | 14:17 | 16 |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | 17:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | 9:31 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | 3:25 | 1 |
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About the Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Muğlaspor and Bursaspor in the 1. Lig table
In the 1. Lig table, Bursaspor are 1st and Muğlaspor 6th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Muğlaspor 18-14, Bursaspor 26-11. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Muğlaspor and Bursaspor have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.