Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction

Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa·Yildirim Dogukan 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.27
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Manisa F.K. Rest
5 days
Esenler Erokspor Rest
5 days

Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor: result, form and history

Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor drew 1-1 in the 1. Lig on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Esenler Erokspor have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.30
X
25%3.50
2
46%1.98
Double Chance
1X
54%1.73
X2
71%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.4 = 2.78
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.70
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
46%2.08
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
67%1.73
Over 9.5
55%2.21
Over 10.5
43%3.02
Under 8.5
33%2.00
Under 9.5
45%1.57
Under 10.5
57%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
56%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
44%-

Match Events

35'Nicolas JanvierFoul
37'Pape Habib GueyeFoul
39'K. YurdakulFoul
57'Luccas ClaroFoul
63'Enes AlıçFoul
68'Pape Habib Gueye INKubilay Kanatsızkuş out
74'Osman Kaynak INYasin Güreler out
75'Burak Coban INAltin Zeqiri out
75'Mame Mor Faye INYusuf Erdoğan out
78'Yusuf Talum INOsman Kahraman out
80'Ada Ibik
84'Mikail Okyar INRecep Niyaz out
84'Nicolas Janvier INFerhat Yazgan out
89'Yassine Benrahou INYunus Emre Dursun out
90'Guélor KangaFoul
90+3'Penalty confirmedRecep Niyaz
90+6'Guélor Kanga(Penalty)

Lineups

Manisa F.K.
4-4-2Coach: Ahmet Pektaş
Esenler Erokspor
4-1-4-1Coach: H. Karaman
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.64
Egemen Yayli6.213E. Yayli
K. Yurdakul6.322K. Yurdakul
C. Hérelle7.45C. Hérelle
Ada Ibik7.945A. Ibik
O. Kaynak6.63O. Kaynak
Y. Talum6.37Y. Talum
B. Touré6.460B. Touré
A. Çankaya6.96A. Çankaya
A. Vargas6.270A. Vargas
Y. Benrahou6.420Y. Benrahou
J. Anziani6.823J. Anziani
E. Canpolat6.122E. Canpolat
F. Orak7.370F. Orak
B. Öztürk7.121B. Öztürk
Luccas Claro6.64L. Claro
E. Alić6.633E. Alić
N. Janvier6.97N. Janvier
M. Faye6.311M. Faye
G. Kanga7.88G. Kanga
M. Okyar6.15M. Okyar
B. Çoban6.717B. Çoban
P. Guèye6.499P. Guèye

Manisa F.K. Substitutes

21E. Akboğa
99Metehan Başar
24Y. Dursun89'for Yassine Benrahou6.5
27Y. Güreler74'for Osman Kaynak6.6
4F. İnal
17Osman Kahraman78'for Yusuf Talum6.5
2Yunus Emre Köse
11N. Lemina
10J. Lindseth
25A. Sen

Esenler Erokspor Substitutes

27F. Yazgan84'for Nicolas Janvier6.5
88A. Zeqiri75'for Burak Coban6.3
34E. Çetin
39E. Kaş
10R. Niyaz84'for Mikail Okyar6.5
6T. Kaçar
9K. Kanatsızkuş68'for Pape Habib Gueye6.9
53Y. Erdoğan75'for Mame Mor Faye6.4
20M. Buljubašić
77H. Bilazer

Match Stats

Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards5
12Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots4
14Fouls14
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves0
372Total Passes500
296Passes Accurate438
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
1581Elo Rating 1656
1.57Attack 1.78
0.80Defense 1.62
0%Hit Rate 46%
13.7Shots per Game 11.1
3.8Shots on Target 3.0
4.6Corners per Game 5.7
2.7Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor3Wins · 75%
3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Lig13/02/2026
Esenler EroksporManisa F.K.
31
1. Lig20/09/2025
Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
34
1. Lig08/03/2025
Esenler EroksporManisa F.K.
11
1. Lig28/10/2024
Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
01

Recent Form

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
3W3D4L
10/10/2026
KayserisporManisa F.K.
32
L
20/09/2026
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
01
L
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
L
03/09/2026
Iğdır FKManisa F.K.
42
L
30/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK
00
D
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
W
07/08/2026
BolusporManisa F.K.
12
W
01/05/2026
Manisa F.K.Sakaryaspor
50
W
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
1W5D4L
10/10/2026
İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor
01
W
19/09/2026
Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
02
L
13/09/2026
BursasporEsenler Erokspor
22
D
07/09/2026
Esenler EroksporKayserispor
03
L
03/09/2026
Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor
00
D
30/08/2026
Esenler EroksporIğdır FK
01
L
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
08/08/2026
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
00
D
24/05/2026
Esenler EroksporÇorum FK
02
L

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
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About the Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor in the 1. Lig table

Esenler Erokspor and Manisa F.K. are close in the 1. Lig table, 15th and 17th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Manisa F.K. 19-22, Esenler Erokspor 12-16. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.