Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC Prediction

Mushuc Runa SC
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Orense SC
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 20/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+2.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
5 days
Orense SC Rest
3 days

Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC: the result in context

Mushuc Runa SC beat Orense SC 2-1 in the Liga Pro on 20 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Mushuc Runa SC tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 4.3 for Orense SC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.04
X
34%3.33
2
33%3.49
Double Chance
1X
67%1.25
X2
67%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.77
No
53%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.07 = 2.30
Over 1.5
65%1.30
Over 2.5
37%1.99
Over 3.5
20%3.45
Under 1.5
35%3.27
Under 2.5
63%1.78
Under 3.5
80%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'R. CarrilloAssist: J. Hernandez
18'B. QuinonezFoul
32'S. CallegariFoul
45+5'M. Bermudez
46'B. Quinonez INS. Quinonez out
49'R. CarrilloAssist: M. Perea
70'G. RostagnoFoul
71'E. S. Zambrano Pesantez INL. Garces out
71'A. Herrera INJ. Vera out
71'A. Zambrano INB. Corozo out
77'J. Hernandez INJ. Caicedo out
78'S. Vasquez IND. Armas out
78'R. Jaramilo IND. Quintero out
81'R. Ibarra INF. Carabali out
83'J. CaicedoFoul
85'J. CusmeFoul
89'A. LorenzoFoul

Team Comparison

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
Orense SCOrense SC
1447Elo Rating 1473
1.21Attack 1.52
0.67Defense 2.25
0%Hit Rate 23%
15.5Shots per Game 13.7
5.0Shots on Target 6.0
6.3Corners per Game 4.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
Orense SCOrense SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Orense SCOrense SC4Wins · 40%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro19/03/2026
Orense SCMushuc Runa SC
32
Liga Pro14/09/2025
Orense SCMushuc Runa SC
31
Liga Pro17/05/2025
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
25
CONMEBOL Sudamericana06/03/2025
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
21
Liga Pro22/09/2024
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
30
Liga Pro06/04/2024
Orense SCMushuc Runa SC
22
Liga Pro11/11/2023
Orense SCMushuc Runa SC
10
Liga Pro03/06/2023
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
31
Liga Pro13/08/2022
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
11
Liga Pro03/04/2022
Orense SCMushuc Runa SC
00

Recent Form

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
2W2D6L
14/07/2026
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
21
L
11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
14
L
06/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaMushuc Runa SC
23
W
03/06/2026
Gualaceo SCMushuc Runa SC
10
L
31/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCAucas
00
D
23/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCGuayaquil City FC
22
D
17/05/2026
Leones del NorteMushuc Runa SC
31
L
12/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLDU de Quito
13
L
03/05/2026
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
10
L
25/04/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca
41
W
Orense SCOrense SC
3W2D5L
17/07/2026
Orense SCEmelec
02
L
11/07/2026
Manta FCOrense SC
00
D
07/07/2026
Orense SCTecnico Universitario
12
L
02/07/2026
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
30
L
27/05/2026
CuniburoOrense SC
21
L
23/05/2026
Orense SCUniversidad Catolica
12
L
19/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCOrense SC
01
W
09/05/2026
Orense SCLeones del Norte
20
W
03/05/2026
MacaraOrense SC
12
W
27/04/2026
Orense SCBarcelona SC
11
D

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca361381533:42-947WLWWD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3610131343:50-743WLLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC361091743:53-1039LDWDD
14Delfin SCDelfin SC361081831:43-1238LWLWW
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario361142135:49-1437LDWLL
16Manta FCManta FC36962127:52-2533WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3633:4247
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3643:5043
13Orense SCOrense SC3643:5339
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3631:4338
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3635:4937
16Manta FCManta FC3627:5233
PromotionRelegation

About the Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC in the Liga Pro table

Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC are close in the Liga Pro table, 11th and 13th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Mushuc Runa SC 35-38, Orense SC 36-47. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.