Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Macara Rest
4 days
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
4 days
Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca: the result in context
Macara beat Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 in the Liga Pro on 22 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Macara had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Deportivo Cuenca.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.20
X33%2.77
225%3.60
Double Chance
1X75%1.25
X259%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes35%2.00
No65%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.71 = 1.94
Over 1.556%1.47
Over 2.530%2.47
Over 3.515%4.65
Under 1.544%2.55
Under 2.570%1.51
Under 3.585%1.17
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
1'Franco PosseAssist: Luis Ayala
17'Germán RiveroFoul
17'Red card cancelledGermán Rivero
31'Gian NardelliFoul
46'Germán Rivero INMatías Klimowicz out
52'Gian NardelliFoul
52'Gian NardelliFoul
55'Lucas Mancinelli INMateo Piedra out
60'Facundo FerreroArgument
64'Jose Klinger INJordán Mohor out
64'Martin Tello INJean Carlos Estacio out
67'Santiago EtchebarneFoul
67'Marlon MedrandaFoul
69'Denilson Bolaños INJuan Espinoza out
69'Marcos Andrés López INMelvin Diaz out
69'Mateo Maccari INRomario Ibarra out
78'David González INJeremy Mejia out
79'Franco PosseAssist: Matías Miranda
81'Agustin Campana INJeison Chalá out
81'Franco Posse INLuca Ferro out
82'Jordán MohorAssist: Matías Miranda
Lineups
MacaraDeportivo Cuenca
Coach: Fortunato Celico Jorge CesarMacara Starting XI
1Rodrigo Rodríguez
25Denilson Bolaños69'replaced by Juan Espinoza
21Santiago EtchebarneC67'
26Marlon Medranda67'
13Luis Ayala
16Jose Cazares
28Agustin Campana81'replaced by Jeison Chalá
15Martin Tello64'replaced by Jean Carlos Estacio
10Matías Miranda
87Jose Klinger64'replaced by Jordán Mohor
9Franco Posse1'79'81'replaced by Luca Ferro
Avg rating
Deportivo Cuenca Starting XI
1Facundo Ferrero60'
25Marcos Andrés López69'replaced by Melvin Diaz
23Eddie Guevara
3Gian Nardelli31'52'52'
37Carlos Arboleda
7Lucas MancinelliC55'replaced by Mateo Piedra
30Mateo Maccari69'replaced by Romario Ibarra
8Edison Vega
43Jorge Ordóñez
49David González78'replaced by Jeremy Mejia
11Germán Rivero17'46'replaced by Matías Klimowicz
Avg rating
Macara Substitutes
27Jordán Mohor64'for Jose Klinger82'
5Jean Carlos Estacio64'for Martin Tello
3Juan Espinoza69'for Denilson Bolaños
77Jeison Chalá81'for Agustin Campana
22Luca Ferro81'for Franco Posse
12Darwin Cuero
14José Luis Marrufo
4John Jiménez
50Carlos Caicedo
18Matias Cabeza
19Patricio Ramos
Deportivo Cuenca Substitutes
29Matías Klimowicz46'for Germán Rivero
18Mateo Piedra55'for Lucas Mancinelli
10Romario Ibarra69'for Mateo Maccari
19Melvin Diaz69'for Marcos Andrés López
16Jeremy Mejia78'for David González
12Ethan Minda
2Ignacio Mosquera
53Yeltzin Erique
6Santiago Postel
14Jeremy Chacon
15Mathías Solís
Match Stats
MacaraDeportivo Cuenca 47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
9Fouls11
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
403Total Passes462
335Passes Accurate396
83%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
MacaraDeportivo Cuenca1713Elo Rating 1471
1.91Attack 1.26
2.63Defense 1.86
100%Hit Rate 42%
13.5Shots per Game 9.9
6.8Shots on Target 2.9
4.3Corners per Game 5.6
1.9Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+242 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Macara- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Cuenca- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Macara2Wins · 20%Draws550%
Deportivo Cuenca3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%1.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10
Previous meetings
21/03/2026Deportivo CuencaMacara11
13/12/2025MacaraDeportivo Cuenca01
08/11/2025Deportivo CuencaMacara02
02/08/2025Deportivo CuencaMacara11
10/04/2025MacaraDeportivo Cuenca01
24/08/2024MacaraDeportivo Cuenca31
20/03/2024Deportivo CuencaMacara11
27/08/2022Deportivo CuencaMacara11
17/04/2022MacaraDeportivo Cuenca01
26/10/2021Deportivo CuencaMacara11
Recent Form
Macara5W3D2L
18/07/2026
Delfin SCMacaraMacara
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico UniversitarioMacaraMacara
LDU de Quito
Delfin SCMacara21
L14/07/2026MacaraMushuc Runa SC21
W11/07/2026Tecnico UniversitarioMacara02
W05/07/2026MacaraLDU de Quito10
W05/06/2026
Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsMacara
Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsMacara01
W02/06/2026
Leones del NorteMacara
Leones del NorteMacara11
D29/05/2026
America de CaliMacara
America de CaliMacara00
D22/05/2026Macara
Alianza Atletico
MacaraAlianza Atletico00
D16/05/2026Macara
Independiente del Valle
MacaraIndependiente del Valle03
L11/05/2026
Manta FCMacara
Manta FCMacara01
WDeportivo Cuenca2W3D5L
18/07/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica02
L16/07/2026Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
12/07/2026Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca11
DDeportivo CuencaAucas01
L05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca20
L02/06/2026
La UniónDeportivo Cuenca
La UniónDeportivo Cuenca8070
L31/05/2026Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC10
W27/05/2026
SantosDeportivo Cuenca
SantosDeportivo Cuenca30
L24/05/2026Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito11
D20/05/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta22
D16/05/2026
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca01
WReferee Profile
4.58Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).
Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DLDWL |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LWLDL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | DLLDW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | DLWLL |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DDWLW |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WLWWD |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 81:37 | +44 | 84 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Macara | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | +15 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 56:35 | +21 | 54 | DLDWL |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | +6 | 54 | DLLDW |
| 5 | Aucas | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 54 | LWLDL |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 39:32 | +7 | 49 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 35 | 81:37 | 84 |
| 2 | Macara | 36 | 52:37 | 67 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 36 | 56:35 | 54 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 36 | 38:32 | 54 |
| 5 | Aucas | 36 | 40:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 35 | 39:32 | 49 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 33:42 | -9 | 47 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 39 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 31:43 | -12 | 38 | LWLWW |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 35:49 | -14 | 37 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 27:52 | -25 | 33 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 33:42 | 47 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36 | 43:50 | 43 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 36 | 43:53 | 39 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 31:43 | 38 |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 35:49 | 37 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 27:52 | 33 |
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About the Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Macara and Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, Macara are 3rd and Deportivo Cuenca 12th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Macara 41-33, Deportivo Cuenca 25-37. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Macara have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.