Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

Macara
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Deportivo Cuenca
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato· Eloy Vicente Beltran Moreira, Ecuador 22/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel37%RiskMediumGap+8.5%
Macara Rest
4 days
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.20
X
33%2.77
2
25%3.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.25
X2
59%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.00
No
65%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.71 = 1.94
Over 1.5
56%1.46
Over 2.5
30%2.46
Over 3.5
15%4.58
Under 1.5
44%2.56
Under 2.5
70%1.50
Under 3.5
85%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Franco PosseAssist: Luis Ayala
17'Germán RiveroFoul
17'Red card cancelledGermán Rivero
31'Gian NardelliFoul
46'Germán Rivero INMatías Klimowicz out
52'Gian NardelliFoul
52'Gian NardelliFoul
55'Lucas Mancinelli INMateo Piedra out
60'Facundo FerreroArgument
64'Jose Klinger INJordán Mohor out
64'Martin Tello INJean Carlos Estacio out
67'Santiago EtchebarneFoul
67'Marlon MedrandaFoul
69'Denilson Bolaños INJuan Espinoza out
69'Marcos Andrés López INMelvin Diaz out
69'Mateo Maccari INRomario Ibarra out
78'David González INJeremy Mejia out
79'Franco PosseAssist: Matías Miranda
81'Agustin Campana INJeison Chalá out
81'Franco Posse INLuca Ferro out
82'Jordán MohorAssist: Matías Miranda

Lineups

Macara
Coach: Guillermo Sanguinetti
Deportivo Cuenca
Coach: Fortunato Celico Jorge Cesar

Macara Starting XI

1Rodrigo RodríguezG
25Denilson BolañosD
21Santiago EtchebarneD
26Marlon MedrandaD
13Luis AyalaD
16Jose CazaresM
28Agustin CampanaM
15Martin TelloM
10Matías MirandaM
87Jose KlingerM
9Franco PosseF

Deportivo Cuenca Starting XI

1Facundo FerreroG
25Marcos Andrés LópezD
23Eddie GuevaraD
3Gian NardelliD
37Carlos ArboledaD
7Lucas MancinelliM
30Mateo MaccariM
8Edison VegaM
43Jorge OrdóñezM
49David GonzálezF
11Germán RiveroF

Macara Substitutes

27Jordán MohorM
5Jean Carlos EstacioM
3Juan EspinozaD
77Jeison ChaláF
22Luca FerroF
12Darwin CueroG
14José Luis MarrufoD
4John JiménezD
50Carlos CaicedoM
18Matias CabezaF
19Patricio RamosF

Deportivo Cuenca Substitutes

29Matías KlimowiczF
18Mateo PiedraD
10Romario IbarraM
19Melvin DiazF
16Jeremy MejiaM
12Ethan MindaG
2Ignacio MosqueraD
53Yeltzin EriqueD
6Santiago PostelD
14Jeremy ChaconM
15Mathías SolísF

Match Stats

MacaraDeportivo Cuenca
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
9Fouls11
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
403Total Passes462
335Passes Accurate396
83%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

MacaraMacara
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
1661Elo Rating 1461
1.91Attack 0.63
1.51Defense 2.00
81%Hit Rate 19%
15.2Shots per Game 15.9
5.5Shots on Target 4.5
4.0Corners per Game 5.8
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+200 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MacaraMacara
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Macara 19%Draw 44%37% Deportivo Cuenca
1.63Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
0W1D4L
18/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica
02
L
16/07/2026
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
11
D
12/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaAucas
01
L
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
L
02/06/2026
La UniónDeportivo Cuenca
8070
L

Referee Profile

Eloy Vicente Beltran Moreira, Ecuador · 8 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
22.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 42% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWLWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDDDW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338DLDDW
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LLWDW
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432DWLLW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

ScorePredicts covers Ecuador football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Macara and Deportivo Cuenca have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.63 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.