AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
NAC Breda vs MVV: the result in context
NAC Breda beat MVV 1-0 in the Eerste Divisie on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
NAC Breda have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1M. Verrips
2B. Lucassen
4L. Greiml
22R. Hillen
12J. Van den Bergh
78J. Van Hecke
6M. Balard
14K. Sowah
10M. Nassoh
28C. Brym
11G. Misehouy
1H. Wentges
6F. Dicke
22S. Bouland
17S. Wegen
7L. Daneels
18E. Sierra
16R. Klaasen
24N. El Hamdaoui
9T. Vinogradac
10O. DumontNAC Breda Substitutes
MVV Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
League Table
Eerste Divisie: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37:14 | +23 | 29 | DWWDW | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34:20 | +14 | 25 | WDWWL | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | WWWDW | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:12 | +13 | 22 | LLWWL | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 22 | WWDLW | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:20 | +3 | 21 | DWWDW | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 19 | WDWLW | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 31:26 | +5 | 17 | WDLWD | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 | LWLDL | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 | DLLLW | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 21:17 | +4 | 16 | DDLDL | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | WLDLD | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 | DWWDL | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 | DLWWL | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:29 | -11 | 12 | DWLDL | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:26 | -11 | 12 | DLWDW | |
| 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 11 | LLLDL | |
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 11 | LWLDW | |
| 19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 9 | LLLDL | |
| 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 37:14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 12 | 34:20 | 25 | |
| 3 | 12 | 26:19 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 25:12 | 22 | |
| 5 | 12 | 15:11 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 23:20 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 29:20 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 31:26 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 16:17 | 17 | |
| 10 | 12 | 16:27 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 21:17 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 17:19 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 18:21 | 15 | |
| 14 | 12 | 19:20 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 18:29 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | 15:26 | 12 | |
| 17 | 12 | 16:25 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | 16:31 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 20:26 | 9 | |
| 20 | 12 | 19:31 | 7 |
Eerste Divisie: Period 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | +19 | 25 | DWWDW | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | +15 | 22 | LLWWL | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 21 | WDWWL | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | +4 | 19 | WWWDW | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | +1 | 17 | DWWDW | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 16 | WWDLW | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 16 | DLLLW | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | +5 | 15 | WDWLW | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 14 | DDLDL | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 | LWLDL | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 13 | WDLWD | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | WLDLD | |
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | DLWWL | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 | DWWDL | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 | DLWDW | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 9 | LLLDL | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | -14 | 8 | LWLDW | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 31:12 | 25 | |
| 2 | 10 | 22:7 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 26:14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 22:18 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 20:19 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 10:8 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 13:20 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 22:17 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 19:15 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 15:15 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 22:18 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 15:17 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 16 | 10 | 13:23 | 11 | |
| 17 | 10 | 16:19 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 13:25 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 13:27 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 16:23 | 7 |
Eerste Divisie: Period 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 6 | WWDLW | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 4 | WDWLW | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 4 | DWWDW | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:6 | +2 | 4 | WDWWL | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DWWDW | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWWDL | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 4 | DWLDL | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:8 | +1 | 4 | WDLWD | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | WLDLD | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LWLDW | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LWLDL | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DDLDL | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DLWDW | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DLWWL | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | DLLLW | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | LLLDL | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 | LLWWL | |
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 | LLLDL | |
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 4:1 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | |
| 4 | 2 | 6:2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 4 | |
| 6 | 2 | 3:1 | 4 | |
| 7 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 8 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 | |
| 9 | 2 | 9:8 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 | |
| 11 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 | |
| 13 | 2 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 14 | 2 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 15 | 2 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 16 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 3:5 | 0 | |
| 19 | 2 | 4:7 | 0 | |
| 20 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
Eerste Divisie: Period 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DLWDW | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WDWWL | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDL | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LWLDW | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLLDL | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWWDW | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLLDL | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DLLLW | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLWWL | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DLWWL | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WDWLW | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DDLDL | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDW | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWDLW | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LWLDL | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDW | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WLDLD | |
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWLDL | |
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WDLWD | |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Eerste Divisie: Period 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DLWDW | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WDWWL | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDL | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LWLDW | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLLDL | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWWDW | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLLDL | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DLLLW | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLWWL | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DLWWL | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WDWLW | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DDLDL | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDW | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWDLW | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LWLDL | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDW | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WLDLD | |
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWLDL | |
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WDLWD | |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Eerste Divisie matches
About the NAC Breda vs MVV forecast
The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
NAC Breda and MVV in the Eerste Divisie table
In the Eerste Divisie table, NAC Breda are 6th and MVV 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: NAC Breda 23-20, MVV 16-27. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
NAC Breda have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


