Nancy vs Guingamp Prediction

Nancy
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Guingamp
Stade Marcel-Picot, Nancy·Henry Gabriel 09/10/2026
NancyNancy
1-0
Finished
GuingampGuingamp

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Nancy Rest
7 days
Guingamp Rest
7 days

Nancy vs Guingamp: the result in context

Nancy beat Guingamp 1-0 in the Ligue 2 on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.90
X
27%3.60
2
25%3.77
Double Chance
1X
75%1.25
X2
52%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.26 = 2.65
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
32%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.84
Over 9.5
47%2.27
Over 10.5
37%3.28
Under 8.5
42%1.88
Under 9.5
53%1.55
Under 10.5
63%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

45+2'Walid BouabdeliFoul
55'Jeovanni DiangangaFoul
55'Kouroufia KebeArgument
56'Amine HemiaDissent
64'Samir Ben Brahim INTeddy Andami Averlant out
65'Florent Sanchez Da Silva INAmadou Samoura out
65'Brandon Bokangu INStanislas Kielt out
65'Nordine Kandil INZakaria Fdaouch out
71'Kouroufia Kebe
74'Tanguy AhileFoul
74'Pape Meissa Ba INLogan Ndenbe out
75'Elydjah Mendy INJeremy Gelin out
75'Tanguy Ahile INTom Ducrocq out
77'Albin DemouchyFoul
83'Walid Bouabdeli INIbrahim cisse out
83'El Hadari Raheriniaina INChafik El Hansar out
90+4'Albin Demouchy

Lineups

Nancy
4-2-3-1Coach: O. Tanchot
Guingamp
4-4-2Coach: S. Ripoll
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.57
E. Basilio6.61E. Basilio
N. Fernandez-Veliz7.04N. Fernandez-Veliz
Y. Nahounou7.277Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy7.621E. Mendy
E. Tacafred7.344E. Tacafred
K. Kebe6.46K. Kebe
W. Bouabdelli7.08W. Bouabdelli
I. Housni6.79I. Housni
N. Kandil6.270N. Kandil
El Hadari6.812E. Hadari
P. Meïssa Ba6.45P. Meïssa Ba
Adrián Ortolá8.116A. Ortolá
E. Koffi6.12E. Koffi
A. Demouchy6.036A. Demouchy
J. Dianganga6.624J. Dianganga
T. Ollila6.95T. Ollila
S. Ben Brahim6.420S. Ben Brahim
D. Louiserre7.04D. Louiserre
T. Ahile6.421T. Ahile
F. Da Silva6.28F. Da Silva
A. Hemia6.310A. Hemia
B. Bokangu6.322B. Bokangu

Nancy Substitutes

45C. El Hansar83'for El Hadari Raheriniaina6.6
7Z. Fdaouch65'for Nordine Kandil7.2
17Mamadou Fofana II
25J. Gélin75'for Elydjah Mendy6.9
30G. Lembet
22L. Ndenbe74'for Pape Meissa Ba6.3
14N. Saint-Ruf
11I. Cisse83'for Walid Bouabdeli6.6
33Lucas Schnepp

Guingamp Substitutes

17A. Samoura65'for Florent Sanchez Da Silva6.7
32I. Diakite
1T. Bartouche
11T. Averlant64'for Samir Ben Brahim6.6
25T. Ducrocq75'for Tanguy Ahile6.6
35N. Fondja
18S. Kielt65'for Brandon Bokangu6.5
31J. Matondo
3J. Matumona

Match Stats

NancyGuingamp
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
17Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
22Fouls17
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
505Total Passes448
442Passes Accurate366
15Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

NancyNancy
GuingampGuingamp
1619Elo Rating 1556
1.73Attack 1.22
1.99Defense 1.71
86%Hit Rate 41%
16.3Shots per Game 12.7
4.9Shots on Target 4.7
5.0Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NancyNancy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
GuingampGuingamp
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

NancyNancy1Wins · 14%
Draws457%
GuingampGuingamp2Wins · 29%
2.9Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Ligue 219/01/2026
NancyGuingamp
03
Ligue 203/10/2025
GuingampNancy
22
Ligue 219/03/2022
GuingampNancy
31
Ligue 216/10/2021
NancyGuingamp
21
Ligue 216/01/2021
GuingampNancy
00
Ligue 229/08/2020
NancyGuingamp
22
Coupe de France22/01/2019
NancyGuingamp
1121

Recent Form

NancyNancy
3W3D4L
02/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenNancy
21
L
18/09/2026
RodezNancy
34
W
11/09/2026
NancyReims
12
L
07/09/2026
NantesNancy
10
L
28/08/2026
NancyDunkerque
20
W
21/08/2026
PAUNancy
01
W
14/08/2026
NancyMontpellier
01
L
08/08/2026
BoulogneNancy
00
D
01/08/2026
NancyDijon
22
D
01/08/2026
EpinalNancy
00
D
GuingampGuingamp
3W3D4L
02/10/2026
GuingampLe Mans
21
W
19/09/2026
GuingampRED Star FC 93
13
L
12/09/2026
GuingampAnnecy
21
W
05/09/2026
ReimsGuingamp
22
D
29/08/2026
GuingampNantes
33
D
21/08/2026
SochauxGuingamp
10
L
14/08/2026
GuingampBoulogne
10
W
08/08/2026
MetzGuingamp
21
L
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
02
L

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Nancy vs Guingamp forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nancy and Guingamp in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Nancy are 3rd and Guingamp 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Nancy 12-8, Guingamp 13-15. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.