Montpellier vs Grenoble Prediction

Montpellier
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Grenoble
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier·Retail Pierre 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Montpellier Rest
21 days
Grenoble Rest
7 days

Montpellier vs Grenoble: result, form and history

Montpellier beat Grenoble 2-0 in the Ligue 2 on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.60
X
25%3.87
2
16%5.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
41%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.97
No
52%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 0.88 = 2.65
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
49%1.98
Over 3.5
29%3.47
Under 1.5
26%3.40
Under 2.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
67%1.50
Over 9.5
55%1.89
Over 10.5
43%2.35
Under 8.5
33%2.35
Under 9.5
45%1.85
Under 10.5
57%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

4'Yohann MagninFoul
33'Nicolas Pays
43'Julien LaporteFoul
56'Clement Vidal INfarouq limouri out
65'Nordan Mukiele
69'Noah Vidal INDaryll Benlahlou out
69'Daylam Meddah INYaël Mouanga Boudzoumou out
71'Yvann Macon INJean-Guy Akpa Akpro out
71'Yohann Magnin INLucas Bernadou out
72'Alpha SissokoFoul
79'Théo Chennahi INHichem Abderrebi out
80'Alpha Sissoko INNaoufel El Hannach out
83'Samba Lele Diba INKyliann Fofana out
83'Ugo Bonnet INMoussa Djitté out
85'Nordan Mukiele INYassine Benhattab out
85'farouq limouriFoul
87'Mael CorbozFoul
87'Baptiste MouazanDissent
90+1'Mamadou CamaraAssist: Daryll Benlahlou

Lineups

Montpellier
4-2-3-1Coach: Z. Camara
Grenoble
4-1-4-1Coach: O. Frapolli
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.25
S. Ngapandouetnbu8.531S. Ngapandouetnbu
A. Sissoko7.158A. Sissoko
J. Laporte7.215J. Laporte
D. Meddah6.927D. Meddah
T. Sainte-Luce7.217T. Sainte-Luce
N. Vidal-Cartoux6.640N. Vidal-Cartoux
F. Tardieu6.85F. Tardieu
N. Pays8.218N. Pays
T. Chennahi7.044T. Chennahi
N. Mukiele6.419N. Mukiele
M. Camara7.911M. Camara
A. Olliero6.41A. Olliero
Y. Maçon6.097Y. Maçon
A. Pelon6.543A. Pelon
C. Vidal6.55C. Vidal
M. Xantippe6.327M. Xantippe
Y. Magnin5.86Y. Magnin
N. Zahui5.719N. Zahui
S. Diba6.430S. Diba
M. Corboz6.714M. Corboz
B. Mouazan6.210B. Mouazan
U. Bonnet6.812U. Bonnet

Montpellier Substitutes

90Gregory Ayem
32Hichem Abderrebi79'for Théo Chennahi6.8
10Y. Benhattab85'for Nordan Mukiele6.7
23Daryll Benlahlou69'for Noah Vidal7.1
3Naoufel El Hannach80'for Alpha Sissoko6.6
1M. Michel
6Y. Mouanga69'for Daylam Meddah6.5
77Everson

Grenoble Substitutes

8L. Bernadou71'for Yohann Magnin6.1
16B. Allain
92J. Akpa Akpro71'for Yvann Macon6.1
17L. Cerri
23D. Hoogewerf
2M. Djitté83'for Ugo Bonnet6.3
47K. Fofana83'for Samba Lele Diba6.3
21Owen Kouassi
3F. Limouri56'for Clement Vidal85'5.9

Match Stats

MontpellierGrenoble
57%Ball Possession43%
7Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots5
13Fouls19
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
473Total Passes362
413Passes Accurate305
19Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

MontpellierMontpellier
GrenobleGrenoble
1714Elo Rating 1549
1.77Attack 0.58
2.38Defense 1.45
66%Hit Rate 14%
14.5Shots per Game 9.5
5.7Shots on Target 1.9
5.3Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+166 Elo

Game State Tendencies

MontpellierMontpellier
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
GrenobleGrenoble
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MontpellierMontpellier1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
GrenobleGrenoble0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 217/04/2026
MontpellierGrenoble
21
Ligue 213/12/2025
GrenobleMontpellier
11

Recent Form

MontpellierMontpellier
5W3D2L
18/09/2026
ReimsMontpellier
11
D
11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
10
W
05/09/2026
Saint EtienneMontpellier
31
L
28/08/2026
MontpellierBoulogne
00
D
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
W
14/08/2026
NancyMontpellier
01
W
08/08/2026
MontpellierDijon
11
D
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
W
25/07/2026
Clermont FootMontpellier
01
W
22/07/2026
MontpellierCannes
34
L
GrenobleGrenoble
2W4D4L
02/10/2026
GrenobleStade Lausanne-Ouchy
00
D
18/09/2026
GrenobleClermont Foot
11
D
11/09/2026
RodezGrenoble
01
W
04/09/2026
GrenobleAnnecy
12
L
28/08/2026
LavalGrenoble
03
W
22/08/2026
Saint EtienneGrenoble
40
L
14/08/2026
GrenobleMetz
00
D
08/08/2026
DunkerqueGrenoble
42
L
01/08/2026
AndrézieuxGrenoble
32
L
01/08/2026
Clermont FootGrenoble
11
D

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
3MontpellierMontpellier953111:5+618WWDWL
4ReimsReims945019:11+817WDDWD
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93952212:10+217LWWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
14BoulogneBoulogne91626:609WDLDD
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2NancyNancy1012:819
3MontpellierMontpellier911:518
4ReimsReims919:1117
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93912:1017
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13RodezRodez1016:2210
14BoulogneBoulogne96:69
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Montpellier vs Grenoble forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montpellier and Grenoble in the Ligue 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Montpellier are 3rd in the Ligue 2, while Grenoble sit 16th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Montpellier 11-5, Grenoble 9-17. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Grenoble have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Montpellier and Grenoble have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.