Napoli vs Frosinone Prediction

Napoli
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Frosinone
Maradona Stadium, Naples·Ermanno Feliciani 10/10/2026
NapoliNapoli
3-0
Finished
FrosinoneFrosinone

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Napoli Rest
20 days
Frosinone Rest
8 days

Napoli vs Frosinone: the result in context

Napoli beat Frosinone 3-0 in the Serie A on 10 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Frosinone had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Napoli.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Referee Ermanno Feliciani averages 3.51 cards a game, 1.05 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.47
X
21%4.75
2
16%6.38
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
37%2.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.55
No
46%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.93 = 2.56
Over 1.5
79%1.10
Over 2.5
58%1.43
Over 3.5
37%2.12
Under 1.5
21%5.85
Under 2.5
42%2.75
Under 3.5
63%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.5 = 10.5
Over 8.5
77%1.33
Over 9.5
70%1.60
Over 10.5
69%2.01
Under 8.5
23%2.88
Under 9.5
30%2.16
Under 10.5
31%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%2.30
Over 4.5
35%3.60
Under 3.5
45%1.57
Under 4.5
65%1.26

Match Events

28'Rasmus Hojlund
29'Kevin De Bruyne(Penalty)
32'Noa Lang
45'Patrizio Masini INAleksa Terzić out
61'David Neres INScott McTominay out
61'Rasmus Hojlund INLorenzo Lucca out
63'Farès Ghedjemis INSeydou Fini out
63'Antonio Raimondo INTomas Bobcek out
71'Stanislav Lobotka INBilly Gilmour out
72'Noa Lang INGiovane Santana Do Nascimento out
76'Gabriele Bracaglia INMatteo Cichella out
80'Amir RrahmaniFoul
81'Leonardo Spinazzola INMatteo Politano out
83'Romano Schmid INAlessio Zerbin out
85'Benoît BadiashileFoul
90+4'Kevin De BruyneAssist: Giovane Santana Do Nascimento

Lineups

Napoli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Allegri
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Alvini
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.43
A. Meret6.41A. Meret
Rafa Marín7.516R. Marín
Amir Rrahmani7.413A. Rrahmani
B. Badiashile7.15B. Badiashile
G. Di Lorenzo6.222G. Di Lorenzo
K. De Bruyne8.211K. De Bruyne
S. Lobotka6.868S. Lobotka
L. Spinazzola6.537L. Spinazzola
David Neres6.67D. Neres
N. Lang8.270N. Lang
R. Højlund6.519R. Højlund
L. Palmisani7.122L. Palmisani
A. Oyono6.120A. Oyono
G. Calvani6.63G. Calvani
G. Cittadini6.72G. Cittadini
G. Bracaglia6.979G. Bracaglia
P. Masini5.873P. Masini
G. Calò6.514G. Calò
F. Ghedjemis6.37F. Ghedjemis
R. Schmid6.610R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze6.217G. Kvernadze
A. Raimondo6.89A. Raimondo

Napoli Substitutes

31S. Beukema
14N. Contini
6B. Gilmour71'for Stanislav Lobotka7.2
23Giovane72'for Noa Lang7.1
20L. Lucca61'for Rasmus Hojlund6.6
35Luca Marianucci
8S. McTominay61'for David Neres7.2
32V. Milinković-Savić
21M. Politano81'for Leonardo Spinazzola6.7
36Milton Agustín Pereyra

Frosinone Substitutes

16Matteo Cichella76'for Gabriele Bracaglia5.8
91S. Desplanches
74Omar Fayed
40S. Fini63'for Farès Ghedjemis6.4
30I. Monterisi
12M. Pisseri
90E. Tchato
71A. Terzić45'for Patrizio Masini6.7
24A. Zerbin83'for Romano Schmid6.0
25K. Akpoguma
89T. Bobček63'for Antonio Raimondo6.4
5W. Amey
70L. Hasa

Match Stats

NapoliFrosinone
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots17
8Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal14
13Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots2
8Fouls12
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
456Total Passes425
364Passes Accurate355
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

NapoliNapoli
FrosinoneFrosinone
1829Elo Rating 1803
1.91Attack 2.06
1.24Defense 1.33
44%Hit Rate 61%
18.3Shots per Game 20.0
7.1Shots on Target 6.2
5.8Corners per Game 5.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NapoliNapoli
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NapoliNapoli1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
FrosinoneFrosinone1Wins · 33%
4.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A14/04/2024
NapoliFrosinone
22
Coppa Italia19/12/2023
NapoliFrosinone
04
Serie A19/08/2023
FrosinoneNapoli
13

Recent Form

NapoliNapoli
5W2D3L
20/09/2026
FiorentinaNapoli
11
D
13/09/2026
NapoliBologna
10
W
09/09/2026
NapoliArsenal
01
L
05/09/2026
InterNapoli
32
L
30/08/2026
NapoliComo
12
L
22/08/2026
GenoaNapoli
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
W
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
NapoliOsasuna
21
W
26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
20
W

Referee Profile

Ermanno Feliciani110 matches

3.51Cards per match
3.41Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ermanno Feliciani3.51
Other referees4.56

3.51 cards a match, 1.05 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter761021:9+1219WWDWW
2LazioLazio761014:4+1019WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma752016:3+1317WDDWW
4AC MilanAC Milan743014:7+715WDWDD
5ComoComo742112:7+514WDLWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone741213:9+413WLWDW
7CagliariCagliari74126:7-113LDWWW
8JuventusJuventus73229:8+111LDWLD
9NapoliNapoli731310:7+310LWDWL
10TorinoTorino731310:9+110WWDLW
11AtalantaAtalanta730410:11-19LWLLL
12LecceLecce73049:12-39WLLWL
13SassuoloSassuolo722312:14-28LDLWD
14MonzaMonza721413:15-27WLWLD
15BolognaBologna71246:10-45LWDLD
16UdineseUdinese71159:16-74LLLLL
17GenoaGenoa71155:13-84LWLDL
18FiorentinaFiorentina71158:17-94LLDWL
19ParmaParma71154:13-94LLWLD
20VeneziaVenezia71066:16-103WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter721:919
2LazioLazio714:419
3AS RomaAS Roma716:317
4AC MilanAC Milan714:715
5ComoComo712:714
6FrosinoneFrosinone713:913
7CagliariCagliari76:713
8JuventusJuventus79:811
9NapoliNapoli710:710
10TorinoTorino710:910
11AtalantaAtalanta710:119
12LecceLecce79:129
13SassuoloSassuolo712:148
14MonzaMonza713:157
15BolognaBologna76:105
16UdineseUdinese79:164
17GenoaGenoa75:134
18FiorentinaFiorentina78:174
19ParmaParma74:134
20VeneziaVenezia76:163
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Napoli vs Frosinone forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Napoli and Frosinone in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Frosinone are 6th and Napoli 9th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Napoli 10-7, Frosinone 13-9. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Frosinone have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.