Frosinone vs Juventus Prediction

Frosinone
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Juventus
Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone·Giovanni Ayroldi, Italy 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 4.5
2.09
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Frosinone Rest
7 days
Juventus Rest
12 days

Frosinone vs Juventus: the result in context

Juventus beat Frosinone 1-0 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Juventus had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Frosinone.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Referee Giovanni Ayroldi averages 5.94 cards a game, 1.24 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%7.50
X
23%4.63
2
59%1.44
Double Chance
1X
41%2.80
X2
82%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.80
No
43%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.65 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
22%4.45
Under 2.5
44%2.29
Under 3.5
65%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.3 + 4.9 = 8.1
Over 8.5
36%1.50
Over 9.5
23%1.87
Over 10.5
7%2.37
Under 8.5
64%2.40
Under 9.5
77%1.87
Under 10.5
93%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.5
72%1.50
Over 4.5
55%2.09
Under 3.5
28%2.42
Under 4.5
45%1.70

Match Events

22'BremerAssist: F. Conceicao
43'Romano SchmidFoul
50'Zeki ÇelikFoul
59'R. Schmid INP. Masini out
59'S. Fini INA. Zerbin out
67'I. Monterisi INA. Oyono out
67'M. Cichella INL. Hasa out
69'Z. Celik INA. Cambiaso out
69'K. Yildiz INJ. Boga out
69'F. Conceicao INE. Zhegrova out
76'G. Bracaglia INA. Terzic out
79'Douglas Luiz INT. Koopmeiners out
81'Andrea CambiasoFoul
90+1'G. Vicario INM. Perin out
90+3'Gabriele CalvaniFoul

Lineups

Frosinone
4-2-3-1Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
Juventus
4-2-3-1Coach: Luciano Spalletti
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.78
L. Palmisani6.922L. Palmisani
I. MonterisiC6.330I. Monterisi
G. Calvani6.23G. Calvani
G. Cittadini7.32G. Cittadini
G. Bracaglia6.979G. Bracaglia
G. Calo6.914G. Calo
M. Cichella6.316M. Cichella
S. Fini6.940S. Fini
R. Schmid6.310R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze6.517G. Kvernadze
A. Raimondo6.29A. Raimondo
G. Vicario7.225G. Vicario
P. Kalulu7.315P. Kalulu
Bremer8.23Bremer
L. Kelly6.36L. Kelly
Z. Celik6.62Z. Celik
M. LocatelliC7.35M. Locatelli
Douglas Luiz6.912D. Luiz
F. Conceicao7.37F. Conceicao
W. McKennie6.622W. McKennie
K. Yildiz7.310K. Yildiz
R. Kolo Muani5.29R. Kolo Muani

Frosinone Substitutes

12M. Pisseri
91S. Desplanches
71A. Terzic76'for G. Bracaglia6.9
20A. Oyono67'for I. Monterisi7.2
25K. Akpoguma
34A. El Azzouzi
5W. Amey
27F. Grillitsch
8I. Koutsoupias
73P. Masini59'for R. Schmid7.0
70L. Hasa67'for M. Cichella6.6
24A. Zerbin59'for S. Fini6.5

Juventus Substitutes

1M. Perin90+1'for G. Vicario6.3
23C. Pinsoglio
26J. Lucumi
20A. Cambiaso69'for Z. Celik81'6.6
24D. Rugani
32J. Cabal
21F. Miretti
8T. Koopmeiners79'for Douglas Luiz6.5
19K. Thuram
31N. Gonzalez
30J. David
17K. Alajbegovic
14A. Milik
13J. Boga69'for K. Yildiz6.5
11E. Zhegrova69'for F. Conceicao6.3

Match Stats

FrosinoneJuventus
37%Ball Possession63%
3Corner Kicks12
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots6
15Fouls18
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
272Total Passes478
187Passes Accurate405
69%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

FrosinoneFrosinone
JuventusJuventus
1819Elo Rating 1838
3.33Attack 1.13
0.93Defense 1.43
61%Hit Rate 37%
22.5Shots per Game 13.7
7.7Shots on Target 3.5
7.4Corners per Game 6.3
1.3Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
JuventusJuventus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FrosinoneFrosinone0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
JuventusJuventus3Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A25/02/2024
JuventusFrosinone
32
Coppa Italia11/01/2024
JuventusFrosinone
40
Serie A23/12/2023
FrosinoneJuventus
12

Recent Form

FrosinoneFrosinone
7W2D1L
16/08/2026
FrosinoneJuve Stabia
41
W
09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
12
L
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
29/07/2026
FrosinoneSambenedettese
11
D
26/07/2026
FrosinoneAscoli
10
W
22/07/2026
FrosinoneFrosinone U20
10
W
08/05/2026
FrosinoneMantova
50
W
01/05/2026
Juve StabiaFrosinone
01
W
25/04/2026
FrosinoneCarrarese
30
W
18/04/2026
ModenaFrosinone
12
W
JuventusJuventus
5W3D2L
11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
20
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
L
05/08/2026
ChelseaJuventus
01
W
31/07/2026
JuventusNice
20
W
25/07/2026
Standard LiegeJuventus
01
W
18/07/2026
FC Basel 1893Juventus
00
D
17/05/2026
JuventusFiorentina
02
L
09/05/2026
LecceJuventus
01
W
03/05/2026
JuventusHellas Verona
11
D
26/04/2026
AC MilanJuventus
00
D

Referee Profile

Giovanni Ayroldi123 matches

5.94Cards per match
5.55Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
28.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giovanni Ayroldi5.94
Other referees4.70

5.94 cards a match, 1.24 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1091024:8+1628WWWWW
2InterInter1081126:13+1325LWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1073028:10+1824WWDWD
4ComoComo1072118:8+1023WWWWD
5AC MilanAC Milan1063121:12+921WLWWD
6FrosinoneFrosinone1062224:14+1020WWDWL
7JuventusJuventus1052313:10+317WLWLD
8NapoliNapoli1042417:13+414LWDLW
9BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
10TorinoTorino1041514:16-213LLWWW
11GenoaGenoa1041510:14-413WWWLW
12CagliariCagliari104159:15-613LLLLD
13AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
14LecceLecce1030711:21-109LLLWL
15FiorentinaFiorentina1022615:23-88WDLLL
16SassuoloSassuolo1022616:26-108LLLLD
17MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19UdineseUdinese1012711:23-125LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia101096:20-143LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1024:828
2InterInter1026:1325
3AS RomaAS Roma1028:1024
4ComoComo1018:823
5AC MilanAC Milan1021:1221
6FrosinoneFrosinone1024:1420
7JuventusJuventus1013:1017
8NapoliNapoli1017:1314
9BolognaBologna1014:1314
10TorinoTorino1014:1613
11GenoaGenoa1010:1413
12CagliariCagliari109:1513
13AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
14LecceLecce1011:219
15FiorentinaFiorentina1015:238
16SassuoloSassuolo1016:268
17MonzaMonza1017:247
18ParmaParma95:155
19UdineseUdinese1011:235
20VeneziaVenezia106:203
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Frosinone vs Juventus forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Frosinone and Juventus in the Serie A table

Frosinone and Juventus are close in the Serie A table, 6th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Frosinone 24-14, Juventus 13-10. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Frosinone have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.