Napoli vs Bologna Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.44
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Napoli Rest
3 days
Bologna Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.89
X25%3.56
226%4.29
Double Chance
1X74%1.22
X251%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.77
No52%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.99 = 2.51
Over 1.573%1.30
Over 2.544%1.96
Over 3.519%3.20
Under 1.527%3.44
Under 2.556%1.89
Under 3.581%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.561%1.60
Over 9.552%2.04
Over 10.538%2.65
Under 8.539%2.18
Under 9.548%1.74
Under 10.562%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.541%1.91
Over 4.523%2.60
Under 3.559%1.79
Under 4.577%1.49
Match Events
7'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Theate
31'M. AmondarainRoughing
46'A. Vergara INN. Lang out
46'M. Politano INC. Favasuli out
58'R. Piccoli INJ. Odgaard out
58'T. Pobega INM. Libra out
66'M. Amondarain INN. Moro out
66'S. LobotkaAssist: C. Favasuli
75'R. Hojlund INL. Lucca out
82'N. Cambiaghi INS. Mbangula out
82'F. Bernardeschi INJ. Enem out
88'K. De Bruyne INM. Olivera out
Lineups
NapoliBologna
4-2-3-1Coach: Domenico TedescoAvg ratingAvg rating
32V. Milinković-Savić
C22G. Di Lorenzo
13A. Rrahmani
16R. Marín
37L. Spinazzola
6B. Gilmour
68S. Lobotka
21M. Politano
11K. De Bruyne
26A. Vergara
19R. Højlund
25M. Pessina
2E. Holm
14T. Heggem
3A. Theate
33J. Miranda
C19L. Ferguson
4T. Pobega
10F. Bernardeschi
8M. Amondarain
28N. Cambiaghi
91R. PiccoliNapoli Substitutes
2Costantino Favasuli46'for M. Politano
70Noa Lang46'for A. Vergara
12Claudio Pugliese
14Nikita Contini
31Sam Beukema
5Benoît Badiashile
17Mathías Olivera88'for K. De Bruyne
7David Neres
20Lorenzo Lucca75'for R. Hojlund
Bologna Substitutes
21Jens Odgaard58'for R. Piccoli
18Marco Libra58'for T. Pobega
6Nikola Moro66'for M. Amondarain
1Łukasz Skorupski
82Matteo Franceschelli
29Lorenzo De Silvestri
5Eivind Helland
23Abdel Rahim
41Martin Vitík
16Nicolò Casale
11Samuel Mbangula82'for N. Cambiaghi
22Jay Enem82'for F. Bernardeschi
Match Stats
NapoliBologna 58%Ball Possession42%
10Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots0
15Fouls10
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
551Total Passes415
496Passes Accurate363
90%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
NapoliBologna1805Elo Rating 1802
2.11Attack 2.29
0.35Defense 1.63
34%Hit Rate 83%
12.8Shots per Game 9.9
5.8Shots on Target 4.8
3.3Corners per Game 4.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Napoli- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bologna- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Napoli4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Bologna3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
11/05/2026NapoliBologna23
22/12/2025NapoliBologna20
09/11/2025BolognaNapoli20
07/04/2025BolognaNapoli11
25/08/2024NapoliBologna30
11/05/2024NapoliBologna02
24/09/2023BolognaNapoli00
28/05/2023BolognaNapoli22
16/10/2022NapoliBologna32
17/01/2022BolognaNapoli02
Recent Form
Napoli5W1D4L
09/09/2026Napoli
Arsenal
InterNapoliNapoli
Como
GenoaNapoli
NapoliArsenal01
L05/09/2026InterNapoli32
L30/08/2026NapoliComo12
L22/08/2026GenoaNapoli02
W12/08/2026Napoli
Aris Thessalonikis
NapoliAris Thessalonikis62
W08/08/2026Napoli
Celta Vigo
NapoliCelta Vigo11
D05/08/2026Napoli
Osasuna
NapoliOsasuna21
W26/07/2026Napoli
Carrarese
NapoliCarrarese20
W22/07/2026Napoli
Arezzo
NapoliArezzo13
L24/05/2026Napoli
Udinese
NapoliUdinese10
WBologna2W4D4L
06/09/2026Bologna
Sassuolo
AtalantaBolognaBologna
Lazio
BolognaSassuolo22
D31/08/2026AtalantaBologna10
L24/08/2026BolognaLazio01
L15/08/2026
BrightonBologna
BrightonBologna10
L08/08/2026Bologna
Pisa
BolognaPisa11
D01/08/2026Bologna
Cambuur
BolognaCambuur31
W25/07/2026Bologna
Iraklis 1908
BolognaIraklis 190820
W22/07/2026Bologna
1. FC Heidenheim
Bologna1. FC Heidenheim11
D18/07/2026Bologna
Arminia Bielefeld
BolognaArminia Bielefeld04
L23/05/2026BolognaInter
BolognaInter33
DReferee Profile
4.23Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.23 cards a match, 0.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).
Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25:9 | +16 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:13 | +15 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 24 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 18 | DWLWL |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 15 | DLWDL |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DWDLL |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 25:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 28:13 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 31:10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 23:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 17:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 16:29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 17:25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12:25 | 5 |
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About the Napoli vs Bologna forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Napoli and Bologna in the Serie A table
Bologna and Napoli are close in the Serie A table, 8th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Napoli 18-14, Bologna 16-14. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.