Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction

Fiorentina
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Frosinone
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence· Giuseppe Collu, Italy 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
2.10
SignalGOODModel53%RiskMediumGap+12.4%
Fiorentina Rest
4 days
Frosinone Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.69
X
27%4.00
2
21%5.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.18
X2
48%2.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.71
No
54%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 0.94 = 2.34
Over 1.5
70%1.23
Over 2.5
44%1.78
Over 3.5
17%2.85
Under 1.5
30%3.95
Under 2.5
56%2.10
Under 3.5
83%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
58%1.57
Over 9.5
48%1.94
Over 10.5
36%2.50
Under 8.5
42%2.27
Under 9.5
52%1.81
Under 10.5
64%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.56
Over 4.5
40%2.10
Under 3.5
37%2.33
Under 4.5
60%1.67

Match Events

8'Antonio RaimondoFoul
24'Álex JiménezArgument
24'Gabriele BracagliaFoul
26'Antonio RaimondoAssist: Giorgi Kvernadze
38'Gabriele BracagliaAssist: Giacomo Calò
45+2'Gabriele CalvaniFoul
45'Seydou Fini INAlessio Zerbin out
49'Albert GudmundssonDissent
61'Cher Ndour INNicolo Fagioli out
61'Marin Pongračić INViery out
64'Fabio GrossoDissent
68'Antonio RaimondoAssist: Gabriele Bracaglia
71'Albert Gudmundsson INRolando Mandragora out
71'Christ Inao Oulaï INMarco Brescianini out
74'Gabriele Bracaglia INAleksa Terzić out
74'Gabriele Calvani INGiorgio Cittadini out
82'Giacomo Calò INFlorian Grillitsch out
84'Álex Jiménez INJoão Mário out
89'Antonio Raimondo INDaniel Birligea out
90'Radu DrăguşinFoul

Lineups

Fiorentina
4-3-3Coach: Fabio Grosso
Frosinone
4-3-3Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
David de Gea43D. de GeaDavid de Gea
Álex Jiménez20Á. JiménezÁlex Jiménez
R. Drăgușin3R. DrăgușinR. Drăgușin
M. Pongračić5M. PongračićM. Pongračić
Valde21ValdeValde
C. Ndour27C. NdourC. Ndour
C. Inao Oulaï42C. Inao OulaïC. Inao Oulaï
A. Atta14A. AttaA. Atta
Franco Mastantuono30F. MastantuonoFranco Mastantuono
A. Guðmundsson11A. GuðmundssonA. Guðmundsson
L. Palmisani22L. PalmisaniL. Palmisani
A. Oyono20A. OyonoA. Oyono
G. Calvani3G. CalvaniG. Calvani
I. Monterisi30I. MonterisiI. Monterisi
P. Masini73P. MasiniP. Masini
G. Calò14G. CalòG. Calò
R. Schmid10R. SchmidR. Schmid
S. Fini40S. FiniS. Fini
A. Raimondo9A. RaimondoA. Raimondo
G. Kvernadze17G. KvernadzeG. Kvernadze

Fiorentina Substitutes

33VieryD
6L. RanieriD
8R. MandragoraM
19L. LezzeriniG
17João MárioD
44N. FagioliM
2DodôD
53O. ChristensenG
4M. BrescianiniM
72B. MazzeoF

Frosinone Substitutes

11D. BîrligeaF
24A. ZerbinF
16Matteo CichellaM
2G. CittadiniD
91S. DesplanchesG
34A. El AzzouziM
74Omar FayedD
27F. GrillitschM
70L. HasaM
71A. TerzićD
25K. AkpogumaD
90E. TchatoD

Match Stats

FiorentinaFrosinone
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal6
13Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box10
11Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots3
14Fouls21
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
416Total Passes274
348Passes Accurate197
84%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

FiorentinaFiorentina
FrosinoneFrosinone
1742Elo Rating 1776
1.92Attack 1.65
1.09Defense 1.94
50%Hit Rate 39%
15.9Shots per Game 16.2
6.6Shots on Target 5.6
4.1Corners per Game 6.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FiorentinaFiorentina
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Fiorentina 54%Draw 46%0% Frosinone
4.16Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FiorentinaFiorentina
2W2D1L
24/08/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
L
14/08/2026
FiorentinaBenevento
41
W
06/08/2026
FiorentinaDeportivo La Coruna
11
D
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
W
FrosinoneFrosinone
1W2D2L
23/08/2026
FrosinoneJuventus
01
L
16/08/2026
FrosinoneJuve Stabia
41
W
09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
12
L
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
29/07/2026
FrosinoneSambenedettese
11
D

Referee Profile

Giuseppe Collu, Italy · 10 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
23.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 70% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma541014:3+1113DWWWW
2InterInter541015:8+713DWWWW
3LazioLazio54108:3+513WDWWW
4CagliariCagliari54015:2+312WWWLW
5AC MilanAC Milan532010:4+611WDDWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone53119:4+510WDWWL
7JuventusJuventus53118:4+410WLDWW
8ComoComo53119:6+310LWWWD
9NapoliNapoli52127:6+17DWLLW
10SassuoloSassuolo52129:907LWDWL
11AtalantaAtalanta52035:7-26LLLWW
12LecceLecce52035:10-56LWLLW
13UdineseUdinese51138:11-34LLLWD
14TorinoTorino51135:8-34DLWLL
15ParmaParma51134:7-34WLDLL
16MonzaMonza51138:12-44WLDLL
17FiorentinaFiorentina51136:12-64DWLLL
18BolognaBologna50233:6-32DLDLL
19GenoaGenoa50143:10-71LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia50054:13-90LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma514:313
2InterInter515:813
3LazioLazio58:313
4CagliariCagliari55:212
5AC MilanAC Milan510:411
6FrosinoneFrosinone59:410
7JuventusJuventus58:410
8ComoComo59:610
9NapoliNapoli57:67
10SassuoloSassuolo59:97
11AtalantaAtalanta55:76
12LecceLecce55:106
13UdineseUdinese58:114
14TorinoTorino55:84
15ParmaParma54:74
16MonzaMonza58:124
17FiorentinaFiorentina56:124
18BolognaBologna53:62
19GenoaGenoa53:101
20VeneziaVenezia54:130
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Frosinone have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fiorentina and Frosinone have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.16 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.