Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction

Fiorentina
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Frosinone
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence·Giuseppe Collu, Italy 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
2.10
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Fiorentina Rest
4 days
Frosinone Rest
6 days

Fiorentina vs Frosinone: the result in context

Frosinone beat Fiorentina 3-0 in the Serie A on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Frosinone tend to win more corners, 7.3 a game to 5.2 for Fiorentina.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.69
X
27%4.00
2
21%5.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.18
X2
48%2.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.71
No
54%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 0.94 = 2.34
Over 1.5
70%1.23
Over 2.5
44%1.78
Over 3.5
17%2.85
Under 1.5
30%3.95
Under 2.5
56%2.10
Under 3.5
83%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
58%1.57
Over 9.5
48%1.94
Over 10.5
36%2.50
Under 8.5
42%2.27
Under 9.5
52%1.81
Under 10.5
64%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.56
Over 4.5
40%2.10
Under 3.5
37%2.33
Under 4.5
60%1.67

Match Events

8'Antonio RaimondoFoul
24'Álex JiménezArgument
24'Gabriele BracagliaFoul
26'Antonio RaimondoAssist: Giorgi Kvernadze
38'Gabriele BracagliaAssist: Giacomo Calò
45'Seydou Fini INAlessio Zerbin out
45+2'Gabriele CalvaniFoul
49'Albert GudmundssonDissent
61'Cher Ndour INNicolo Fagioli out
61'Marin Pongračić INViery out
64'Fabio GrossoDissent
68'Antonio RaimondoAssist: Gabriele Bracaglia
71'Albert Gudmundsson INRolando Mandragora out
71'Christ Inao Oulaï INMarco Brescianini out
74'Gabriele Bracaglia INAleksa Terzić out
74'Gabriele Calvani INGiorgio Cittadini out
82'Giacomo Calò INFlorian Grillitsch out
84'Álex Jiménez INJoão Mário out
89'Antonio Raimondo INDaniel Birligea out
90'Radu DrăguşinFoul

Lineups

Fiorentina
4-3-3Coach: Fabio Grosso
Frosinone
4-3-3Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
Avg rating6.04
Avg rating7.17
David de Gea5.943D. de Gea
Álex Jiménez5.720Á. Jiménez
R. Drăgușin5.73R. Drăgușin
M. Pongračić6.25M. Pongračić
Valde6.021Valde
C. Ndour6.527C. Ndour
C. Inao Oulaï6.542C. Inao Oulaï
A. Atta5.814A. Atta
Franco Mastantuono6.330F. Mastantuono
A. Guðmundsson7.011A. Guðmundsson
L. Palmisani7.422L. Palmisani
A. Oyono7.520A. Oyono
G. Calvani6.73G. Calvani
I. Monterisi7.530I. Monterisi
P. Masini6.873P. Masini
G. Calò7.714G. Calò
R. Schmid6.610R. Schmid
S. Fini6.940S. Fini
A. Raimondo8.79A. Raimondo
G. Kvernadze7.717G. Kvernadze

Fiorentina Substitutes

33Viery61'for Marin Pongračić5.9
6L. Ranieri
8R. Mandragora71'for Albert Gudmundsson6.0
19L. Lezzerini
17João Mário84'for Álex Jiménez6.1
44N. Fagioli61'for Cher Ndour5.5
2Dodô
53O. Christensen
4M. Brescianini71'for Christ Inao Oulaï5.6
72B. Mazzeo

Frosinone Substitutes

11D. Bîrligea89'for Antonio Raimondo6.5
24A. Zerbin45'for Seydou Fini6.6
16Matteo Cichella
2G. Cittadini74'for Gabriele Calvani7.2
91S. Desplanches
34A. El Azzouzi
74Omar Fayed
27F. Grillitsch82'for Giacomo Calò6.9
70L. Hasa
71A. Terzić74'replaced by Gabriele Bracaglia7.0
25K. Akpoguma
90E. Tchato

Match Stats

FiorentinaFrosinone
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal6
13Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box10
11Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots3
14Fouls21
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
416Total Passes274
348Passes Accurate197
84%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

FiorentinaFiorentina
FrosinoneFrosinone
1736Elo Rating 1834
2.04Attack 3.13
0.83Defense 1.24
27%Hit Rate 66%
16.3Shots per Game 21.9
4.5Shots on Target 8.0
5.2Corners per Game 7.3
2.8Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FiorentinaFiorentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FiorentinaFiorentina1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
FrosinoneFrosinone0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie A11/02/2024
FiorentinaFrosinone
51
Serie A28/09/2023
FrosinoneFiorentina
11

Recent Form

FiorentinaFiorentina
5W3D2L
24/08/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
L
14/08/2026
FiorentinaBenevento
41
W
06/08/2026
FiorentinaDeportivo La Coruna
11
D
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
W
25/07/2026
QPRFiorentina
32
L
22/07/2026
FiorentinaGubbio
10
W
19/07/2026
FiorentinaFiorentina U20
81
W
22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
D
17/05/2026
JuventusFiorentina
02
W
FrosinoneFrosinone
6W2D2L
23/08/2026
FrosinoneJuventus
01
L
16/08/2026
FrosinoneJuve Stabia
41
W
09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
12
L
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
29/07/2026
FrosinoneSambenedettese
11
D
26/07/2026
FrosinoneAscoli
10
W
22/07/2026
FrosinoneFrosinone U20
10
W
08/05/2026
FrosinoneMantova
50
W
01/05/2026
Juve StabiaFrosinone
01
W
25/04/2026
FrosinoneCarrarese
30
W

Referee Profile

Giuseppe Collu18 matches

4.44Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giuseppe Collu4.44
Other referees4.16

4.44 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.16).

Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Fiorentina vs Frosinone forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Fiorentina and Frosinone in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Frosinone are 6th and Fiorentina 15th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Fiorentina 17-25, Frosinone 24-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fiorentina and Frosinone have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.