Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Nashville SC
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
FC Cincinnati
Geodis Park, Nashville· A. Villarreal 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+3.7%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+7.0%
Nashville SC Rest
7 days
FC Cincinnati Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.80
X
23%4.03
2
24%3.85
Double Chance
1X
76%1.24
X2
47%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.44
No
29%2.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.3 = 2.96
Over 1.5
85%1.13
Over 2.5
68%1.44
Over 3.5
39%2.21
Under 1.5
15%5.94
Under 2.5
32%2.67
Under 3.5
61%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.49
Over 9.5
53%1.85
Over 10.5
39%2.31
Under 8.5
36%2.43
Under 9.5
47%1.88
Under 10.5
61%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%1.60
Over 4.5
50%2.15
Under 3.5
31%2.27
Under 4.5
50%1.63

Match Events

43'S. SurridgeAssist: C. Espinoza
44'O. Nwobodo
46'K. Mboma INA. Jabbari out
46'O. Nwobodo INB. J. Ramirez Leon out
49'A. Najar
53'H. MukhtarAssist: E. Saad
62'P. Yazbek INM. Corcoran out
66'S. Gidi INK. Smith out
70'J. Palacios
73'G. Valenzuela INT. Barlow out
79'E. Tagseth
87'C. Espinoza INS. Mohammed out
87'E. Tagseth INB. Acosta out
87'A. Najar IND. Lovitz out
87'E. Echenique INA. Powell out
89'B. J. Ramirez Leon
89'B. AcostaAssist: H. Mukhtar
90+1'Evander INT. Anunga out
90+4'E. Saad INA. Muyl out
90+5'H. Mukhtar INA. Qasem out
90+6'A. QasemAssist: R. Baker-Whiting

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-4-2Coach: Brian Callaghan
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2Coach: Pat Noonan
Brian Schwake99B. SchwakeBrian Schwake
Andy Najar31A. NajarAndy Najar
Jeisson Palacios4J. PalaciosJeisson Palacios
Maxwell Woledzi3M. WoledziMaxwell Woledzi
Reed Baker-Whiting27R. Baker-WhitingReed Baker-Whiting
Cristian Espinoza7C. EspinozaCristian Espinoza
Patrick Yazbek8P. YazbekPatrick Yazbek
Edvard Tagseth20E. TagsethEdvard Tagseth
Elias Saad11E. SaadElias Saad
Hany Mukhtar10H. MukhtarHany Mukhtar
Sam Surridge9S. SurridgeSam Surridge
Roman Celentano18R. CelentanoRoman Celentano
Samuel Gidi11S. GidiSamuel Gidi
Matt Miazga21M. MiazgaMatt Miazga
Miles Robinson12M. RobinsonMiles Robinson
Pavel Bucha20P. BuchaPavel Bucha
Obinna Nwobodo5O. NwobodoObinna Nwobodo
Gerardo Valenzuela22G. ValenzuelaGerardo Valenzuela
Ender Echenique66E. EcheniqueEnder Echenique
Kenji Mboma Dem17K. Mboma DemKenji Mboma Dem
Kévin Denkey9K. DenkeyKévin Denkey
Evander10EvanderEvander

Nashville SC Substitutes

16Matthew CorcoranM
2Daniel LovitzD
14Shakur MohammedM
6Bryan AcostaM
19Alex MuylM
37Ahmed QasemF
1Joe WillisG
5Jack MaherD
22Josh BauerD

FC Cincinnati Substitutes

29Bryan RamirezD
99Ayoub JabbariF
24Kyle SmithD
16Tom BarlowF
2Alvas PowellD
27Tah AnungaM
13Evan LouroG
4Nick HagglundD
15Teenage HadebeD

Match Stats

Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots2
14Fouls9
4Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves4
408Total Passes383
358Passes Accurate333
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1746Elo Rating 1636
1.85Attack 1.26
1.72Defense 0.00
31%Hit Rate 14%
14.9Shots per Game 15.8
4.3Shots on Target 6.6
5.3Corners per Game 6.0
2.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Nashville SC 17%Draw 19%64% FC Cincinnati
3.17Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Nashville SCNashville SC
4W0D1L
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
2W2D1L
23/08/2026
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
11
D
20/08/2026
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC
21
W
16/08/2026
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
11
D
12/08/2026
FC CincinnatiAtlas
12
L
08/08/2026
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
W

Referee Profile

A. Villarreal · 90 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 71% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.17 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.