FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

TQL Stadium, Cincinnati·Drew Fischer, Canada 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.92
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
FC Cincinnati Rest
3 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
2 days

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders: result, form and history

FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. FC Cincinnati had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Seattle Sounders.

Seattle Sounders tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.4 for FC Cincinnati.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.75
X
22%4.30
2
19%4.05
Double Chance
1X
81%1.22
X2
41%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.40
No
43%2.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.89 = 2.79
Over 1.5
77%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.36
Over 3.5
36%1.91
Under 1.5
23%6.84
Under 2.5
40%3.10
Under 3.5
64%1.87
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.9 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.45
Over 9.5
53%1.79
Over 10.5
39%2.21
Under 8.5
34%2.55
Under 9.5
47%1.94
Under 10.5
61%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
52%1.60
Over 4.5
36%2.17
Under 3.5
48%2.20
Under 4.5
64%1.60

Match Events

24'Evander
38'R. Sailor
59'K. Mboma INK. Denkey out
61'S. Brunell IND. Musovski out
61'E. Carli INNouhou out
64'B. J. Ramirez Leon
73'B. J. Ramirez Leon INP. Bucha out
73'T. Barlow INA. Jabbari out
75'P. Kingston
77'A. Lopez INA. Rusnak out
77'O. De Rosario INA. Roldan out
83'K. Kossa-RienziAssist: A. Rusnak
89'E. Echenique INA. Powell out
89'T. Anunga INO. Nwobodo out
90+1'S. Gomez INKim Kee-Hee out

Lineups

FC Cincinnati
3-5-2Coach: Pat Noonan
Seattle Sounders
5-4-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.83
R. Celentano6.918R. Celentano
S. Gidi7.211S. Gidi
M. Robinson7.712M. Robinson
A. Chirila7.388A. Chirila
E. Echenique6.966E. Echenique
G. Valenzuela7.222G. Valenzuela
EvanderC8.610Evander
T. Anunga7.227T. Anunga
B. J. Ramirez Leon6.229B. J. Ramirez Leon
K. Mboma6.717K. Mboma
T. Barlow6.916T. Barlow
A. Thomas8.926A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi8.385K. Kossa-Rienzi
S. Hawkins6.739S. Hawkins
R. Sailor6.94R. Sailor
A. Lopez5.935A. Lopez
P. RothrockC7.314P. Rothrock
E. Carli6.230E. Carli
P. Kingston6.745P. Kingston
S. Brunell6.337S. Brunell
S. Gomez6.590S. Gomez
O. De Rosario6.595O. De Rosario

FC Cincinnati Substitutes

13E. Louro
4N. Hagglund
15T. Hadebe
2A. Powell89'for E. Echenique
24K. Smith
20P. Bucha73'for B. J. Ramirez Leon6.5
5O. Nwobodo89'for T. Anunga
99A. Jabbari73'for T. Barlow7.2
9K. Denkey59'for K. Mboma6.7

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

24S. Frei
20Kim Kee-Hee90+1'for S. Gomez
16A. Roldan77'for O. De Rosario6.9
5Nouhou61'for E. Carli6.3
11A. Rusnak77'for A. Lopez6.9
32X. Gnaulati
19D. Musovski61'for S. Brunell6.2
42R. Jauregui
81M. Bronnik

Match Stats

FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
70%Ball Possession30%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
7Fouls14
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
689Total Passes284
625Passes Accurate240
91%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1637Elo Rating 1580
1.45Attack 0.82
2.09Defense 0.73
63%Hit Rate 0%
12.5Shots per Game 16.0
4.0Shots on Target 4.9
3.4Corners per Game 6.9
1.0Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer12/03/2023
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
10
Major League Soccer28/09/2022
Seattle SoundersFC Cincinnati
11

Recent Form

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
7W1D2L
20/08/2026
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC
21
W
16/08/2026
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
11
D
12/08/2026
FC CincinnatiAtlas
12
L
08/08/2026
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
W
05/08/2026
FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca
31
W
02/08/2026
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes
42
W
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
21
L
23/07/2026
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
43
W
11/07/2026
FC CincinnatiBurnley
31
W
24/05/2026
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC
62
W
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W0D9L

Referee Profile

Drew Fischer146 matches

4.09Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Drew Fischer4.09
Other referees4.19

4.09 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.