Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Nashville SC
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
Geodis Park, Nashville·Victor Rivas, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.69
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Nashville SC Rest
3 days
Columbus Crew Rest
3 days

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew: the result in context

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Nashville SC tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.1 for Columbus Crew.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.69
X
21%3.90
2
17%4.75
Double Chance
1X
83%1.19
X2
38%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.69
No
39%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.87 = 2.83
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.72
Over 3.5
35%2.74
Under 1.5
23%4.20
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.55
Over 9.5
52%1.93
Over 10.5
35%2.54
Under 8.5
38%2.27
Under 9.5
48%1.79
Under 10.5
65%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
66%1.80
Over 4.5
43%2.33
Under 3.5
34%1.87
Under 4.5
57%1.57

Match Events

27'H. MukhtarAssist: D. Lovitz
39'D. Lovitz
49'C. Ruvalcaba
58'M. FarsiAssist: M. Amundsen
59'M. Farsi INB. Lennon out
59'C. Adams INJ. Martinez out
62'A. Muyl INE. Saad out
62'P. Yazbek INE. Tagseth out
62'D. Lovitz INR. Baker-Whiting out
68'A. Gomes
76'A. Gomes IND. Chambost out
84'B. Mendez IND. Gazdag out
84'T. Habroune INL. Giaccone out
88'M. Corcoran INB. Acosta out
88'C. Espinoza INS. Mohammed out
90+3'R. Baker-WhitingAssist: H. Mukhtar
90+5'A. NajarAssist: J. Palacios

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-4-2Coach: Brian Callaghan
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Coach: Laurent Courtois
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.49
B. Schwake6.099B. Schwake
A. Najar7.231A. Najar
J. Palacios7.24J. Palacios
M. Woledzi6.63M. Woledzi
D. Lovitz6.72D. Lovitz
C. Espinoza7.37C. Espinoza
P. Yazbek6.68P. Yazbek
M. Corcoran6.716M. Corcoran
A. Muyl6.719A. Muyl
H. MukhtarC8.310H. Mukhtar
S. Surridge6.99S. Surridge
P. Schulte6.328P. Schulte
S. Moreira5.931S. Moreira
C. Ruvalcaba6.012C. Ruvalcaba
S. ZawadzkiC5.925S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen5.918M. Amundsen
M. Farsi7.523M. Farsi
A. Gomes7.920A. Gomes
T. Karumanchi6.950T. Karumanchi
T. Habroune6.216T. Habroune
B. Mendez6.610B. Mendez
C. Adams46C. Adams

Nashville SC Substitutes

1J. Willis
5J. Maher
22J. Bauer
27R. Baker-Whiting62'for D. Lovitz90+3'7.2
6B. Acosta88'for M. Corcoran6.6
20E. Tagseth62'for P. Yazbek6.3
37A. Qasem
11E. Saad62'for A. Muyl6.7
14S. Mohammed88'for C. Espinoza6.3

Columbus Crew Substitutes

1N. Hagen
2A. Herrera
55C. Rogers
8D. Gazdag84'for B. Mendez6.5
11B. Lennon59'for M. Farsi6.2
7D. Chambost76'for A. Gomes6.6
14A. Sejdic
77J. Martinez59'for C. Adams6.3
26L. Giaccone84'for T. Habroune6.5

Match Stats

Nashville SCColumbus Crew
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal0
8Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls7
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
567Total Passes425
505Passes Accurate360
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1796Elo Rating 1699
1.93Attack 2.33
2.30Defense 2.61
61%Hit Rate 83%
12.8Shots per Game 9.8
5.1Shots on Target 3.9
5.7Corners per Game 3.1
0.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nashville SCNashville SC4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer14/03/2026
Columbus CrewNashville SC
01
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
30
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
Columbus CrewNashville SC
22
Major League Soccer04/07/2024
Columbus CrewNashville SC
20
Major League Soccer31/03/2024
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer25/06/2023
Columbus CrewNashville SC
20
Major League Soccer29/05/2023
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
31
Major League Soccer03/04/2022
Columbus CrewNashville SC
01
Major League Soccer21/10/2021
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
11
Major League Soccer22/07/2021
Columbus CrewNashville SC
00

Recent Form

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
5W2D3L
20/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Montreal
12
L
16/08/2026
CharlotteColumbus Crew
31
L
12/08/2026
Columbus CrewU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3121
W
08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
21
W
05/08/2026
Columbus CrewAtlas
31
W
02/08/2026
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
22
D
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
21
W
23/07/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
12
L
12/07/2026
Columbus CrewBurnley
11
D
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
W

Referee Profile

Victor Rivas143 matches

4.75Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Rivas4.75
Other referees4.30

4.75 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Nashville SC and Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Nashville SC are 1st and Columbus Crew 7th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Nashville SC 71-25, Columbus Crew 59-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Columbus Crew have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.