Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction

Neftchi
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Al-Ittihad FC
Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana·Adham Makhadmeh 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseHighGap-4.3%
Neftchi Rest
2 days
Al-Ittihad FC Rest
2 days

Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC: result, form and history

Al-Ittihad FC beat Neftchi 2-1 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%4.00
X
29%3.77
2
54%1.75
Double Chance
1X
46%2.00
X2
83%1.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.64 = 3.06
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.62
Over 3.5
34%2.54
Under 1.5
23%4.48
Under 2.5
43%2.22
Under 3.5
66%1.48
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Penalty confirmedJamshid Iskanderov
17'Jamshid Iskanderov(Penalty)
32'MichelFoul
34'Houssem AouarAssist: Steven Bergwijn
45'Bojan Ciger INAnvarjon Gofurov out
45'Vladimir Jovović INYan Medeiros Sasse out
63'Georginio Wijnaldum INMukhtar Ali out
63'George Ilenikhena INYoussef En-Nesyri out
70'Alisher Odilov INIbrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev out
73'Dion Lopy INAhmed Al-Ghamdi out
73'Steven Bergwijn INMarwan Al-Sahafi out
80'Abrorbek ismoilov INKhurshid Giyosov out
80'Richard Ríos MontoyaFoul
86'Marcus Forss INAsilbek Jumaev out
89'Farrukh SayfievFoul
90'Youssef En-Nesyri
90+3'Houssem Aouar INMuath Faquihi out

Lineups

Neftchi
4-4-1-1Coach: Islom Ismoilov
Al-Ittihad FC
3-5-2Coach: Jens Wissing
Avg rating6.23
Avg rating6.74
B. Ergashev6.61B. Ergashev
K. Kouao6.652K. Kouao
Michel5.73Michel
B. Ciger6.34B. Ciger
F. Sayfiyev6.334F. Sayfiyev
A. Ismailov5.97A. Ismailov
V. Jovović6.08V. Jovović
Ratinho6.477Ratinho
Alisher Odilov6.222A. Odilov
J. Iskanderov6.810J. Iskanderov
M. Forss5.888M. Forss
P. Rajković6.61P. Rajković
Saad Al Mosa6.86S. Al Mosa
Danilo Pereira7.22D. Pereira
D. Lopy6.230D. Lopy
Muhannad Al Shanqiti6.913M. Al Shanqiti
G. Wijnaldum6.123G. Wijnaldum
S. Bergwijn7.034S. Bergwijn
R. Rios6.25R. Rios
F. Abdi6.825F. Abdi
H. Aouar8.210H. Aouar
G. Ilenikhena6.499G. Ilenikhena

Neftchi Substitutes

2I. Pulatov
45A. Turaev
71B. Toshmirzaev
31Yan Sasse45'for Vladimir Jovović6.5
20A. G'ofurov45'for Bojan Ciger6.1
19A. Erimbetov
9K. Giyosov80'for Abrorbek ismoilov6.4
27N. Sarsenbaev
11A. Jumayev86'for Marcus Forss6.1
17Azizbek Murotov
6Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev70'replaced by Alisher Odilov
15Nurmuhammad Abduganiyev

Al-Ittihad FC Substitutes

50Mohammed Al Absi
8Mukhtar Ali63'for Georginio Wijnaldum5.9
32Ahmed Al Julaydan
88Osama Al Mermesh
22Marwan Al Sahafi73'for Steven Bergwijn6.5
66Mohammed Barnawi
21Y. En-Nesyri63'for George Ilenikhena90'7.7
42Muath Faqeehi90+3'for Houssem Aouar
41Mohammed Fallatah
4J. Šimić
27Ahmed Al Ghamdi73'for Dion Lopy6.6

Match Stats

NeftchiAl-Ittihad FC
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
12Fouls7
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
274Total Passes527
221Passes Accurate454
6Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NeftchiNeftchi
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
1675Elo Rating 1735
2.49Attack 2.12
0.65Defense 1.74
46%Hit Rate 50%
9.0Shots per Game 17.9
2.0Shots on Target 6.9
5.0Corners per Game 6.3
5.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

NeftchiNeftchi
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Referee Profile

Adham Makhadmeh56 matches

3.41Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adham Makhadmeh3.41
Other referees3.68

3.41 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.68).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al AinAl Ain330010:2+89WWW
2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiShabab Al Ahli Dubai33005:1+49WWW
3Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah32106:3+37WWD
4Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC22004:1+36WW
5Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC32015:3+26LWW
6Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC31204:3+15DDW
7Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC31114:404WLD
8Al-NassrAl-Nassr21013:5-23WL
9NeftchiNeftchi31023:5-23LLW
10Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya31022:5-33WLL
11Al ShamalAl Shamal20201:102DD
12PakhtakorPakhtakor30212:3-12LDD
13Tractor SaziTractor Sazi30121:3-21LDL
14Al SaddAl Sadd30121:6-51DLL
15Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa30033:6-30LLL
16Al-Wasl FCAl-Wasl FC20022:5-30LL

About the Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Neftchi and Al-Ittihad FC in the AFC Champions League Elite table

Al-Ittihad FC and Neftchi are close in the AFC Champions League Elite table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Neftchi 3-5, Al-Ittihad FC 4-4. The full standings are on the AFC Champions League Elite Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Neftchi and Al-Ittihad FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.