Newport County vs Grimsby Prediction

League TwoEngland England · Regular Season - 8
Newport County
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Grimsby
Rodney Parade, Newport 26/09/2026
Newport CountyNewport County
2-1
Finished
GrimsbyGrimsby

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-12.4%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Newport County Rest
3 days
Grimsby Rest
3 days

Newport County vs Grimsby: result, form and history

Newport County beat Grimsby 2-1 in the League Two on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches. Grimsby tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 3.8 for Newport County.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.86
X
27%3.50
2
47%1.87
Double Chance
1X
53%1.88
X2
74%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.51 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.81
Over 3.5
31%2.92
Under 1.5
24%3.60
Under 2.5
47%1.95
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.30
Over 9.5
50%1.54
Over 10.5
39%1.87
Under 8.5
42%3.16
Under 9.5
50%2.29
Under 10.5
61%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

10'M. Dibley-DiasFoul
36'Mark Shelton INRyley Reynolds out
57'Christian DoidgeAssist: Cameron Norman
59'Iwan Morgan INAndy Cook out
59'Finn Cartwright INSonny Finch out
63'Andy CookArgument
69'Shaquille GwengweAssist: Ciaran Brennan
71'Cameron Norman INjoe thomas out
72'Kieran GreenDissent
73'Charles Vernam INReece Staunton out
73'Jayden Sweeney INJustin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor out
81'M. Dibley-Dias INAaron Lewis out
81'Shaquille Gwengwe INGerard Garner out
83'Jordan WrightOG
90+2'Matty JacobsFoul
90+4'Michael Adu-Poku INYahya Bamba out

Lineups

Newport County
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Mullins
Grimsby
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Artell
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.22
J. Wright5.91J. Wright
C. Norman6.022C. Norman
L. Jenkins6.05L. Jenkins
K. Cameron6.74K. Cameron
M. Jacob6.416M. Jacob
M. Dibley-Dias6.224M. Dibley-Dias
C. Brennan6.66C. Brennan
M. Adu-Poku6.423M. Adu-Poku
H. Biggins6.110H. Biggins
S. Gwengwe7.49S. Gwengwe
C. Doidge7.727C. Doidge
C. Pym6.731C. Pym
H. Rodgers6.05H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri6.62M. Kacurri
C. McJannet7.117C. McJannet
J. Sweeney5.93J. Sweeney
M. Shelton6.629M. Shelton
F. Cartwright5.828F. Cartwright
K. Green5.94K. Green
J. Walker6.27J. Walker
C. Vernam6.330C. Vernam
Iwan Morgan6.19I. Morgan

Newport County Substitutes

7K. Evans
19G. Garner81'for Shaquille Gwengwe6.6
18A. Lewis81'for M. Dibley-Dias6.3
33S. MacDonald
20Y. Bamba90+4'for Michael Adu-Poku
8M. Smith
12Joe Thomas71'for Cameron Norman6.3

Grimsby Substitutes

39A. Cook59'for Iwan Morgan63'6.1
8Cian Doyle
10S. Finch59'for Finn Cartwright6.4
16R. Staunton73'for Charles Vernam6.2
14J. Amaluzor73'for Jayden Sweeney6.3
11Ryley Reynolds36'for Mark Shelton5.5
41S. Auton

Match Stats

Newport CountyGrimsby
33%Ball Possession67%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
14Fouls9
2Offsides7
3Goalkeeper Saves3
224Total Passes466
118Passes Accurate363
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Newport CountyNewport County
GrimsbyGrimsby
1492Elo Rating 1543
1.10Attack 1.54
1.80Defense 1.72
17%Hit Rate 27%
13.2Shots per Game 17.5
3.1Shots on Target 5.7
3.8Corners per Game 6.7
1.6Cards per Game 3.0

Game State Tendencies

Newport CountyNewport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GrimsbyGrimsby
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Newport CountyNewport County2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
GrimsbyGrimsby4Wins · 40%
1.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

League Two07/02/2026
Newport CountyGrimsby
00
League Two16/08/2025
GrimsbyNewport County
21
League Two22/03/2025
GrimsbyNewport County
10
League Two16/11/2024
Newport CountyGrimsby
00
League Two06/04/2024
GrimsbyNewport County
10
League Two16/12/2023
Newport CountyGrimsby
11
League Two07/03/2023
GrimsbyNewport County
11
League Two03/09/2022
Newport CountyGrimsby
02
League Two06/02/2021
Newport CountyGrimsby
10
League Two08/12/2020
GrimsbyNewport County
02

Recent Form

Newport CountyNewport County
2W3D5L
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
W
19/09/2026
Accrington STNewport County
00
D
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
L
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
L
29/08/2026
Newport CountyTranmere
22
D
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
W
08/08/2026
AFC WimbledonNewport County
5141
L
04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
14
L
GrimsbyGrimsby
4W4D2L
22/09/2026
Notts CountyGrimsby
21
L
19/09/2026
GrimsbyCrawley Town
20
W12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
W
05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
22
D
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D
29/08/2026
GrimsbyFleetwood Town
22
D
22/08/2026
WalsallGrimsby
00
D
15/08/2026
GrimsbyExeter City
10
W
08/08/2026
GrimsbyBlackpool
13
L
04/08/2026
GrimsbyGrimsby Borough
32
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1063123:15+821LWWWW
3CreweCrewe1256115:11+421LWWWD
4WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1253421:22-118WLLLW
6YorkYork1145219:13+617DDDWL
7GillinghamGillingham1245317:14+317DLWDL
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1252513:17-417WWLWD
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1244418:16+216DLDWL
10Exeter CityExeter City124448:6+216WDWWL
11Accrington STAccrington ST1236317:16+115DWDWD
12Newport CountyNewport County1236316:15+115DDWDW
13TranmereTranmere1236315:15015WLDLD
14RochdaleRochdale1243515:17-215DLDWW
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1243513:16-315WDLLD
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1250716:20-415LLLLW
17GrimsbyGrimsby1235415:15014DLLLL
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1235414:15-114LWDLL
19ColchesterColchester1126311:14-312DDLDD
20Port ValePort Vale103346:10-412DWWLW
21OldhamOldham1132613:17-411LWDLL
22RotherhamRotherham1225514:20-611DLLLD
23NorthamptonNorthampton102446:8-210LWDLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1012711:20-95LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1023:1521
3CreweCrewe1215:1121
4WalsallWalsall1116:719
5CheltenhamCheltenham1221:2218
6YorkYork1119:1317
7GillinghamGillingham1217:1417
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1213:1717
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1218:1616
10Exeter CityExeter City128:616
11Accrington STAccrington ST1217:1615
12Newport CountyNewport County1216:1515
13TranmereTranmere1215:1515
14RochdaleRochdale1215:1715
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1213:1615
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1216:2015
17GrimsbyGrimsby1215:1514
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1214:1514
19ColchesterColchester1111:1412
20Port ValePort Vale106:1012
21OldhamOldham1113:1711
22RotherhamRotherham1214:2011
23NorthamptonNorthampton106:810
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1011:205
PromotionRelegation

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About the Newport County vs Grimsby forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Newport County and Grimsby in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Newport County are 12th and Grimsby 17th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Newport County 16-15, Grimsby 15-15. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.