Accrington ST vs Newport County Prediction

The Crown Ground, Accrington 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Accrington ST Rest
7 days
Newport County Rest
7 days

Accrington ST vs Newport County: result, form and history

Accrington ST and Newport County drew 0-0 in the League Two on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Accrington ST have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Accrington ST tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 3.8 for Newport County.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.04
X
29%3.38
2
30%3.48
Double Chance
1X
70%1.27
X2
59%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.69
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.24 = 2.67
Over 1.5
80%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.87
Over 3.5
33%3.10
Under 1.5
20%3.60
Under 2.5
44%1.90
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.43
Over 9.5
54%1.75
Over 10.5
41%2.18
Under 8.5
39%2.58
Under 9.5
46%1.98
Under 10.5
59%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
26%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
74%-

Match Events

21'Donald LoveFoul
53'Charlie Caton INCole Stockton out
66'Connor O'Brien INOliver Smith out
66'Kieron Thomas Evans INMichael Adu-Poku out
78'Cameron NormanFoul
81'David Tutonda INJoel Catesby out
83'Harrison BigginsFoul
86'Christian Doidge INShaquille Gwengwe out
86'Harrison Biggins INTanatswa Nyakuhwa out
90+2'Stefan MolsFoul

Lineups

Accrington ST
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Doolan
Newport County
3-4-2-1Coach: H. Mullins
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.50
L. Moulden7.71L. Moulden
D. Love6.22D. Love
S. Conneely7.028S. Conneely
J. Anderson6.622J. Anderson
C. O'Brien6.838C. O'Brien
Stefan Mols6.414S. Mols
L. Coyle6.06L. Coyle
D. Tutonda6.333D. Tutonda
J. Woods6.439J. Woods
T. Walton6.723T. Walton
C. Caton6.618C. Caton
J. Wright7.01J. Wright
L. Jenkins6.25L. Jenkins
K. Cameron6.94K. Cameron
Joe Thomas6.112J. Thomas
C. Norman6.222C. Norman
M. Dibley-Dias6.424M. Dibley-Dias
C. Brennan6.36C. Brennan
M. Jacob6.716M. Jacob
H. Biggins6.310H. Biggins
K. Evans6.57K. Evans
C. Doidge6.427C. Doidge

Accrington ST Substitutes

16Aidan Borland
27J. Catesby81'for David Tutonda6.5
21J. Rogerson
20C. Brown
13C. Stockton53'for Charlie Caton6.5
30C. Warren
3Oliver Smith66'replaced by Connor O'Brien

Newport County Substitutes

21T. Nyakuhwa86'for Harrison Biggins6.9
34D. Sassi
8M. Smith
25J. Turner
9S. Gwengwe86'for Christian Doidge6.5
20Y. Bamba
23M. Adu-Poku66'for Kieron Thomas Evans6.6

Match Stats

Accrington STNewport County
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots5
21Fouls11
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
371Total Passes261
272Passes Accurate157
10Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

Accrington STAccrington ST
Newport CountyNewport County
1527Elo Rating 1492
2.30Attack 1.10
2.44Defense 1.80
46%Hit Rate 17%
17.5Shots per Game 13.2
5.6Shots on Target 3.1
6.8Corners per Game 3.8
2.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Accrington STAccrington ST
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Newport CountyNewport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Accrington STAccrington ST4Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Newport CountyNewport County2Wins · 33%
3.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

League Two27/01/2026
Newport CountyAccrington ST
14
League Two11/10/2025
Accrington STNewport County
01
League Two11/03/2025
Accrington STNewport County
50
League Two24/08/2024
Newport CountyAccrington ST
31
League Two09/04/2024
Newport CountyAccrington ST
13
League Two05/08/2023
Accrington STNewport County
30

Recent Form

Accrington STAccrington ST
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
BarnetAccrington ST
21
L
05/09/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
32
W
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D
29/08/2026
WalsallAccrington ST
32
L
22/08/2026
Exeter CityAccrington ST
20
L
15/08/2026
Accrington STColchester
22
D
08/08/2026
CreweAccrington ST
21
L
01/08/2026
Accrington STSheffield Wednesday
00
D
28/07/2026
Accrington STBury
10
W
25/07/2026
ChorleyAccrington ST
03
W
Newport CountyNewport County
2W2D6L
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
L
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
L
29/08/2026
Newport CountyTranmere
22
D
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
W
08/08/2026
AFC WimbledonNewport County
5141
L
04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
14
L
01/08/2026
Yeovil TownNewport County
12
W
28/07/2026
Newport CountyReading
04
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1164124:16+822DLWWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1255221:13+820WDDDW
6WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1124:1622
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1221:1320
6WalsallWalsall1116:719
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Accrington ST vs Newport County forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Accrington ST and Newport County in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Accrington ST are 9th and Newport County 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Accrington ST 22-16, Newport County 16-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.