Grimsby vs Crawley Town Prediction

League TwoEngland England · Regular Season - 7
Grimsby
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Crawley Town
Blundell Park, Grimsby 19/09/2026
GrimsbyGrimsby
2-0
Finished
Crawley TownCrawley Town

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+0.7%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Grimsby Rest
7 days
Crawley Town Rest
7 days

Grimsby vs Crawley Town: the result in context

Grimsby beat Crawley Town 2-0 in the League Two on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Grimsby have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Grimsby tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.1 for Crawley Town.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.40
X
18%4.80
2
9%6.97
Double Chance
1X
91%1.09
X2
27%2.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.93 = 2.78
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
57%1.46
Over 3.5
34%2.20
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
43%2.50
Under 3.5
66%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.25
Over 9.5
54%1.40
Over 10.5
43%1.68
Under 8.5
37%3.46
Under 9.5
46%2.62
Under 10.5
57%2.03
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

13'Charles Vernam(Penalty missed)
29'Nicholas MichalskiFoul
30'Iwan Morgan(Penalty)
39'Priestley FarquharsonFoul
42'Kieran GreenAssist: Iwan Morgan
48'Maldini KacurriFoul
54'Mark Shelton INJamie Walker out
56'Osman kamara INPemi Aderoju out
58'Ade AdeyemoFoul
65'Géza Dávid TuriFoul
68'Ade Adeyemo INDion Pereira out
68'Ty Ewens-Findlay INLouie Watson out
70'Finn Cartwright INRyley Reynolds out
70'Iwan Morgan INSonny Finch out
85'Danilo Orsi INMalcolm Ebiowei out
85'Dylan Morgan INNathan Tinsdale out
87'Malcolm EbioweiFoul
89'Kieran Green INCian Doyle out
89'Charles Vernam INJoe Foulkes out

Lineups

Grimsby
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Artell
Crawley Town
4-4-2Coach: Colin Kazım-Richards
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.19
C. Pym6.931C. Pym
H. Rodgers6.75H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri6.32M. Kacurri
C. McJannet6.817C. McJannet
J. Sweeney7.23J. Sweeney
G. Turi6.615G. Turi
F. Cartwright6.528F. Cartwright
K. Green7.94K. Green
M. Shelton7.129M. Shelton
C. Vernam7.230C. Vernam
Iwan Morgan7.79I. Morgan
N. Michalski7.313N. Michalski
K. Gordon5.62K. Gordon
P. Farquharson6.26P. Farquharson
A. Odimayo6.324A. Odimayo
J. Russell6.816J. Russell
A. Adeyemo5.922A. Adeyemo
J. Arthurs6.420J. Arthurs
Ty Ewens-Findlay5.735T. Ewens-Findlay
Osman Kamara5.717O. Kamara
2727D. Morgan
D. Orsi6.19D. Orsi

Grimsby Substitutes

7J. Walker54'for Mark Shelton7.0
11Ryley Reynolds70'for Finn Cartwright6.7
26E. Pruti
41S. Auton
12J. Foulkes89'for Charles Vernam7.3
10S. Finch70'for Iwan Morgan6.4
8Cian Doyle89'for Kieran Green6.8

Crawley Town Substitutes

11P. Aderoju56'for Osman kamara6.5
5C. Barker
31J. Izquierdo
7M. Ebiowei85'for Danilo Orsi87'6.4
28Nathan Tinsdale85'replaced by Dylan Morgan6.0
8L. Watson68'for Ty Ewens-Findlay6.0
19D. Pereira68'for Ade Adeyemo5.8

Match Stats

GrimsbyCrawley Town
44%Ball Possession56%
9Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards4
22Total Shots12
11Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal7
18Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots4
17Fouls14
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
286Total Passes368
198Passes Accurate262
14Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

GrimsbyGrimsby
Crawley TownCrawley Town
1543Elo Rating 1428
1.54Attack 1.82
1.72Defense 1.32
27%Hit Rate 14%
17.5Shots per Game 13.3
5.7Shots on Target 6.4
6.7Corners per Game 4.1
3.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GrimsbyGrimsby
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Crawley TownCrawley Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GrimsbyGrimsby5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
Crawley TownCrawley Town2Wins · 25%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

League Two06/04/2026
Crawley TownGrimsby
02
League Two02/08/2025
GrimsbyCrawley Town
30
League Two27/04/2024
Crawley TownGrimsby
20
League Two23/09/2023
GrimsbyCrawley Town
23
League Two28/03/2023
Crawley TownGrimsby
11
League Two08/10/2022
GrimsbyCrawley Town
30
League Two23/02/2021
GrimsbyCrawley Town
21
League Two24/11/2020
Crawley TownGrimsby
12

Recent Form

GrimsbyGrimsby
4W5D1L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
W
05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
22
D
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D
29/08/2026
GrimsbyFleetwood Town
22
D
22/08/2026
WalsallGrimsby
00
D
15/08/2026
GrimsbyExeter City
10
W
08/08/2026
GrimsbyBlackpool
13
L
04/08/2026
GrimsbyGrimsby Borough
32
W
01/08/2026
GrimsbyWigan
20
W
29/07/2026
Boston UnitedGrimsby
00
D
Crawley TownCrawley Town
2W1D7L
12/09/2026
Crawley TownCheltenham
13
L
05/09/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
32
L
01/09/2026
NorthamptonCrawley Town
11
D
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
W
15/08/2026
Crawley TownCrewe
01
L
08/08/2026
WatfordCrawley Town
10
L03/08/2026
YorkCrawley Town
02
W
31/07/2026
Crawley TownReading
01
L
28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
31
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

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About the Grimsby vs Crawley Town forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Grimsby and Crawley Town in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Grimsby are 6th and Crawley Town 24th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Grimsby 24-18, Crawley Town 13-21. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.