AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County Prediction

League CupEngland England · Round of 128
CupKnockout
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 5-4
Newport County
The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London· P. Howard 08/08/2026
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
1-1
After Penalties
Newport CountyNewport County

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel45%RiskHighGap+0.3%
AFC Wimbledon Rest
7 days
Newport County Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%1.66
X
25%3.90
2
41%4.62
Double Chance
1X
59%1.17
X2
66%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.72
No
54%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.28 = 2.69
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
47%1.73
Over 3.5
30%2.75
Under 1.5
18%3.90
Under 2.5
53%2.05
Under 3.5
70%1.41
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'Dan SweeneyFoul
64'Myles HippolyteFoul
66'Dan Sweeney INSteven Sessegnon out
66'Aron Sasu INJayden Stockley out
66'Zack Nelson INCallum Maycock out
68'Shaquille Gwengwe(Penalty missed)
71'Yahya BambaAssist: Shaquille Gwengwe
73'Shaquille Gwengwe INMoses Alexander-Walker out
73'Christian Doidge INGerard Garner out
76'Yahya Bamba INDan Sassi out
78'Moses Alexander-Walker
82'Alistair Smith INAntwoine Hackford out
86'Thomas Davies INAlfie Merritt out
86'Cameron Evans INMatt Smith out
90+7'Callum MaycockAssist: Isaac Ogundere

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Newport County
4-2-3-1

AFC Wimbledon Starting XI

1Nathan BishopG
33Isaac OgundereD
26Dan SweeneyD
6Ryan JohnsonD
7James TilleyM
10Zack NelsonM
12Alistair SmithM
21Myles HippolyteM
3Steve SeddonM
11Marcus BrowneF
29Aron SasuF

Newport County Starting XI

1Jordan WrightG
22Cameron NormanD
5Lee JenkinsD
4Kyle CameronD
3Thomas DaviesD
2Cameron EvansM
6Ciaran BrennanM
20Yahya BambaM
10Harrison BigginsM
9Shaquille GwengweM
27Christian DoidgeF

AFC Wimbledon Substitutes

2Steven SessegnonD
8Callum MaycockM
9Jayden StockleyF
16Antwoine HackfordF
20Joe McDonnellG
32Kai JenningsM
5Ollie HarrisonM
18Delano McCoy-SplattM
4Jake ReevesM

Newport County Substitutes

19Gerard GarnerF
14Moses Alexander-WalkerF
34Dan SassiD
17Alfie MerrittD
8Matt SmithM
33Shaun MacDonaldG
29Keenan PatternM
36Harrison PughM
40Cole JarvisF

Match Stats

AFC WimbledonNewport County
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots6
11Fouls15
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
365Total Passes226
262Passes Accurate139
72%Pass Accuracy62%

Team Comparison

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
Newport CountyNewport County
1504Elo Rating 1445
1.09Attack 1.22
1.80Defense 1.08
66%Hit Rate 0%
11.0Shots per Game 10.2
3.1Shots on Target 2.6
4.8Corners per Game 4.0
1.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Newport CountyNewport County
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

AFC Wimbledon 27%Draw 54%19% Newport County
3.06Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
2W1D2L
01/08/2026
AFC WimbledonQPR
23
L
28/07/2026
WealdstoneAFC Wimbledon
10
L
25/07/2026
AFC WimbledonCharlton
20
W
22/07/2026
AFC WimbledonNorwich
00
D
18/07/2026
Sutton UtdAFC Wimbledon
12
W
Newport CountyNewport County
1W2D2L
04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
14
L
01/08/2026
Yeovil TownNewport County
12
W
28/07/2026
Newport CountyReading
04
L
25/07/2026
Bath CityNewport County
22
D
21/07/2026
Bristol CityNewport County
00
D

Referee Profile

P. Howard · 7 matches analysed

3.1Avg Yellows
3.2Avg Cards
23.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Bristol City0
Walsall1
Wolves3
Port Vale0
Wycombe1
Stevenage2
Middlesbrough1
Wrexham0
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
QPR10
Millwall12
On penalties
AFC Wimbledon15
Newport County14
On penalties
Barnsley16
Wigan15
On penalties
Bristol Rovers0
Peterborough1
Bromley14
Reading15
On penalties
Burnley14
Notts County13
On penalties
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
Cardiff3
Swindon Town2
Crewe2
Accrington ST1
Derby1
Lincoln2
Fleetwood Town1
Chesterfield0
Gillingham0
Luton3
Norwich4
Milton Keynes Dons1
Grimsby1
Blackpool3
Leicester1
Northampton0
Leyton Orient2
Oxford United0
Preston14
Huddersfield13
On penalties
Salford City13
Shrewsbury14
On penalties
Sheffield Wednesday1
Bolton0
Stockport County14
Doncaster15
On penalties
Stoke City2
Oldham0
Swansea0
Birmingham1
West Ham3
Portsmouth1
Bradford2
Rochdale0
Watford1
Crawley Town0
Cheltenham1
Charlton3
Colchester0
Southampton2
Rotherham1
West Brom4
Mansfield Town0
Sheffield Utd3
Plymouth2
Exeter City0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Ipswich
Seeded
Coventry
Seeded
Hull City
Seeded
Nottingham Forest
Seeded
Leeds
Seeded
Brentford
Seeded
Newcastle
Seeded
Tottenham
Seeded
Everton
Seeded
Chelsea
Seeded
Fulham
Seeded
Cardiff1
Norwich2
Doncaster1
Middlesbrough3
Barnsley3
Crewe2
Blackpool1
Lincoln4
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Ipswich3
Leicester1
Southampton1
West Ham4
Stevenage0
Reading3
Blackburn1
Sheffield Utd2
Fleetwood Town4
Shrewsbury0
Plymouth2
Coventry4
Sheffield Wednesday0
Wolves2
Stoke City14
Hull City15
On penalties
Walsall05
Leyton Orient06
On penalties
Watford1
Peterborough5
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Birmingham1
Brentford6
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Newcastle3
West Brom2
Tottenham5
Charlton1
Preston0
Everton4
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Bournemouth4
Lincoln0
Crystal Palace3
Middlesbrough0
Leyton Orient1
Bradford3
Sunderland1
Hull City0
Millwall0
Newcastle1
Chelsea6
Leeds3
Peterborough37
Barnsley36
On penalties
West Ham2
Fulham3
Liverpool3
Tottenham1
Reading1
Brentford2
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
Everton-
Wolves-
16/09/2026
Fleetwood Town-
Sheffield Utd-
16/09/2026
Coventry-
Aston Villa-
16/09/2026
Manchester United-
Brighton-
16/09/2026
Manchester City-
Norwich-
17/09/2026
Bristol City0
Walsall1
Wolves3
Port Vale0
Wycombe1
Stevenage2
Middlesbrough1
Wrexham0
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
QPR10
Millwall12
On penalties
AFC Wimbledon15
Newport County14
On penalties
Barnsley16
Wigan15
On penalties
Bristol Rovers0
Peterborough1
Bromley14
Reading15
On penalties
Burnley14
Notts County13
On penalties
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
Cardiff3
Swindon Town2
Crewe2
Accrington ST1
Derby1
Lincoln2
Fleetwood Town1
Chesterfield0
Gillingham0
Luton3
Norwich4
Milton Keynes Dons1
Grimsby1
Blackpool3
Leicester1
Northampton0
Leyton Orient2
Oxford United0
Preston14
Huddersfield13
On penalties
Salford City13
Shrewsbury14
On penalties
Sheffield Wednesday1
Bolton0
Stockport County14
Doncaster15
On penalties
Stoke City2
Oldham0
Swansea0
Birmingham1
West Ham3
Portsmouth1
Bradford2
Rochdale0
Watford1
Crawley Town0
Cheltenham1
Charlton3
Colchester0
Southampton2
Rotherham1
West Brom4
Mansfield Town0
Sheffield Utd3
Plymouth2
Exeter City0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Ipswich
Seeded
Coventry
Seeded
Hull City
Seeded
Nottingham Forest
Seeded
Leeds
Seeded
Brentford
Seeded
Newcastle
Seeded
Tottenham
Seeded
Everton
Seeded
Chelsea
Seeded
Fulham
Seeded

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

AFC Wimbledon and Newport County have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.06 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.