NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction

Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica·Duje Strukan 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.35
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
NK Slaven Belupo Rest
7 days
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
2 days

NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb: the result in context

Dinamo Zagreb beat NK Slaven Belupo 5-1 in the HNL on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dinamo Zagreb have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game. Referee Duje Strukan averages 5.16 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%6.88
X
19%5.10
2
67%1.35
Double Chance
1X
33%3.00
X2
86%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.58
No
41%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.75 = 3.08
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.38
Over 3.5
46%1.97
Under 1.5
16%6.00
Under 2.5
34%2.81
Under 3.5
54%1.79
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 5.6 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.47
Over 9.5
48%1.82
Over 10.5
36%2.29
Under 8.5
40%2.46
Under 9.5
52%1.87
Under 10.5
64%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

16'Dani RodríguezAssist: Dion Drena Beljo
31'Dion Drena Beljo(Penalty)
39'Filip mazar INDavid Bosak out
40'Dion Drena BeljoAssist: Mislav Oršić
45'Jon Mersinaj
60'Lovre loncar INLukas Zahora out
60'lovro banovec INLeon Bošnjak out
60'Luka Stojkovic INLukas Kacavenda out
60'Kirill Kravtsov INMiha Zajc out
60'Dani Rodríguez INIker Almena Horcajo out
65'Miha Zajc
67'Dion Drena Beljo INSmail Prevljak out
71'Niko GalesicAssist: Mislav Oršić
74'Josip Mišić INFran Topic out
78'Adeshina Adetunji INLjuban Crepulja out
78'Josip Mitrović INLosika Ratshukudu out

Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Čabraja
Dinamo Zagreb
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Kovacevic
Avg rating5.94
Avg rating6.97
I. Čović5.532I. Čović
F. Krušelj5.618F. Krušelj
D. Kovačić4.84D. Kovačić
J. Mersinaj6.315J. Mersinaj
I. Urata5.777I. Urata
A. Adeshina5.922A. Adeshina
F. Mažar6.117F. Mažar
Lovro Loncaric5.929L. Loncaric
L. Banovec6.18L. Banovec
J. Mitrović6.411J. Mitrović
I. Nestorovski6.290I. Nestorovski
D. Kotarski7.524D. Kotarski
M. Valinčić6.625M. Valinčić
N. Galešić8.015N. Galešić
S. McKenna6.626S. McKenna
B. Goda6.33B. Goda
K. Kravtsov5.95K. Kravtsov
J. Mišić6.527J. Mišić
Dani Rodríguez7.57D. Rodríguez
L. Stojković6.710L. Stojković
M. Oršić7.999M. Oršić
D. Beljo8.99D. Beljo

NK Slaven Belupo Substitutes

24L. Bošnjak60'for lovro banovec6.0
21L. Crepulja78'for Adeshina Adetunji 5.8
5I. Cvetko
23A. Jónsson
99F. Kutlesa
2V. Međimorec
45V. Papac
12M. Pavli
14Losika Ratshukudu78'for Josip Mitrović6.3
30K. Sentić
19L. Zahora60'for Lovre loncar6.5
88D. Bosak39'for Filip mazar6.1

Dinamo Zagreb Substitutes

11A. Hoxha
44I. Filipović
36Sergi Domínguez
23Iker Almena60'for Dani Rodríguez6.5
17L. Ivanušec
80L. Kačavenda60'for Luka Stojkovic6.2
14S. Prevljak67'for Dion Drena Beljo6.4
22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
6S. Radeljić
13Paul Bismarck Tabinas
30F. Topić74'for Josip Mišić7.0
8M. Zajc60'for Kirill Kravtsov65'7.1

Match Stats

NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks2
11Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots5
8Fouls11
3Goalkeeper Saves5
331Total Passes492
239Passes Accurate387
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
1538Elo Rating 1756
1.88Attack 2.61
0.92Defense 1.36
46%Hit Rate 56%
11.3Shots per Game 16.0
4.1Shots on Target 6.7
4.3Corners per Game 4.2
1.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb8Wins · 80%
4.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL31/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
20
HNL17/05/2026
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
14
HNL14/03/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
42
HNL14/12/2025
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
25
HNL28/09/2025
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
41
HNL10/05/2025
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
50
HNL09/03/2025
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
01
HNL06/12/2024
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
11
HNL21/09/2024
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
41
HNL18/05/2024
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
23

Recent Form

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
4W1D5L
11/10/2026
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
41
W
01/10/2026
Olimpija LjubljanaNK Slaven Belupo
21
L
18/09/2026
RudesNK Slaven Belupo
22
D
13/09/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
10
L
09/09/2026
Hrvatski DragovoljacNK Slaven Belupo
05
W
06/09/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
21
W
30/08/2026
NK OsijekNK Slaven Belupo
30
L
22/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
20
W
15/08/2026
Istra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
30
L
09/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
14
L
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
5W2D3L

Referee Profile

Duje Strukan174 matches

5.16Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Duje Strukan5.16
Other referees4.47

5.16 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1071219:9+1022WWLWW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb961223:12+1119WLWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1052319:15+417DLDWL
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka952216:12+417WLWDW
6NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913WLWDL
7Istra 1961Istra 19611033417:16+112LWLWD
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
9HNK GoricaHNK Gorica111467:15-87DDLWD
10RudesRudes1021713:27-147LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1019:922
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb923:1219
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1019:1517
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka916:1217
6NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1114:2313
7Istra 1961Istra 19611017:1612
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
9HNK GoricaHNK Gorica117:157
10RudesRudes1013:277
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NK Slaven Belupo and Dinamo Zagreb in the HNL table

In the HNL table, Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd and NK Slaven Belupo 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: NK Slaven Belupo 14-23, Dinamo Zagreb 23-12. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.