NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 Prediction

Stadion Kranjčevićeva, Zagreb·Antonio Melnjak 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Rest
6 days
Istra 1961 Rest
6 days

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961: result, form and history

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb beat Istra 1961 2-0 in the HNL on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Istra 1961 had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.29
X
26%3.54
2
35%2.73
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
61%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.53
No
41%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.34 = 2.63
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.45
Under 2.5
44%2.19
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 5.2 = 10.7
Over 8.5
71%1.46
Over 9.5
61%1.85
Over 10.5
49%2.25
Under 8.5
29%2.51
Under 9.5
39%1.93
Under 10.5
51%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.3
Over 3.5
77%-
Over 4.5
61%-
Under 3.5
23%-
Under 4.5
39%-

Match Events

11'Fran KaračićAssist: Leon Belcar
46'Lovre kulusicAssist: Fran Karačić
52'Niko ŠepićFoul
61'Niko Šepić INDominik Celija out
61'Dukan Ahmeti INhamza jaganjac out
69'Nik Skafar Zuzic INSilvio Gorican out
69'Demirel hodzic INMatija Kablar out
73'Leon Belcar INdominik thaqi out
73'Dušan Vuković INMirko Marić out
73'Ivan katic INMatej Mitrović out
77'jakov gurlica INMarijan Čabraja out
88'Isaac Aguiar Tomich INvinko rozic out
90+1'Feta Fetai INErbol Atabaev out

Lineups

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Jelavić
Istra 1961
4-2-3-1Coach: Javier Cabello
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.32
J. Posavec9.612J. Posavec
F. Karačić8.213F. Karačić
J. Gurlica6.92J. Gurlica
T. Triantafyllou7.34T. Triantafyllou
K. Čabrajić7.520K. Čabrajić
I. Katić6.68I. Katić
F. Fetai6.26F. Fetai
D. Vuković7.27D. Vuković
M. Lorber6.714M. Lorber
L. Belcar7.79L. Belcar
Lovre Kulušić7.911L. Kulušić
F. Kolić7.01F. Kolić
R. Hrvatin5.544R. Hrvatin
M. Nasraoui6.63M. Nasraoui
R. Kumar6.44R. Kumar
Niko Šepić6.713N. Šepić
D. Hodzic6.35D. Hodzic
G. Albarracín6.625G. Albarracín
E. Frederiksen5.822E. Frederiksen
D. Ahmeti5.820D. Ahmeti
N. Skafar Zuzic6.230N. Skafar Zuzic
Isaac5.99Isaac

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Substitutes

3M. Mitrović73'for Ivan katic7.0
24M. Marić73'for Dušan Vuković6.5
26M. Dardan
32L. Savatović
25P. Smiljanic
16Kayke
10M. Subotić
15Dominik Thaqi73'for Leon Belcar6.5
29J. Vasilj
5M. Čabraja77'for jakov gurlica7.0
28N. Đurković
18E. Atabaev90+1'for Feta Fetai

Istra 1961 Substitutes

27D. Celija61'for Niko Šepić6.4
11S. Goričan69'for Nik Skafar Zuzic6.9
94H. Jaganjac61'for Dukan Ahmeti6.7
50Roko Jenjić
34M. Kablar69'for Demirel hodzic6.0
66M. Momoh
40J. Paus-Kunšt
7V. Rozić88'for Isaac Aguiar Tomich6.3
24Ivano Svraka
23S. Ukich
39T. Brajkovic

Match Stats

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks10
0Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls9
1Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves4
330Total Passes418
241Passes Accurate337
7Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961Istra 1961
1546Elo Rating 1556
0.93Attack 1.89
2.17Defense 1.71
23%Hit Rate 54%
12.6Shots per Game 14.9
3.7Shots on Target 7.4
4.9Corners per Game 5.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Istra 1961Istra 1961
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Istra 1961Istra 19614Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL01/08/2026
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
23
HNL11/04/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
20
HNL30/01/2026
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
11
HNL25/10/2025
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
12
HNL09/08/2025
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
22
HNL03/05/2025
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
00
Cup04/03/2025
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
30
HNL28/02/2025
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
32
HNL01/12/2024
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
12
HNL14/09/2024
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
02

Referee Profile

Antonio Melnjak58 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antonio Melnjak4.73
Other referees4.36

4.73 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1172221:11+1023DWWLW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb961223:12+1119WLWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka952216:12+417WLWDW
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611134419:18+113DLWLW
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913WLWDL
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
9RudesRudes1131714:27-1310WLWDL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica111467:15-87DDLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1121:1123
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb923:1219
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka916:1217
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
6Istra 1961Istra 19611119:1813
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1114:2313
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
9RudesRudes1114:2710
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica117:157
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961 in the HNL table

Istra 1961 and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are close in the HNL table, 6th and 8th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 13-17, Istra 1961 19-18. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.