Oldham vs Cheltenham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 11
Boundary Park, Oldham 17/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseHighGap-6.5%
Oldham Rest
3 days
Cheltenham Rest
3 days
Oldham vs Cheltenham: result, form and history
Oldham beat Cheltenham 4-1 in the League Two on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Oldham have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.70
X26%3.83
222%4.38
Double Chance
1X78%1.19
X248%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.72
No47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1 = 2.51
Over 1.575%1.22
Over 2.552%1.77
Over 3.530%2.88
Under 1.525%3.80
Under 2.548%2.00
Under 3.570%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.562%1.47
Over 9.550%1.81
Over 10.538%2.27
Under 8.538%2.44
Under 9.550%1.88
Under 10.562%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.558%-
Over 4.538%-
Under 3.542%-
Under 4.562%-
Match Events
18'Shaun McWilliamsFoul
19'Calum KavanaghAssist: Favour fawunmi
24'Charlie McCannFoul
25'Jamie RobsonAssist: Favour fawunmi
41'Favour fawunmiAssist: Calum Kavanagh
45+1'Freddie willcox
60'Shaun McWilliams INK. Otchere out
70'Kane drummond INMike·Fondop-Talum out
75'George Miller INJake Bickerstaff out
76'Favour fawunmi INOliver Hammond out
81'Jamie RobsonAssist: Oliver Hammond
83'Tom Pett INKai Payne out
88'Jake Evans INFavour onukwuli out
Lineups
OldhamCheltenham
4-2-3-1Coach: S. CotterillAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Hudson
16W. Sutton
5D. Daniels
6E. Monthe
3J. Robson
8O. Norburn
7K. Appiah-Forson
15K. Drummond
4T. Pett
17F. Fawunmi
10C. Kavanagh
23W. Stanway
17S. McWilliams
6J. Wilson
25P. Sweeney
21G. Nurse
8C. McCann
33F. Willcox
19J. Evans
10G. Miller
26J. Shipley
18A. WeimannOldham Substitutes
9M. Fondop-Talum70'for Kane drummond
27O. Hammond76'for Favour fawunmi
21J. Hawkes
26Kai Payne83'for Tom Pett
24L. Temple
22Wilson Wilson
2G. Scott-Morriss
Cheltenham Substitutes
20Favour Onukwuli88'for Jake Evans
31M. Diallo
11J. Bickerstaff75'for George Miller
5R. Cundy
38Jack Robinson
9K. Otchere60'for Shaun McWilliams
36Archie Philip Hill
Match Stats
OldhamCheltenham 47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
6Fouls11
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
460Total Passes510
355Passes Accurate410
9Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
OldhamCheltenham1522Elo Rating 1491
1.84Attack 1.70
1.01Defense 0.54
42%Hit Rate 27%
15.1Shots per Game 9.2
4.1Shots on Target 3.4
3.8Corners per Game 5.1
1.6Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%
Game State Tendencies
Oldham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cheltenham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Oldham3Wins · 75%Draws00%
Cheltenham1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4
Previous meetings
17/01/2026OldhamCheltenham21
20/09/2025CheltenhamOldham03
26/01/2021CheltenhamOldham20
03/11/2020OldhamCheltenham21
Recent Form
Oldham3W2D5L
13/10/2026Oldham
Leeds United U21
10/10/2026OldhamLeeds United U2142
WOldham
Accrington ST00
D26/09/2026Oldham
Salford City
OldhamSalford City14
L22/09/2026Oldham
Fleetwood Town
19/09/2026OldhamFleetwood Town10
W
RochdaleOldham20
L12/09/2026Oldham
Chesterfield12
L05/09/2026
TranmereOldham
TranmereOldham20
L01/09/2026Fleetwood TownOldham
Fleetwood TownOldham11
D29/08/2026Oldham
Swindon Town
OldhamSwindon Town30
W22/08/2026
ColchesterOldham
ColchesterOldham21
LCheltenham5W3D2L
13/10/2026Cheltenham
Tottenham Hotspur U21
10/10/2026CheltenhamTottenham Hotspur U217262
WCheltenhamSalford City02
L03/10/2026Accrington STCheltenham
26/09/2026Accrington STCheltenham20
LCheltenhamChesterfield21
W22/09/2026Cheltenham
Exeter City
CheltenhamExeter City4232
W19/09/2026ColchesterCheltenham
12/09/2026ColchesterCheltenham11
D
Crawley TownCheltenham13
W05/09/2026Cheltenham
Grimsby
CheltenhamGrimsby22
D01/09/2026Cheltenham
York
29/08/2026CheltenhamYork32
W
BarnetCheltenham22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | +7 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | +8 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 19 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 6 | York | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | +6 | 17 | DDDWL |
| 7 |  Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 8 |  Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | WWLWD |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | +2 | 16 | WDWWL |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 15 | DWDWD |
| 12 |  Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 16 |  Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 | LLLLW |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 | DDLDD |
| 20 |  Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 23 |  Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 | LWDLL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York | 11 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 12 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 11:20 | 5 |
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This match
About the Oldham vs Cheltenham forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Oldham and Cheltenham in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Cheltenham are 5th and Oldham 21st, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Oldham 13-17, Cheltenham 21-22. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.