Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 6
The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Crawley Town Rest
6 days
Cheltenham Rest
6 days
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham: result, form and history
Cheltenham beat Crawley Town 3-1 in the League Two on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.37
X28%3.50
237%2.70
Double Chance
1X63%1.41
X266%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.57
No44%2.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.23 = 2.53
Over 1.575%1.19
Over 2.553%1.66
Over 3.530%2.57
Under 1.525%4.33
Under 2.547%2.15
Under 3.570%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.563%1.33
Over 9.554%1.61
Over 10.541%2.01
Under 8.537%2.83
Under 9.546%2.13
Under 10.559%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.556%-
Over 4.536%-
Under 3.544%-
Under 4.564%-
Match Events
7'Dylan MorganAssist: Danilo Orsi
32'Charlie McCann
35'Andreas WeimannAssist: Jordan Shipley
35'Dylan MorganDissent
42'Charlie BarkerFoul
45'Jake EvansFoul
54'Charlie McCannAssist: Andreas Weimann
64'Dion Pereira INPemi Aderoju out
67'Jude ArthursFoul
70'Jake Evans INRyan Broom out
70'Shaun McWilliams INFreddie willcox out
72'Priestley FarquharsonFoul
75'Danilo Orsi INGianmarco biase di out
75'Louie Watson INKlaudio Krasniqi out
78'Andreas Weimann INK. Otchere out
85'Jordan ShipleyFoul
86'Jordan Shipley INJames Wilson out
86'Ade Adeyemo INJonathan Russell out
87'Dylan Morgan INMalcolm Ebiowei out
Lineups
Crawley TownCheltenham
4-1-4-1Coach: S. CotterillAvg ratingAvg rating
13N. Michalski
2K. Gordon
6P. Farquharson
5C. Barker
22A. Adeyemo
19D. Pereira
20J. Arthurs
8L. Watson
17O. Kamara2727D. Morgan
9D. Orsi
23W. Stanway
3J. Tomkinson
5R. Cundy
25P. Sweeney
4J. Tomlinson
7B. Stevenson
19J. Evans
17S. McWilliams
8C. McCann
26J. Shipley
18A. WeimannCrawley Town Substitutes
11P. Aderoju64'for Dion Pereira
14G. Di Biase75'for Danilo Orsi
7M. Ebiowei87'replaced by Dylan Morgan
16J. Russell86'for Ade Adeyemo
31J. Izquierdo
25J. Fourcroy75'for Louie Watson
24A. Odimayo
Cheltenham Substitutes
21G. Nurse
33F. Willcox70'for Shaun McWilliams
6J. Wilson86'for Jordan Shipley
1J. Day
14R. Broom70'for Jake Evans
10G. Miller
9K. Otchere78'for Andreas Weimann
Match Stats
Crawley TownCheltenham 61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
2Offsides7
0Goalkeeper Saves5
478Total Passes326
368Passes Accurate221
11Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Crawley TownCheltenham1428Elo Rating 1501
1.82Attack 1.71
1.32Defense 1.15
14%Hit Rate 50%
13.3Shots per Game 8.9
6.4Shots on Target 3.0
4.1Corners per Game 4.3
1.5Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Crawley Town- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cheltenham- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Crawley Town2Wins · 50%Draws00%
Cheltenham2Wins · 50%
2Wins · 50%2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
04/01/2026CheltenhamCrawley Town30
13/09/2025Crawley TownCheltenham20
16/04/2021Crawley TownCheltenham10
10/10/2020CheltenhamCrawley Town20
Recent Form
Crawley Town3W1D6L
05/09/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
Accrington STCrawley Town32
L01/09/2026
NorthamptonCrawley Town
NorthamptonCrawley Town11
D29/08/2026Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
Crawley TownBristol Rovers02
L22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
RochdaleCrawley Town12
W15/08/2026Crawley Town
Crewe
08/08/2026Crawley TownCrewe01
L
WatfordCrawley Town10
L03/08/2026
YorkCrawley Town02
W31/07/2026Crawley Town
Reading
Crawley TownReading01
L28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town31
L25/07/2026
EastleighCrawley Town
EastleighCrawley Town01
WCheltenham3W2D5L
05/09/2026Cheltenham
Grimsby
CheltenhamGrimsby22
D01/09/2026CheltenhamYork
29/08/2026CheltenhamYork32
W
BarnetCheltenham22
D22/08/2026
Swindon TownCheltenham21
L15/08/2026Cheltenham
Rotherham21
W08/08/2026Cheltenham
Charlton13
L01/08/2026Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
CheltenhamMilton Keynes Dons02
L18/07/2026
Evesham UnitedCheltenham
Evesham UnitedCheltenham03
W02/05/2026Cheltenham
Colchester
CheltenhamColchester14
L25/04/2026Bristol RoversCheltenham
Bristol RoversCheltenham40
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 13:21 | 9 |
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About the Crawley Town vs Cheltenham forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Crawley Town and Cheltenham in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Cheltenham are 5th and Crawley Town 24th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Crawley Town 13-21, Cheltenham 23-25. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cheltenham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.