Pafos vs Riga Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseHighGap-8.1%
Pafos Rest
3 days
Riga Rest
4 days
Pafos vs Riga: the result in context
Pafos and Riga drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Oct 2026. Riga had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Pafos.
Riga tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.0 for Pafos.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.58
X21%4.03
224%5.30
Double Chance
1X76%1.16
X246%2.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.75
No48%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.39 = 2.64
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.555%1.73
Over 3.533%2.82
Under 1.523%4.06
Under 2.545%2.10
Under 3.567%1.40
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
46'A. Brito INI. Sunjic out
49'I. SunjicUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'J. Correia IND. Quina out
65'Anderson Silva INLele out
65'M. Diop INCaio Ferreira out
65'Reginaldo Ramires INM. Badamosi out
67'Caio FerreiraAssist: S. Oulad M'Hand
71'Guga INK. Sema out
76'BielAssist: K. Sema
78'R. Aouani INA. Cernomordijs out
87'K. SemaTripping
88'S. Oulad M'Hand INC. Saco out
90'M. Tonisevs
Lineups
PafosRiga
4-3-1-2Avg ratingAvg rating
99R. Majecki
7Bruno
3S. Mmaee
C4D. Luiz
14N. Ioannou
30V. Dragomir
50A. Brito
6Guga
77J. Correia
33A. Silva
20Biel
12K. Pirić
23M. Tonisevs
21B. Musah
5K. Gameni Wassom
C13R. Jurkovskis
22M. Diop
40A. Ankrah
7R. Aouani
8I. Siqueira Augusto
10R. Ramires
18S. Oulad M'HandPafos Substitutes
26Ivan Šunjić46'for A. Brito49'
8Domingos Quina61'for J. Correia
18Lelê65'for Anderson Silva
12Ken Sema71'for Guga87'
71Michalis Papastylianou
82Petros Petrou
72Kosmas Ioannou
60Christos Evzonas
Riga Substitutes
11Caio Ferreira65'for M. Diop67'
19Muhammed Badamosi65'for Reginaldo Ramires
34Antonijs Černomordijs78'for R. Aouani
44Marcis Kazainis
91Frenks Orols
6Coli Saco88'for S. Oulad M'Hand
15Samuel Pedro
25Abdulrahman Taiwo
Match Stats
PafosRiga 51%Ball Possession49%
10Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
402Total Passes389
330Passes Accurate334
82%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
PafosRiga1652Elo Rating 1763
0.95Attack 1.46
1.79Defense 2.50
34%Hit Rate 77%
8.0Shots per Game 17.5
5.0Shots on Target 8.0
2.0Corners per Game 5.2
-Cards per Game 1.1
Game State Tendencies
Pafos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Riga- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Pafos5W3D2L
19/10/2026Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
AtalantaPafosPafos
AEL
AEK LarnacaPafosPafos
OlympiakosPafos
Dinamo TiranaDinamo TiranaPafos
PafosApoel Nicosia00
D15/10/2026AtalantaPafos31
L11/10/2026
AnorthosisPafos
18/09/2026AnorthosisPafos13
WPafosAEL02
L13/09/2026AEK LarnacaPafos01
W07/09/2026PafosOlympiakos00
D03/09/2026
Omonia NicosiaPafos
Omonia NicosiaPafos01
W30/08/2026
KarmiotissaPafos
27/08/2026KarmiotissaPafos03
WPafosDinamo Tirana4222
W20/08/2026Dinamo TiranaPafos11
DRiga6W3D1L
18/10/2026Riga
Super Nova
15/10/2026RigaSuper Nova21
WRiga
Kairat Almaty11
D10/10/2026
TukumsRiga02
W03/10/2026
ArisRiga
19/09/2026ArisRiga12
W
FS JelgavaRiga01
W15/09/2026Super NovaRiga
11/09/2026Super NovaRiga01
WRiga
Auda22
D07/09/2026Riga
BFC Daugavpils11
D03/09/2026
Rīgas FSRiga
31/08/2026Rīgas FSRiga23
W
FK LiepajaRiga32
LReferee Profile
4.58Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).
Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafe
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagInter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea ClujBrann
FC Vaduz
FCSBAuda
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
Aluminij
VojvodinaAjax
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
PaksPanathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
LudogoretsBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriIFK GoteborgFlorianaDritaAtert BissenGyori ETO FCNeftchi BakuBaşakşehirVardar SkopjeRigaSpartak TrnavaCSKA 1948Železničar PančevoSC BragaHibernianAustria ViennaCFR 1907 ClujPanevėžysFK Tobol KostanayHJK HelsinkiColeraine FCFlora TallinnThe New SaintsDebreceni VSCApollon LimassolAEK LarnacaBeitar JerusalemRaków CzęstochowaValletta FCDunajska StredaVestriGaisFC NordsjaellandFC SionRapid ViennaZimbruFC NoahML VitebskSutjeskaUniversitatea ClujBrannFC VaduzFCSBAudaNK VarazdinFK JablonecAluminijVojvodinaAjaxPolessyaFC CopenhagenPaksPanathinaikosHapoel Tel AvivLudogoretsBorac Banja LukaPetrocubLNZ CherkasyGentFC LuganoDukagjiniŽilinaGKS KatowiceMotherwellHB TorshavnBravoKoperHNK RijekaDerry CityShelbourneFK PartizanValur ReykjavikZrinjskiExplore more predictions
This match
- Pafos Predictions
- Riga Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
About the Pafos vs Riga forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Pafos and Riga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.