Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction

Subaru Park, Philadelphia 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.58
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
Philadelphia Union Rest
7 days
CF Montreal Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.44
X
24%4.88
2
17%6.40
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
41%2.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.58
No
30%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.22 = 2.99
Over 1.5
89%1.13
Over 2.5
67%1.44
Over 3.5
43%2.13
Under 1.5
11%5.90
Under 2.5
33%2.70
Under 3.5
57%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.34
Over 9.5
51%1.61
Over 10.5
36%2.01
Under 8.5
41%3.00
Under 9.5
49%2.21
Under 10.5
64%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.39
Over 4.5
43%1.85
Under 3.5
37%2.83
Under 4.5
57%1.91

Match Events

3'Goal cancelledNeil Pierre
6'Jovan LukicFoul
14'Gennadiy SynchukFoul
24'Bruno DamianiFoul
29'Samuel PietteFoul
45'Jalen Neal INBrandan Craig out
56'Dawid BugajFoul
57'Danley Jean Jacques
68'Prince-Osei Owusu(Penalty missed)
69'Indiana Vassilev INQuinn Sullivan out
69'Jovan Lukic INJesus Bueno out
69'Gennadiy Synchuk INWikelman·Carmona out
69'Samuel Piette INVictor Loturi out
71'Kai WagnerArgument
73'Victor LoturiFoul
75'Cavan Sullivan
78'Luca Petrasso INDaniel Rios out
79'Alexis Sanchez INNoah Streit out
82'Milan Iloski INEzekiel Kwame Alladoh out
82'Cavan Sullivan INAlejandro Bedoya out
90+1'Bruno Damiani INMalik Jakupovic out
90'Jesus BuenoDissent

Lineups

Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan Richter
CF Montreal
4-3-3Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
A. Blake18A. BlakeA. Blake
F. Westfield39F. WestfieldF. Westfield
Neil Pierre44N. PierreNeil Pierre
N. Harriel26N. HarrielN. Harriel
K. Wagner27K. WagnerK. Wagner
Cavan  Sullivan6C. SullivanCavan Sullivan
D. Jean-Jacques21D. Jean-JacquesD. Jean-Jacques
J. Lukić4J. LukićJ. Lukić
I. Vassilev19I. VassilevI. Vassilev
M. Iloski10M. IloskiM. Iloski
B. Damiani9B. DamianiB. Damiani
S. Breza1S. BrezaS. Breza
D. Bugaj27D. BugajD. Bugaj
J. Neal2J. NealJ. Neal
B. Vera4B. VeraB. Vera
L. Petrasso13L. PetrassoL. Petrasso
F. Herbers21F. HerbersF. Herbers
S. Piette6S. PietteS. Piette
M. Longstaff8M. LongstaffM. Longstaff
H. Synchuk18H. SynchukH. Synchuk
P. Owusu9P. OwusuP. Owusu
A. Sánchez10A. SánchezA. Sánchez

Philadelphia Union Substitutes

5J. Sery LarsenD
16B. BenderM
11A. BedoyaM
23E. AlladohF
8J. BuenoM
51M. JakupovicF
33Q. SullivanM
14J. RafanelloM
76A. RickG

CF Montreal Substitutes

3B. CeballosD
5B. CraigD
29O. EscobarF
31T. GillierG
22V. LoturiM
14D. RíosF
17D. SealyF
16W. CarmonaM
23N. StreitM

Match Stats

Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots0
15Fouls8
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves6
435Total Passes423
312Passes Accurate326
72%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
CF MontrealCF Montreal
1698Elo Rating 1507
3.52Attack 0.87
2.69Defense 1.64
86%Hit Rate 27%
18.1Shots per Game 11.0
5.6Shots on Target 4.2
5.9Corners per Game 4.3
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1 in first half)
CF MontrealCF Montreal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Philadelphia Union 69%Draw 14%17% CF Montreal
3.64Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.64 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.