New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison· D. Fischer 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.75
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+12.0%
New York Red Bulls Rest
7 days
Philadelphia Union Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.94
X
25%3.88
2
40%2.15
Double Chance
1X
60%1.67
X2
65%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.36
No
37%2.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.33 = 2.77
Over 1.5
77%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.40
Over 3.5
36%1.99
Under 1.5
23%6.50
Under 2.5
40%2.95
Under 3.5
64%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.77
Over 10.5
39%2.26
Under 8.5
34%2.50
Under 9.5
47%1.96
Under 10.5
61%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
63%1.44
Over 4.5
36%1.91
Under 3.5
37%2.67
Under 4.5
64%1.83

Match Events

20'M. IloskiAssist: I. Vassilev
46'J. Ruvalcaba INE. M. Choupo-Moting out
50'C. SullivanAssist: D. Jean Jacques
64'I. Vassilev INQ. Sullivan out
64'N. PierreAssist: B. Damiani
67'M. Dos Santos INJ. Marshall-Rutty out
67'C. Cowell INC. Harper out
67'E. Forsberg INM. Sofo out
74'E. M. Choupo-MotingAssist: M. Sofo
79'R. Donkor
80'B. Damiani INA. Anello out
80'C. Sullivan INJ. Bueno out
84'D. Jean Jacques INE. Alladoh out
90+1'A. Anello
90+2'F. Westfield

Lineups

New York Red Bulls
4-2-3-1
Philadelphia Union
Coach: Ryan Richter

New York Red Bulls Starting XI

34Ethan HorvathG
12Dylan NealisD
2Justin CheD
14Julián BazánD
56Matthew Dos SantosD
48Ronald DonkorM
15Adri MehmetiM
11Jorge RuvalcabaM
10Emil ForsbergM
7Cade CowellM
16Julian HallF

Philadelphia Union Starting XI

18Andre BlakeG
39Frankie WestfieldD
44Neil PierreD
26Nathan HarrielD
27Kai WagnerD
6Cavan SullivanM
21Danley Jean JacquesM
4Jovan LukićM
19Indiana VassilevM
10Milan IloskiF
9Bruno DamianiF

New York Red Bulls Substitutes

13Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingF
3Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyD
17Cameron HarperF
37Mohammed SofoF
77John McCarthyG
5Omar ValenciaD
26Tim ParkerD
92Dennis NelichF
91Mijahir JimenezF

Philadelphia Union Substitutes

33Quinn SullivanM
8Jesus BuenoM
28Agustin AnelloF
23Ezekiel AlladohF
76Andrew RickG
2Geiner MartínezD
5Japhet Sery LarsenD
16Ben BenderM
14Jeremy RafanelloM

Match Stats

New York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box14
0Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots6
12Fouls13
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
444Total Passes314
361Passes Accurate223
81%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1529Elo Rating 1698
0.64Attack 3.52
2.19Defense 2.69
50%Hit Rate 86%
10.5Shots per Game 18.1
2.8Shots on Target 5.6
4.9Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York Red Bulls 23%Draw 0%77% Philadelphia Union
2.89Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

D. Fischer · 78 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 27% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami25129461:46+1545DDDWL
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2561:4645
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.89 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.