Austin vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 21
Q2 Stadium, Austin· Rodrigo Albuquerque, USA 23/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskHighGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.95SignalGOODModel40%RiskHighGap+8.4%
Austin Rest
2 days
Philadelphia Union Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%3.40
X28%3.65
233%2.03
Double Chance
1X67%1.75
X261%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.53
No32%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.36 = 2.91
Over 1.585%1.18
Over 2.564%1.61
Over 3.538%2.50
Under 1.515%4.70
Under 2.536%2.30
Under 3.562%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.47
Over 9.553%1.82
Over 10.538%2.25
Under 8.537%2.49
Under 9.547%1.89
Under 10.562%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.569%1.30
Over 4.555%1.69
Under 3.531%3.09
Under 4.545%2.09
Match Events
18'C. SullivanAssist: N. Harriel
21'B. Hines-IkeAssist: J. Rosales
38'J. Bueno
41'N. Pierre
57'I. Vassilev INQ. Sullivan out
57'J. Bueno INJ. Lukic out
63'J. Alastuey INF. Torres out
63'C. Ramirez INB. Vazquez out
72'J. Rosales INP. Placheta out
72'B. Hines-Ike INM. Desler out
74'C. Sullivan INA. Anello out
74'B. Damiani INE. Alladoh out
84'J. Gallagher INZ. Kolmanic out
90+3'M. Iloski INA. Bedoya out
90+6'E. Torres
Lineups
AustinPhiladelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan RichterAustin Starting XI
1B. StuverG
4B. Hines-IkeD
5O. SvatokD
29Guilherme BiroD
17J. GallagherM
38E. TorresM
14B. SabovicM
30J. RosalesM
24J. AlastueyF
21C. RamirezF
10M. UzuniF
Philadelphia Union Starting XI
18A. BlakeG
39F. WestfieldD
44N. PierreD
26N. HarrielD
27K. WagnerD
6C. SullivanM
21D. Jean JacquesM
8J. BuenoM
19I. VassilevM
10M. IloskiF
9B. DamianiF
Austin Substitutes
12D. LasG
15J. BellD
3M. DeslerD
23Z. KolmanicD
6I. SanchezM
77P. PlachetaM
11F. TorresF
7J. NelsonF
9B. VazquezF
Philadelphia Union Substitutes
76A. RickG
5J. Sery LarsenD
11A. BedoyaM
4J. LukicM
33Q. SullivanM
16B. BenderM
28A. AnelloF
23E. AlladohF
51M. JakupovicF
Match Stats
AustinPhiladelphia Union 56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
8Fouls13
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
479Total Passes384
403Passes Accurate319
84%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
AustinPhiladelphia Union1584Elo Rating 1698
1.29Attack 3.52
1.86Defense 2.69
44%Hit Rate 86%
9.6Shots per Game 18.1
2.2Shots on Target 5.6
4.8Corners per Game 5.9
2.6Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Austin- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Philadelphia Union- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 1 historical meeting
Austin 0%Draw 100%0% Philadelphia Union
4Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Austin4W0D1L
20/08/2026
Seattle SoundersAustinAustin
FC Dallas
Seattle SoundersAustin12
W17/08/2026AustinFC Dallas12
L14/08/2026
Club AmericaAustin
Club AmericaAustin5161
W10/08/2026Austin
Puebla
AustinPuebla30
W07/08/2026Austin
Club Tijuana
AustinClub Tijuana20
WPhiladelphia Union2W1D2L
20/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
Cruz AzulPhiladelphia Union
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami22
D17/08/2026New York City FCPhiladelphia Union23
W14/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Santos Laguna
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna02
L10/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Necaxa
07/08/2026Philadelphia UnionNecaxa31
WCruz AzulPhiladelphia Union10
LLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 |  San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | +15 | 46 | DDDDW |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
Austin vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Austin and Philadelphia Union have met 1 times recently, averaging 4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.