Austin vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseHighGap+8.4%
Austin Rest
2 days
Philadelphia Union Rest
3 days
Austin vs Philadelphia Union: result, form and history
Austin and Philadelphia Union drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. Austin had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 5.5 for Austin.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%3.40
X28%3.65
233%2.03
Double Chance
1X67%1.75
X261%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.53
No32%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.36 = 2.91
Over 1.585%1.18
Over 2.564%1.61
Over 3.538%2.50
Under 1.515%4.70
Under 2.536%2.30
Under 3.562%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.47
Over 9.553%1.82
Over 10.538%2.25
Under 8.537%2.49
Under 9.547%1.89
Under 10.562%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.569%1.30
Over 4.555%1.69
Under 3.531%3.09
Under 4.545%2.09
Match Events
18'C. SullivanAssist: N. Harriel
21'B. Hines-IkeAssist: J. Rosales
38'J. Bueno
41'N. Pierre
57'I. Vassilev INQ. Sullivan out
57'J. Bueno INJ. Lukic out
63'J. Alastuey INF. Torres out
63'C. Ramirez INB. Vazquez out
72'J. Rosales INP. Placheta out
72'B. Hines-Ike INM. Desler out
74'C. Sullivan INA. Anello out
74'B. Damiani INE. Alladoh out
84'J. Gallagher INZ. Kolmanic out
90+3'M. Iloski INA. Bedoya out
90+6'E. Torres
Lineups
AustinPhiladelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan RichterAustin Starting XI
1B. StuverC
4B. Hines-Ike21'72'replaced by M. Desler
5O. Svatok
29Guilherme Biro
17J. Gallagher84'replaced by Z. Kolmanic
38E. Torres90+6'
14B. Sabovic
30J. Rosales72'replaced by P. Placheta
24J. Alastuey63'replaced by F. Torres
21C. Ramirez63'replaced by B. Vazquez
10M. Uzuni
Avg rating
Philadelphia Union Starting XI
18A. BlakeC
39F. Westfield
44N. Pierre41'
26N. Harriel
27K. Wagner
6C. Sullivan18'74'replaced by A. Anello
21D. Jean Jacques
8J. Bueno38'57'replaced by J. Lukic
19I. Vassilev57'replaced by Q. Sullivan
10M. Iloski90+3'replaced by A. Bedoya
9B. Damiani74'replaced by E. Alladoh
Avg rating
Austin Substitutes
12D. Las
15J. Bell
3M. Desler72'for B. Hines-Ike
23Z. Kolmanic84'for J. Gallagher
6I. Sanchez
77P. Placheta72'for J. Rosales
11F. Torres63'for J. Alastuey
7J. Nelson
9B. Vazquez63'for C. Ramirez
Philadelphia Union Substitutes
76A. Rick
5J. Sery Larsen
11A. Bedoya90+3'for M. Iloski
4J. Lukic57'for J. Bueno
33Q. Sullivan57'for I. Vassilev
16B. Bender
28A. Anello74'for C. Sullivan
23E. Alladoh74'for B. Damiani
51M. Jakupovic
Match Stats
AustinPhiladelphia Union 56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
8Fouls13
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
479Total Passes384
403Passes Accurate319
84%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
AustinPhiladelphia Union1520Elo Rating 1708
1.19Attack 0.95
0.51Defense 1.87
19%Hit Rate 14%
13.1Shots per Game 16.4
4.6Shots on Target 5.6
5.5Corners per Game 8.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Austin- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Philadelphia Union- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Austin0Wins · 0%Draws1100%
Philadelphia Union0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
17/03/2024AustinPhiladelphia Union22
Recent Form
Austin6W0D4L
20/08/2026
Seattle SoundersAustinAustin
FC Dallas
Colorado RapidsAustin
Houston DynamoAustinAustinSeattle Sounders
Seattle SoundersAustin12
W17/08/2026AustinFC Dallas12
L14/08/2026
Club AmericaAustin
Club AmericaAustin5161
W10/08/2026Austin
Puebla
AustinPuebla30
W07/08/2026Austin
Club Tijuana
02/08/2026AustinClub Tijuana20
WColorado RapidsAustin10
L26/07/2026Houston DynamoAustin30
L23/07/2026AustinSeattle Sounders31
W08/07/2026Austin
Sporting JAX
AustinSporting JAX40
W03/07/2026Austin
Club Queretaro
AustinClub Queretaro01
LPhiladelphia Union5W2D3L
20/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
Cruz AzulPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Atlanta United FCPhiladelphia UnionSeattle SoundersPhiladelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami22
D17/08/2026New York City FCPhiladelphia Union23
W14/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Santos Laguna
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna02
L10/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Necaxa
07/08/2026Philadelphia UnionNecaxa31
WCruz AzulPhiladelphia Union10
L02/08/2026Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC32
W26/07/2026Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders10
W23/07/2026Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls31
W25/05/2026Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union64
L17/05/2026Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew11
DLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74:34 | +40 | 64 | WWWLW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:51 | +11 | 58 | WDLWD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 54 | WLLLL |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57:51 | +6 | 52 | LWDLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 51 | LLWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52:40 | +12 | 47 | LLDDW |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62:61 | +1 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 | WLLDD |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:52 | +1 | 45 | WLWWW |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56:58 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 44 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 | LLDWD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57:63 | -6 | 38 | LWLDD |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42:65 | -23 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40:81 | -41 | 26 | WDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 74:34 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 62:51 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 59:48 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 57:51 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 62:61 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 53:52 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 56:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 50:57 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 47:50 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 57:63 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 42:65 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 40:81 | 26 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:25 | +46 | 77 | WWDWD |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80:59 | +21 | 60 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55:47 | +8 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64:54 | +10 | 55 | LWDWL |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66:51 | +15 | 54 | DWWLD |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66:52 | +14 | 50 | WLDLD |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59:52 | +7 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:78 | -15 | 46 | WLDDW |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67:75 | -8 | 46 | LWDWW |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:62 | -14 | 42 | WLLWL |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49:45 | +4 | 42 | WDWDD |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52:67 | -15 | 39 | LLWLW |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37:69 | -32 | 26 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 71:25 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 80:59 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 55:47 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 64:54 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 66:51 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 66:52 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 59:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 63:78 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 67:75 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 48:62 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 49:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 52:67 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 43:60 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 37:69 | 26 |
Promotion
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About the Austin vs Philadelphia Union forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Austin and Philadelphia Union have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.