USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

World CupWorld World · Round of 32
CupKnockout
USA
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Levi's Stadium, San-Francisco· Raphael Claus, Brazil 02/07/2026
USAUSA
2-0
Finished
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.48
SignalSTRONGModel83%RiskMediumGap+11.3%
USA Rest
5 days
Bosnia & Herzegovina Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.36
X
22%5.00
2
11%8.70
Double Chance
1X
89%1.08
X2
33%3.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.91
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 0.93 = 2.67
Over 1.5
73%1.18
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
25%2.62
Under 1.5
27%4.45
Under 2.5
54%2.25
Under 3.5
75%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.49
Over 9.5
43%1.82
Over 10.5
32%2.33
Under 8.5
48%2.45
Under 9.5
57%1.92
Under 10.5
68%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.5
48%2.50
Over 4.5
27%3.88
Under 3.5
52%1.52
Under 4.5
73%1.25

Match Events

45'F. Balogun
51'A. Gigovic INE. Bajraktarevic out
51'I. Sunjic INB. Tahirovic out
51'E. Dzeko INE. Mahmic out
64'F. BalogunSerious foul
75'S. Kolasinac INH. Tabakovic out
75'N. Katic INA. Memic out
80'S. Barbarez
80'S. RadeljicHolding
82'M. Tillman
87'S. Dest INS. Berhalter out
88'C. Pulisic INR. Pepi out
90+5'W. McKennie ING. Reyna out

Lineups

USA
4-3-3Coach: Mauricio Pochettino
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5-3-2Coach: Sergej Barbarez
Matthew Freese24M. FreeseMatthew Freese
Alexander Freeman16A. FreemanAlexander Freeman
Chris Richards3C. RichardsChris Richards
Tim Ream13T. ReamTim Ream
Antonee Robinson5A. RobinsonAntonee Robinson
Weston McKennie8W. McKennieWeston McKennie
Tyler Adams4T. AdamsTyler Adams
Malik Tillman17M. TillmanMalik Tillman
Sergiño Dest2S. DestSergiño Dest
Folarin Balogun20F. BalogunFolarin Balogun
Christian Pulišić10C. PulišićChristian Pulišić
Nikola Vasilj1N. VasiljNikola Vasilj
Amar Dedić7A. DedićAmar Dedić
Nikola Katić18N. KatićNikola Katić
Tarik Muharemović4T. MuharemovićTarik Muharemović
Stjepan Radeljić21S. RadeljićStjepan Radeljić
Sead Kolašinac5S. KolašinacSead Kolašinac
Armin Gigović8A. GigovićArmin Gigović
Ivan Šunjić14I. ŠunjićIvan Šunjić
Kerim Alajbegović19K. AlajbegovićKerim Alajbegović
Edin Džeko11E. DžekoEdin Džeko
Ermedin Demirović10E. DemirovićErmedin Demirović

USA Substitutes

14Sebastian BerhalterM
9Ricardo PepiF
7Giovanni ReynaM
1Matt TurnerG
25Chris BradyG
12Miles RobinsonD
6Auston TrustyD
23Joe ScallyD
26Alex ZendejasF
11Brenden AaronsonM
18Maximilian ArfstenM
21Tim WeahF
19Haji WrightF

Bosnia & Herzegovina Substitutes

6Benjamin TahirovićM
26Ermin MahmićM
20Esmir BajraktarevićF
15Amar MemićM
23Haris TabakovićF
22Martin ZlomislićG
12Mladen JurkasG
24Arjan MalićD
2Nihad MujakićD
3Dennis HadžikadunićD
16Amir HadžiahmetovićM
17Dženis BurnićM
13Ivan BašićM
25Jovo LukićF
9Samed BaždarF

Match Stats

USABosnia & Herzegovina
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls13
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
415Total Passes446
346Passes Accurate364
83%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

USAUSA
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
1691Elo Rating 1521
2.01Attack 1.19
1.20Defense 1.15
54%Hit Rate 23%
11.1Shots per Game 12.4
3.5Shots on Target 4.6
5.1Corners per Game 4.6
1.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+170 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

USAUSA
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.6 in second half)
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

USAUSA
3W0D2L
26/06/2026
TürkiyeUSA
32
L19/06/2026
USAAustralia
20
W13/06/2026
USAParaguay
41
W
06/06/2026
USAGermany
12
L
31/05/2026
USASenegal
32
W
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
1W3D1L
24/06/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaQatar
31
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
L
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
29/05/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaFYR Macedonia
00
D

Referee Profile

Raphael Claus, Brazil · 5 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 6% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

Group D

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1USAUSA32018:4+46LWW
2AustraliaAustralia31112:204DLW
3ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
4TürkiyeTürkiye31023:5-23WLL
#TeamMPGPts
1USAUSA38:46
2AustraliaAustralia32:24
3ParaguayParaguay32:44
4TürkiyeTürkiye33:53

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. USA have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. USA and Bosnia & Herzegovina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.