Port Vale vs Chesterfield Prediction
England · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Port Vale vs Chesterfield: the result in context
Port Vale beat Chesterfield 1-0 in the League Two on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Chesterfield tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 3.8 for Port Vale.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Port Vale
Avg ratingAvg rating
20M. Maroši
25C. Humphreys
4J. Moon
5C. Hall
6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
10K. Dempsey
33G. Hall
8B. Garrity
3J. Headley
36M. Watters
11O. Hernández
23R. Boot
33R. Hutton
5K. McFadzean
6J. Simpson
19L. Gordon
20G. McEachran
8R. Stirk
24D. Markanday
18L. Marsh
31J. Randall
10L. BonisPort Vale Substitutes
Chesterfield Substitutes
Match Stats
Port ValeChesterfield Team Comparison
Port ValeChesterfieldAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Port Vale- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Chesterfield- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Port Vale1Wins · 33%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
22/09/2026ChesterfieldPort Vale
25/01/2025ChesterfieldPort Vale14/09/2024Port ValeChesterfieldRecent Form
Port ValePort Vale
GrimsbyPort Vale
Mansfield TownChesterfieldPort Vale
WalsallPort ValePort Vale
Exeter City
Salford CityPort Vale
Swindon TownPort ValePort Vale
CrewePort Vale
Tranmere
OldhamPort ValeChesterfield
Crawley TownChesterfieldChesterfieldTranmere
CheltenhamChesterfieldChesterfieldPort ValeChesterfield
YorkChesterfield
Manchester City U21OldhamChesterfieldChesterfield
BarnetChesterfield
Gillingham
RotherhamChesterfieldLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | +7 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | +8 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 19 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 6 | York | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | +6 | 17 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 8 |  Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | WWLWD |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | +2 | 16 | WDWWL |
| 11 |  Accrington ST | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 15 | DWDWD |
| 12 |  Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 16 |  Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 | LLLLW |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 19 |  Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 | DDLDD |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 23 |  Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 | LWDLL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York | 11 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 12 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 11:20 | 5 |
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This match
About the Port Vale vs Chesterfield forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Port Vale and Chesterfield in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Chesterfield are 9th and Port Vale 20th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Port Vale 6-10, Chesterfield 18-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Port Vale have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Chesterfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.