Crawley Town vs Chesterfield Prediction

Crawley Town
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
Broadfield Stadium, Crawley 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Crawley Town Rest
3 days
Chesterfield Rest
7 days

Crawley Town vs Chesterfield: result, form and history

Crawley Town and Chesterfield drew 2-2 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. Chesterfield had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Crawley Town.

Chesterfield tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 3.9 for Crawley Town.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.80
X
25%4.15
2
56%1.60
Double Chance
1X
45%2.21
X2
81%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.56
No
40%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.5 = 2.86
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.50
Over 3.5
39%2.30
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
41%2.40
Under 3.5
61%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
73%1.33
Over 9.5
64%1.61
Over 10.5
48%2.01
Under 8.5
27%2.83
Under 9.5
36%2.13
Under 10.5
52%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

23'Lee BonisAssist: Lewis Gordon
40'Akinwale Joseph Odimayo INNathan Tinsdale out
44'Kai JenningsFoul
56'Louie Marsh
59'Danilo Orsi INGianmarco biase di out
60'Stephen·Duke-Mckenna INOsman kamara out
61'Gianmarco biase di(Penalty)
64'Joel Randall INJosh Koroma out
65'Josh Koroma
66'Gianmarco biase diAssist: Dylan Morgan
76'Charlie Barker INJonathan Russell out
76'Lewis Richards INKellan Gordon out
80'Louie MarshDissent
83'Gianmarco biase diDissent
86'Louie Marsh INLiam Mandeville out
87'George McEachran INWill Grigg out
87'Dilan Markanday INKiano Dyer out
90'Dilan MarkandayFoul
90+4'Lewis GordonArgument
90+4'Jonathan RussellArgument

Lineups

Crawley Town
4-4-2Coach: Colin Kazım-Richards
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Cook
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.55
V. Mannone6.51V. Mannone
A. Odimayo6.724A. Odimayo
P. Farquharson6.26P. Farquharson
C. Barker6.35C. Barker
L. Richards6.612L. Richards
A. Adeyemo6.422A. Adeyemo
J. Arthurs5.920J. Arthurs
Kai Jennings6.230K. Jennings
S. Duke-McKenna5.910S. Duke-McKenna
2727D. Morgan
D. Orsi7.09D. Orsi
R. Boot6.123R. Boot
R. Hutton6.333R. Hutton
K. McFadzean7.05K. McFadzean
J. Simpson6.46J. Simpson
L. Gordon6.019L. Gordon
G. McEachran6.720G. McEachran
R. Stirk6.88R. Stirk
D. Markanday6.224D. Markanday
L. Marsh7.118L. Marsh
J. Randall6.531J. Randall
L. Bonis8.010L. Bonis

Crawley Town Substitutes

14G. Di Biase59'for Danilo Orsi61'66'83'8.2
2K. Gordon76'for Lewis Richards6.0
17Osman Kamara60'for Stephen·Duke-Mckenna6.5
13N. Michalski
16J. Russell76'for Charlie Barker90+4'5.7
28Nathan Tinsdale40'for Akinwale Joseph Odimayo6.4
8L. Watson

Chesterfield Substitutes

37J. Koroma64'for Joel Randall65'6.4
28W. Grigg87'for George McEachran6.5
26J. Eccleston
27K. Dyer87'for Dilan Markanday6.2
4T. Naylor
7L. Mandeville86'for Louie Marsh6.1
46T. Pearce

Match Stats

Crawley TownChesterfield
40%Ball Possession60%
1Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots21
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal12
10Shots Inside Box12
1Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots4
9Fouls13
5Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
309Total Passes469
212Passes Accurate365
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Crawley TownCrawley Town
ChesterfieldChesterfield
1428Elo Rating 1574
1.96Attack 1.46
0.78Defense 1.50
17%Hit Rate 17%
12.7Shots per Game 18.7
5.7Shots on Target 6.0
3.9Corners per Game 9.1
1.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Crawley TownCrawley Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ChesterfieldChesterfield
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Crawley TownCrawley Town0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
ChesterfieldChesterfield0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

League Two21/02/2026
Crawley TownChesterfield
11
League Two30/08/2025
ChesterfieldCrawley Town
22

Recent Form

Crawley TownCrawley Town
2W1D7L
06/10/2026
Crawley TownBromley
40
W
22/09/2026
Milton Keynes DonsCrawley Town
41
L
19/09/2026
GrimsbyCrawley Town
20
L
12/09/2026
Crawley TownCheltenham
13
L
05/09/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
32
L
01/09/2026
NorthamptonCrawley Town
11
D
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
W
15/08/2026
Crawley TownCrewe
01
L
08/08/2026
WatfordCrawley Town
10
L
ChesterfieldChesterfield
6W2D2L
03/10/2026
ChesterfieldTranmere
42
W
26/09/2026
CheltenhamChesterfield
21
L
22/09/2026
ChesterfieldPort Vale
4131
W
19/09/2026
ChesterfieldYork
20
W
15/09/2026
ChesterfieldManchester City U21
53
W
12/09/2026
OldhamChesterfield
12
W
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
29/08/2026
RotherhamChesterfield
21
L
22/08/2026
Salford CityChesterfield
01
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1063123:15+821LWWWW
3CreweCrewe1256115:11+421LWWWD
4WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1253421:22-118WLLLW
6YorkYork1145219:13+617DDDWL
7GillinghamGillingham1245317:14+317DLWDL
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1252513:17-417WWLWD
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1244418:16+216DLDWL
10Exeter CityExeter City124448:6+216WDWWL
11Accrington STAccrington ST1236317:16+115DWDWD
12Newport CountyNewport County1236316:15+115DDWDW
13TranmereTranmere1236315:15015WLDLD
14RochdaleRochdale1243515:17-215DLDWW
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1243513:16-315WDLLD
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1250716:20-415LLLLW
17GrimsbyGrimsby1235415:15014DLLLL
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1235414:15-114LWDLL
19ColchesterColchester1126311:14-312DDLDD
20Port ValePort Vale103346:10-412DWWLW
21OldhamOldham1132613:17-411LWDLL
22RotherhamRotherham1225514:20-611DLLLD
23NorthamptonNorthampton102446:8-210LWDLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1012711:20-95LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1023:1521
3CreweCrewe1215:1121
4WalsallWalsall1116:719
5CheltenhamCheltenham1221:2218
6YorkYork1119:1317
7GillinghamGillingham1217:1417
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1213:1717
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1218:1616
10Exeter CityExeter City128:616
11Accrington STAccrington ST1217:1615
12Newport CountyNewport County1216:1515
13TranmereTranmere1215:1515
14RochdaleRochdale1215:1715
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1213:1615
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1216:2015
17GrimsbyGrimsby1215:1514
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1214:1514
19ColchesterColchester1111:1412
20Port ValePort Vale106:1012
21OldhamOldham1113:1711
22RotherhamRotherham1214:2011
23NorthamptonNorthampton106:810
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1011:205
PromotionRelegation

About the Crawley Town vs Chesterfield forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Crawley Town and Chesterfield in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Chesterfield are 9th and Crawley Town 24th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Crawley Town 11-20, Chesterfield 18-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chesterfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Crawley Town and Chesterfield have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.