Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 33
Portland Timbers
3-1
90+9'
HT 1-0
Houston Dynamo
Providence Park, Portland·Drew Fischer
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
3-1
90+9'
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick Free pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
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SignalModelSurpriseGap
Portland Timbers Rest
4 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
4 days

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo in numbers

There is little to separate the two on recent form: Portland Timbers have won 2 of their last five and Houston Dynamo 1. The match is played in the Major League Soccer on 2 Nov 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.73
X
4.00
2
4.40
Double Chance
1X
1.20
X2
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.57
No
2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.21 = 3.04
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.58
Over 3.5
39%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.72
Under 2.5
40%2.30
Under 3.5
61%1.51
Corners
Over 8.5
1.44
Over 9.5
1.75
Over 10.5
2.22
Under 8.5
2.60
Under 9.5
2.00
Under 10.5
1.59
Cards
Over 3.5
1.49
Over 4.5
2.10
Under 3.5
2.54
Under 4.5
1.67
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Match Events

18'Ian SmithFoul
25'David Da CostaAssist: Vincent Janssen
36'Franco Negri INDuane Holmes out
40'Diadie SamassekouFoul
61'Agustin ReschFoul
62'Eric Izoita INCole Bassett out
65'Kristoffer VeldeAssist: Vincent Janssen
66'Lyle Foster INDuncan McGuire out
66'Ibrahim Aliyu INFelipe·De Andrade Vieira out
66'Artur INMatthew Arana out
71'Agustín BouzatAssist: Duncan McGuire
78'Vincent JanssenAssist: David Da Costa
82'Vincent Janssen INAlexander Aravena out
82'Ariel Lassiter INOmir Fernandez out
83'Duane Holmes INNick Markanich out
90'Jose Caicedo INJulio Joao Ortiz Landazuri out
90'David Da Costa INDiego Chará out
90+3'Diego CharáFoul

Lineups

Portland Timbers
4-1-4-1Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.24
J. Pantemis6.141J. Pantemis
R. Hernández6.312R. Hernández
F. Surman7.120F. Surman
J. Waterman7.22J. Waterman
Ian Smith6.423I. Smith
J. Caicedo6.530J. Caicedo
A. Lassiter6.77A. Lassiter
Eric Izoita6.673E. Izoita
David Pereira da Costa8.610D. Pereira da Costa
K. Velde8.099K. Velde
V. Janssen9.214V. Janssen
J. Bond6.431J. Bond
L. Ennali6.111L. Ennali
Lucas Halter6.55L. Halter
A. Resch5.934A. Resch
F. Negri5.621F. Negri
D. Samassékou6.218D. Samassékou
Artur6.96Artur
A. Ibrahim5.324A. Ibrahim
A. Bouzat7.630A. Bouzat
M. Bogusz6.619M. Bogusz
L. Foster6.49L. Foster

Portland Timbers Substitutes

17C. Bassett62'for Eric Izoita6.2
21D. Chará90'for David Da Costa90+3'
22O. Fernandez82'for Ariel Lassiter6.5
88Andrew Guerra
28A. Aravena82'for Vincent Janssen6.9
16S. Jura
15E. Miller
80J. Ortiz90'for Jose Caicedo
26H. Sulte

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

3Antônio Carlos
22M. Arana66'for Artur5.8
35Logan Erb
36Felipe Andrade66'for Ibrahim Aliyu5.9
26B. Gillingham
14D. Holmes36'for Franco Negri83'for Nick Markanich6.0
17N. Markanich83'replaced by Duane Holmes6.3
23D. McGuire66'for Lyle Foster6.5
37G. Rivera

Match Stats

Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box5
1Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots5
11Fouls12
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
434Total Passes511
376Passes Accurate454
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1590Elo Rating 1625
1.92Attack 1.44
1.25Defense 1.83
50%Hit Rate 27%
14.8Shots per Game 8.7
6.6Shots on Target 2.4
4.3Corners per Game 3.4
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer15/03/2026
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
32
Major League Soccer21/09/2025
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
10
Major League Soccer31/03/2025
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
31
Major League Soccer02/06/2024
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
22
Major League Soccer17/03/2024
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
10
Major League Soccer22/10/2023
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
13
Major League Soccer21/08/2023
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
50
Major League Soccer30/06/2022
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer17/04/2022
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
00
Major League Soccer04/09/2021
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
02

Recent Form

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
3W3D4L
29/10/2026
St. Louis CityPortland Timbers
23
W25/10/2026
Portland TimbersCharlotte
32
W18/10/2026
Portland TimbersColorado Rapids
00
D15/10/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
20
L11/10/2026
Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers
33
D27/09/2026
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
31
L20/09/2026
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC
01
L13/09/2026
FC DallasPortland Timbers
21
L10/09/2026
Portland TimbersSt. Louis City
22
D06/09/2026
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC
54
W
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2W6D2L
29/10/2026
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
01
W25/10/2026
Houston DynamoMinnesota United FC
00
D18/10/2026
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
22
D15/10/2026
San DiegoHouston Dynamo
33
D11/10/2026
Minnesota United FCHouston Dynamo
22
D27/09/2026
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City
02
L20/09/2026
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati
22
D13/09/2026
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
10
L10/09/2026
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
21
W06/09/2026
CharlotteHouston Dynamo
00
D

Referee Profile

Drew Fischer144 matches

4.10Cards per match
3.92Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Drew Fischer4.10
Other referees4.19

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861WWLWD
2FC DallasFC Dallas331510859:50+955DLWDW
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852WDLDD
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City331491058:48+1051LLLLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644WDDWL
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids331271446:47-143LDWDD
9Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3311101242:45-343LLDDL
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake331261551:51042LWWWD
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12San DiegoSan Diego339111357:62-538WLDDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
14AustinAustin338101542:63-2134LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3372:3461
2FC DallasFC Dallas3359:5055
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3356:4852
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3358:4851
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3349:5544
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3346:4743
9Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3342:4543
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3351:5142
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12San DiegoSan Diego3357:6238
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
14AustinAustin3342:6334
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3339:8123
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About the Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Houston Dynamo are 5th and Portland Timbers 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Portland Timbers 57-60, Houston Dynamo 42-39. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Portland Timbers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.