Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 26
Providence Park, Portland· I. Elfath 20/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28SignalSOLIDModel51%RiskMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.75SignalSTRONGModel66%RiskMediumGap+11.5%
Portland Timbers Rest
7 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.91
X25%3.95
225%3.42
Double Chance
1X75%1.28
X250%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes67%1.40
No33%2.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 1.35 = 3.30
Over 1.589%1.11
Over 2.571%1.42
Over 3.550%2.06
Under 1.511%6.00
Under 2.529%2.79
Under 3.550%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.567%1.38
Over 9.555%1.69
Over 10.539%2.04
Under 8.533%2.79
Under 9.545%2.09
Under 10.561%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.552%1.49
Over 4.533%2.10
Under 3.548%2.54
Under 4.567%1.67
Match Events
25'D. Chara
28'A. Miranchuk
34'T. Jacob INM. Edwards out
45+2'J. Waterman
45+2'Giuliano Galoppo
59'Antony INV. Janssen out
65'T. Muyumba
66'Giuliano Galoppo INC. Sanchez out
76'J. Fory INI. Smith out
76'D. Chara INJ. Ortiz out
77'C. Bassett INO. Fernandez out
83'T. Muyumba INA. Fortune out
83'P. Diaz INE. Mihaj out
86'R. Hernandez ING. Guerra out
Lineups
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Gerardo Martino
41J. PantemisJames Pantemis
12R. HernándezRonald Hernández
20F. SurmanFinn Surman
2J. WatermanJoel Waterman
27J. ForyJímer Fory
10D. Pereira Da CostaDavid Pereira Da Costa
21D. CharáDiego Chará
17C. BassettCole Bassett
7A. LassiterAriel Lassiter
11A. AlvesAntony Alves
99K. VeldeKristoffer Velde
1L. HoyosLucas Hoyos
55T. JacobTomás Jacob
27P. DíazPaulo Díaz
6J. AlonsoJunior Alonso
3E. BáezElías Báez
14M. AmaroMauricio Amaro
8T. MuyumbaTristan Muyumba
59A. MiranchukAleksey Miranchuk
11G. GaloppoGiuliano Galoppo
10M. AlmirónMiguel Almirón
36B. EmboloBreel EmboloPortland Timbers Substitutes
14Vincent JanssenF
23Ian SmithD
80Joao OrtízM
22Omir FernandezF
88Gage GuerraF
26Hunter SulteG
6Alex BonetigD
4Kamal MillerD
15Eric MillerD
Atlanta United FC Substitutes
47Matthew EdwardsD
48Cooper SanchezM
4Enea MihajD
35Ajani FortuneM
42Jayden HibbertG
16Adrian GillM
20Luke BrennanM
22Fafà PicaultF
19Sergio SantosF
Match Stats
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC 53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
4Fouls13
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
510Total Passes454
447Passes Accurate396
88%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC1616Elo Rating 1500
2.01Attack 1.13
0.75Defense 1.45
19%Hit Rate 14%
14.1Shots per Game 15.6
3.8Shots on Target 3.2
5.2Corners per Game 7.0
1.2Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.31 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Portland Timbers- No tendency data available
Atlanta United FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
Portland Timbers 46%Draw 0%54% Atlanta United FC
4.62Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Portland Timbers1W2D2L
Referee Profile
I. Elfath · 76 matches analysed
4.6Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
26.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 71% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 |  San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | +15 | 46 | DDDDW |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
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Key Factors for This Match
Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.62 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.