Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 26
Shell Energy Stadium, Houston· J. Marrufo 20/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30SignalSOLIDModel51%RiskMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.42SignalHIGHModel65%RiskMediumGap+6.8%
Houston Dynamo Rest
6 days
FC Cincinnati Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%2.00
X23%3.80
226%3.32
Double Chance
1X74%1.30
X249%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.49
No38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.16 = 2.90
Over 1.582%1.17
Over 2.561%1.55
Over 3.539%2.35
Under 1.518%5.00
Under 2.539%2.39
Under 3.561%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.561%1.47
Over 9.547%1.79
Over 10.537%2.20
Under 8.539%2.49
Under 9.553%1.91
Under 10.563%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.555%1.90
Over 4.535%2.75
Under 3.545%1.85
Under 4.565%1.42
Match Events
38'Guilherme
50'M. Bogusz(Penalty)
55'E. Echenique INB. J. Ramirez Leon out
55'O. Nwobodo INT. Barlow out
55'N. Hagglund INT. Hadebe out
68'A. Bouzat IND. Samassekou out
73'B. J. Ramirez LeonAssist: K. Denkey
82'L. Ennali INI. Aliyu out
82'H. Herrera INM. Arana out
85'P. Bucha INK. Smith out
88'G. Valenzuela INA. Jabbari out
90+5'Guilherme IND. McGuire out
90+7'K. Denkey(Penalty)
Lineups
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati
3-4-3Coach: Pat Noonan
31J. BondJonathan Bond
36F. AndradeFelipe Andrade
3A. CarlosAntônio Carlos
5L. HalterLucas Halter
21F. NegriFranco Negri
11L. EnnaliLawrence Ennali
6ArturArtur
16H. HerreraHéctor Herrera
19M. BoguszMateusz Bogusz
20GuilhermeGuilherme
30A. BouzatAgustín Bouzat
18R. CelentanoRoman Celentano
12M. RobinsonMiles Robinson
4N. HagglundNick Hagglund
11S. GidiSamuel Gidi
66E. EcheniqueEnder Echenique
20P. BuchaPavel Bucha
5O. NwobodoObinna Nwobodo
17K. Mboma DemKenji Mboma Dem
22G. ValenzuelaGerardo Valenzuela
9K. DenkeyKévin Denkey
10EvanderEvanderHouston Dynamo Substitutes
18Diadié SamassékouM
22Matthew AranaM
24Ibrahim AliyuF
35Logan ErbG
26Blake GillinghamG
37Gilberto RiveraD
14Duane HolmesM
23Duncan McGuireF
17Nick MarkanichF
FC Cincinnati Substitutes
15Teenage HadebeD
29Bryan RamirezD
16Tom BarlowF
24Kyle SmithD
99Ayoub JabbariF
13Evan LouroG
88Andrei ChirilaD
2Alvas PowellD
14Kristian FletcherF
Match Stats
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati 43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks7
7Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box15
2Shots Outside Box11
2Blocked Shots9
7Fouls13
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves0
427Total Passes554
370Passes Accurate512
87%Pass Accuracy92%
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati1653Elo Rating 1636
0.60Attack 1.26
2.22Defense 0.00
23%Hit Rate 14%
13.0Shots per Game 15.8
4.3Shots on Target 6.6
4.1Corners per Game 6.0
1.7Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Houston Dynamo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
FC Cincinnati- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
Houston Dynamo 0%Draw 46%54% FC Cincinnati
2.54Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo1W2D2L
Referee Profile
J. Marrufo · 51 matches analysed
3.4Avg Yellows
3.5Avg Cards
20.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 5% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 |  San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | +15 | 46 | DDDDW |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
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Key Factors for This Match
Houston Dynamo and FC Cincinnati have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.54 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.