Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 26
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Houston Dynamo Rest
6 days
FC Cincinnati Rest
7 days
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati: result, form and history
Houston Dynamo and FC Cincinnati drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee J. Marrufo averages 3.00 cards a game, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%2.00
X23%3.80
226%3.32
Double Chance
1X74%1.30
X249%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.49
No38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.16 = 2.90
Over 1.582%1.17
Over 2.561%1.55
Over 3.539%2.35
Under 1.518%5.00
Under 2.539%2.39
Under 3.561%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.561%1.47
Over 9.547%1.79
Over 10.537%2.20
Under 8.539%2.49
Under 9.553%1.91
Under 10.563%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.555%1.90
Over 4.535%2.75
Under 3.545%1.85
Under 4.565%1.42
Match Events
38'Guilherme
50'M. Bogusz(Penalty)
55'E. Echenique INB. J. Ramirez Leon out
55'O. Nwobodo INT. Barlow out
55'N. Hagglund INT. Hadebe out
68'A. Bouzat IND. Samassekou out
73'B. J. Ramirez LeonAssist: K. Denkey
82'L. Ennali INI. Aliyu out
82'H. Herrera INM. Arana out
85'P. Bucha INK. Smith out
88'G. Valenzuela INA. Jabbari out
90+5'Guilherme IND. McGuire out
90+7'K. Denkey(Penalty)
Lineups
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati
3-4-3Coach: Pat NoonanAvg ratingAvg rating
31J. Bond
36F. Andrade
3A. Carlos
5L. Halter
21F. Negri
11L. Ennali
C6Artur
16H. Herrera
19M. Bogusz
20Guilherme
30A. Bouzat
18R. Celentano
12M. Robinson
4N. Hagglund
11S. Gidi
66E. Echenique
20P. Bucha
5O. Nwobodo
17K. Mboma Dem
22G. Valenzuela
9K. Denkey
C10EvanderHouston Dynamo Substitutes
18Diadié Samassékou68'for A. Bouzat
22Matthew Arana82'for H. Herrera
24Ibrahim Aliyu82'for L. Ennali
35Logan Erb
26Blake Gillingham
37Gilberto Rivera
14Duane Holmes
23Duncan McGuire90+5'for Guilherme
17Nick Markanich
FC Cincinnati Substitutes
15Teenage Hadebe55'for N. Hagglund
29Bryan Ramirez55'for E. Echenique73'
16Tom Barlow55'for O. Nwobodo
24Kyle Smith85'for P. Bucha
99Ayoub Jabbari88'for G. Valenzuela
13Evan Louro
88Andrei Chirila
2Alvas Powell
14Kristian Fletcher
Match Stats
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati 43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks7
7Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box15
2Shots Outside Box11
2Blocked Shots9
7Fouls13
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves0
427Total Passes554
370Passes Accurate512
87%Pass Accuracy92%
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati1602Elo Rating 1637
1.25Attack 1.45
1.44Defense 2.09
23%Hit Rate 63%
7.8Shots per Game 12.5
1.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.9Corners per Game 3.4
2.6Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Houston Dynamo- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
FC Cincinnati- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Houston Dynamo0Wins · 0%Draws150%
FC Cincinnati1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
26/02/2023FC CincinnatiHouston Dynamo21
04/07/2021Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati11
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo6W2D2L
13/09/2026
San Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
CharlotteHouston DynamoHouston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas CityHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Austin
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo10
L10/09/2026Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake21
W06/09/2026CharlotteHouston Dynamo00
D30/08/2026Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes00
D23/08/2026St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo21
L20/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo01
W16/08/2026Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy10
W08/08/2026New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo02
W02/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo02
W26/07/2026Houston DynamoAustin30
WFC Cincinnati4W3D3L
13/09/2026FC CincinnatiCharlotte
Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati
Nashville SCFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Seattle SoundersFC Cincinnati
New York City FCFC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes
FC CincinnatiCharlotte33
D10/09/2026Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati50
L30/08/2026Nashville SCFC Cincinnati40
L23/08/2026FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders11
D20/08/2026FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
W16/08/2026
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati11
D12/08/2026FC Cincinnati
Atlas
FC CincinnatiAtlas12
L08/08/2026FC Cincinnati
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas20
W05/08/2026FC Cincinnati
CF Pachuca
02/08/2026FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca31
WFC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes42
WReferee Profile
3.00Cards per match
2.89Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
20.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.00 cards a match, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).
Cards come from 65 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74:34 | +40 | 64 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:51 | +11 | 58 | WDLWD |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 54 | WLLLL |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57:51 | +6 | 52 | LWDLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 51 | LLWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52:40 | +12 | 47 | LLDDW |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62:61 | +1 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 | WLLDD |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:52 | +1 | 45 | WLWWW |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56:58 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 44 | LWDDW |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 | LLDWD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57:63 | -6 | 38 | LWLDD |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42:65 | -23 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40:81 | -41 | 26 | WDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 74:34 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 62:51 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 59:48 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 57:51 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 62:61 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 53:52 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 56:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 50:57 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 47:50 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 57:63 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 42:65 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 40:81 | 26 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:25 | +46 | 77 | WWDWD |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80:59 | +21 | 60 | DWDLW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55:47 | +8 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64:54 | +10 | 55 | LWDWL |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66:51 | +15 | 54 | DWWLD |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66:52 | +14 | 50 | WLDLD |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59:52 | +7 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:78 | -15 | 46 | WLDDW |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67:75 | -8 | 46 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:62 | -14 | 42 | WLLWL |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49:45 | +4 | 42 | WDWDD |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52:67 | -15 | 39 | LLWLW |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37:69 | -32 | 26 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 71:25 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 80:59 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 55:47 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 64:54 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 66:51 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 66:52 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 59:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 63:78 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 67:75 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 48:62 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 49:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 52:67 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 43:60 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 37:69 | 26 |
Promotion
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This match
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- San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC 20/09/26
- CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew 20/09/26
- New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC 20/09/26
- DC United vs Charlotte 20/09/26
- Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy 20/09/26
- Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union 20/09/26
- FC Dallas vs Austin 20/09/26
- St. Louis City vs Toronto FC 20/09/26
About the Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Houston Dynamo and FC Cincinnati have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.