Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Shell Energy Stadium, Houston·Ramy Touchan, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.99
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Houston Dynamo Rest
4 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake: the result in context

Houston Dynamo beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Houston Dynamo had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Real Salt Lake.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Ramy Touchan averages 5.28 cards a game, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.94
X
28%3.70
2
28%3.65
Double Chance
1X
72%1.28
X2
56%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.62
No
37%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.04 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.71
Over 3.5
34%2.79
Under 1.5
22%4.20
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
68%1.43
Over 9.5
54%1.70
Over 10.5
40%2.10
Under 8.5
32%2.65
Under 9.5
46%2.03
Under 10.5
60%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.38
Over 4.5
45%1.82
Under 3.5
36%2.87
Under 4.5
55%1.93

Match Events

30'Diego LunaFoul
33'Juan AriasFoul
45'Lukas Engel INPhilip Quinton out
54'Héctor HerreraFoul
57'Guilherme AugustoAssist: Lawrence Ennali
67'Colin GuskeFoul
69'Agustín Bouzat INDiadie Samassekou out
70'Diego Luna INSaba Lobjanidze out
70'Jason Shokalook INLineker Rodrigues out
70'DeAndre Yedlin INAlexandros Katranis out
76'Saba LobjanidzeAssist: Lineker Rodrigues
80'Héctor Herrera INMatthew Arana out
80'Ibrahim Aliyu INDuncan McGuire out
87'Mateusz BoguszAssist: Guilherme Augusto
90+1'Lawrence Ennali INDuane Holmes out
90+1'Guilherme Augusto INNick Markanich out
90+1'Colin Guske INOwen Anderson out
90+5'Philip QuintonFoul

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-4-2Coach: Ben Olsen
Real Salt Lake
3-4-2-1Coach: P. Mastroeni
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.46
J. Bond6.931J. Bond
L. Ennali6.911L. Ennali
Lucas Halter6.95L. Halter
Antônio Carlos6.63A. Carlos
F. Negri6.321F. Negri
A. Bouzat6.530A. Bouzat
Artur6.96Artur
H. Herrera6.516H. Herrera
A. Ibrahim6.124A. Ibrahim
M. Bogusz8.219M. Bogusz
Guilherme9.020Guilherme
Rafael Cabral6.71R. Cabral
K. Henry6.63K. Henry
J. Arias6.121J. Arias
L. Engel6.14L. Engel
D. Yedlin6.42D. Yedlin
Colin Guske6.525C. Guske
N. Caliskan6.892N. Caliskan
J. Sanabria6.18J. Sanabria
A. Hezarkhani6.539A. Hezarkhani
D. Luna5.810D. Luna
Jason Shokalook6.213J. Shokalook

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

22M. Arana80'for Héctor Herrera6.2
26B. Gillingham
14D. Holmes90+1'for Lawrence Ennali
17N. Markanich90+1'for Guilherme Augusto
23D. McGuire80'for Ibrahim Aliyu6.4
34A. Resch
37G. Rivera
18D. Samassékou69'for Agustín Bouzat6.4
33Vinicius Silva

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

30O. Anderson90+1'for Colin Guske
98A. Katránis70'for DeAndre Yedlin6.2
70Lineker Rodrigues70'for Jason Shokalook6.8
12S. Lobzhanidze70'for Diego Luna76'7.9
77R. Mesalles
34L. Moisa
26P. Quinton45'for Lukas Engel90+5'6.3
31M. Stajduhar
76L. O'Gara

Match Stats

Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
52%Ball Possession48%
1Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls18
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
515Total Passes478
457Passes Accurate428
89%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1602Elo Rating 1596
1.25Attack 1.95
1.44Defense 1.93
23%Hit Rate 59%
7.8Shots per Game 17.8
1.6Shots on Target 6.3
3.9Corners per Game 5.8
2.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
Major League Soccer13/07/2025
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
10
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
12
Major League Soccer15/09/2024
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
41
Major League Soccer04/07/2024
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
32
Major League Soccer12/11/2023
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
4131
Major League Soccer07/11/2023
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
5141
Major League Soccer29/10/2023
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
21
Major League Soccer27/08/2023
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
03
US Open Cup24/08/2023
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
3111

Referee Profile

Ramy Touchan89 matches

5.28Cards per match
5.06Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ramy Touchan5.28
Other referees4.32

5.28 cards a match, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.32).

Cards come from 81 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Houston Dynamo are 5th and Real Salt Lake 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 43-43, Real Salt Lake 53-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.