Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Shell Energy Stadium, Houston· Ramy Touchan, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.99
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+6.5%
Houston Dynamo Rest
4 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.94
X
28%3.70
2
28%3.65
Double Chance
1X
72%1.28
X2
56%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.62
No
37%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.04 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.71
Over 3.5
34%2.79
Under 1.5
22%4.20
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
68%1.43
Over 9.5
54%1.70
Over 10.5
40%2.10
Under 8.5
32%2.65
Under 9.5
46%2.03
Under 10.5
60%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.38
Over 4.5
45%1.82
Under 3.5
36%2.87
Under 4.5
55%1.93

Match Events

30'Diego LunaFoul
33'Juan AriasFoul
45'Lukas Engel INPhilip Quinton out
54'Héctor HerreraFoul
57'Guilherme AugustoAssist: Lawrence Ennali
67'Colin GuskeFoul
69'Agustín Bouzat INDiadie Samassekou out
70'Diego Luna INSaba Lobjanidze out
70'Jason Shokalook INLineker Rodrigues out
70'DeAndre Yedlin INAlexandros Katranis out
76'Saba LobjanidzeAssist: Lineker Rodrigues
80'Héctor Herrera INMatthew Arana out
80'Ibrahim Aliyu INDuncan McGuire out
87'Mateusz BoguszAssist: Guilherme Augusto
90+1'Lawrence Ennali INDuane Holmes out
90+1'Guilherme Augusto INNick Markanich out
90+1'Colin Guske INOwen Anderson out
90+5'Philip QuintonFoul

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-4-2Coach: Ben Olsen
Real Salt Lake
3-4-2-1Coach: P. Mastroeni
J. Bond31J. BondJ. Bond
L. Ennali11L. EnnaliL. Ennali
Lucas Halter5L. HalterLucas Halter
Antônio Carlos3A. CarlosAntônio Carlos
F. Negri21F. NegriF. Negri
A. Bouzat30A. BouzatA. Bouzat
Artur6ArturArtur
H. Herrera16H. HerreraH. Herrera
A. Ibrahim24A. IbrahimA. Ibrahim
M. Bogusz19M. BoguszM. Bogusz
Guilherme20GuilhermeGuilherme
Rafael Cabral1R. CabralRafael Cabral
K. Henry3K. HenryK. Henry
J. Arias21J. AriasJ. Arias
L. Engel4L. EngelL. Engel
D. Yedlin2D. YedlinD. Yedlin
Colin Guske25C. GuskeColin Guske
N. Caliskan92N. CaliskanN. Caliskan
J. Sanabria8J. SanabriaJ. Sanabria
A. Hezarkhani39A. HezarkhaniA. Hezarkhani
D. Luna10D. LunaD. Luna
Jason Shokalook13J. ShokalookJason Shokalook

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

22M. AranaM
26B. GillinghamG
14D. HolmesM
17N. MarkanichF
23D. McGuireF
34A. ReschD
37G. RiveraM
18D. SamassékouM
33Vinicius SilvaD

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

30O. AndersonM
98A. KatránisD
70Lineker RodriguesF
12S. LobzhanidzeF
77R. MesallesD
34L. MoisaM
26P. QuintonD
31M. StajduharG
76L. O'GaraM

Match Stats

Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
52%Ball Possession48%
1Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls18
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
515Total Passes478
457Passes Accurate428
89%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1653Elo Rating 1545
0.60Attack 0.62
2.22Defense 1.02
23%Hit Rate 0%
13.0Shots per Game 12.5
4.3Shots on Target 5.1
4.1Corners per Game 5.2
1.7Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Houston Dynamo 17%Draw 0%83% Real Salt Lake
3.15Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
77%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Ramy Touchan, USA · 7 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
26.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 74% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.15 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.