Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction

Houston Dynamo
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Dallas
BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston·Victor Rivas 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseHighGap-3.8%
Houston Dynamo Rest
2 days
FC Dallas Rest
3 days

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas: result, form and history

Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. FC Dallas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Houston Dynamo.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.23
X
27%3.50
2
31%3.08
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
58%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.62
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.46 = 2.95
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.77
Over 3.5
33%2.90
Under 1.5
22%3.90
Under 2.5
45%2.05
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.7 = 10.8
Over 8.5
72%1.46
Over 9.5
62%1.75
Over 10.5
50%2.23
Under 8.5
28%2.61
Under 9.5
38%2.00
Under 10.5
50%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%1.66
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%2.19

Match Events

12'Christian CappisAssist: Daniel Job
27'Agustin ReschFoul
28'Franco NegriNot retreating
29'Petar Musa(Penalty missed)
49'Héctor HerreraAssist: Guilherme Augusto
59'Sebastien IbeaghaFoul
60'Diadie SamassekouFoul
61'Diadie Samassekou INIbrahim Aliyu out
61'Daniel Job INSantiago Moreno out
61'Patrickson Delgado INJoaquín Valiente Cioli out
69'Goal cancelledHerman Johansson
72'Lyle Foster INDuncan McGuire out
79'Herman Johansson INRan Binyamin out
87'Lawrence Ennali INDuane Holmes out
88'Guilherme Augusto INNick Markanich out
89'Bernard Kamungo INSamuel Sarver out
90'Lucas HalterFoul
90+4'Mateusz Bogusz(Penalty)
90+8'Mateusz BoguszFoul
90+11'Petar Musa(Penalty)
90+13'Samuel SarverViolent conduct

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-3-3Coach: Ben Olsen
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Coach: Eric Quill
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.55
J. Bond7.731J. Bond
L. Ennali6.511L. Ennali
Lucas Halter6.15L. Halter
A. Resch6.434A. Resch
F. Negri6.221F. Negri
D. Samassékou6.218D. Samassékou
Artur6.56Artur
H. Herrera8.216H. Herrera
M. Bogusz6.819M. Bogusz
L. Foster6.39L. Foster
Guilherme7.220Guilherme
Daniel6.142Daniel
S. Moore6.718S. Moore
S. Ibeagha6.125S. Ibeagha
N. Norris6.432N. Norris
H. Johansson6.214H. Johansson
Ramiro6.617Ramiro
C. Cappis7.612C. Cappis
B. Kamungo6.377B. Kamungo
P. Delgado6.38P. Delgado
D. Job7.57D. Job
P. Musa7.19P. Musa

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

17N. Markanich88'for Guilherme Augusto6.6
14D. Holmes87'for Lawrence Ennali6.0
26B. Gillingham
30A. Bouzat
22M. Arana
3Antônio Carlos
24A. Ibrahim61'for Diadie Samassekou6.9
23D. McGuire72'for Lyle Foster6.7
4M. Saracchi

FC Dallas Substitutes

21J. Valiente61'for Patrickson Delgado6.0
5L. Abubakar
6R. Binyamin79'for Herman Johansson5.9
33C. Holstad
10S. Moreno61'for Daniel Job7.1
28Samuel Sarver89'for Bernard Kamungo90+13'6.5
40J. Sirois
27Caleb Swann
3O. Urhoghide

Match Stats

Houston DynamoFC Dallas
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots6
13Fouls20
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
530Total Passes395
459Passes Accurate322
19Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
FC DallasFC Dallas
1611Elo Rating 1693
1.90Attack 1.32
0.77Defense 1.88
0%Hit Rate 39%
12.6Shots per Game 13.7
3.4Shots on Target 4.5
4.8Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
FC DallasFC Dallas4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer22/03/2026
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
43
Major League Soccer18/05/2025
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
02
Major League Soccer23/02/2025
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
12
Major League Soccer19/05/2024
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
11
Major League Soccer28/04/2024
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
20
Major League Soccer01/10/2023
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
00
Major League Soccer21/05/2023
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
11
Major League Soccer10/07/2022
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
22
Major League Soccer23/04/2022
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer19/09/2021
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
32

Referee Profile

Victor Rivas140 matches

4.76Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Rivas4.76
Other referees4.31

4.76 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC DallasFC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San DiegoSan Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14AustinAustin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3063:3155
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3056:4151
3FC DallasFC Dallas3055:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3052:4248
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3041:3947
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3039:3742
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3041:4139
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3045:4836
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3051:5634
12San DiegoSan Diego3053:5634
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3047:5534
14AustinAustin3038:5631
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3036:7522
Promotion

About the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas forecast

As a derby, this Major League Soccer meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer table

FC Dallas and Houston Dynamo are close in the Major League Soccer table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 41-39, FC Dallas 55-47. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Dallas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.