Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Primera División - AperturaUruguay Uruguay · Torneo Intermedio - 6
Progreso
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo 18/07/2026
ProgresoProgreso
1-0
Finished
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+6.4%
Progreso Rest
6 days
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.95
X
21%3.30
2
56%1.88
Double Chance
1X
44%1.85
X2
77%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.85
No
42%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.92 = 3.04
Over 1.5
82%1.33
Over 2.5
59%2.05
Over 3.5
36%3.75
Under 1.5
18%3.10
Under 2.5
41%1.72
Under 3.5
64%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'A. Ocampo(Penalty)
28'F. Tealde
35'A. Ocampo
41'A. Cougo
46'S. Cartagena ING. Lopez out
57'M. Copelotti INM. Juambeltz out
57'F. De Leon ING. Trasante out
58'A. Cougo
58'A. Cougo
61'A. Ocampo INF. Kidd out
64'S. Cardozo Coitinho
76'A. Requena
77'J. M. Ginzo INL. Ibanez out
77'S. Tormo INE. Mozzone out
77'E. Alvarez ING. Silva out
78'N. Lopez INI. Lemmo out
86'F. Tealde INH. Menosse out
86'G. Larrazabal INJ. Fernandez out
90+1'G. Silva
90+1'R. Cesar
90+6'H. Menosse

Team Comparison

ProgresoProgreso
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1419Elo Rating 1624
0.86Attack 1.64
1.52Defense 2.22
39%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

ProgresoProgreso
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Progreso 23%Draw 19%58% Deportivo Maldonado
2.19Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ProgresoProgreso
1W0D4L
11/07/2026
WanderersProgreso
20
L
07/06/2026
ProgresoAlbion FC
12
L
30/05/2026
DanubioProgreso
12
W
23/05/2026
ProgresoAtletico Torque
12
L
16/05/2026
JuventudProgreso
20
L
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
3W2D0L
11/07/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
11
D
06/06/2026
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
24
W
31/05/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoClub Nacional
30
W
24/05/2026
WanderersDeportivo Maldonado
11
D
18/05/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
31
W

League Table

Primera División - Apertura 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol27165644:22+2252DWWLW
2Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo281410435:22+1352WWWWD
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque27155747:31+1650WWWDL
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado28147742:27+1549WDWLW
5Club NacionalClub Nacional281341140:36+443WLLWD
6WanderersWanderers28127935:34+143LDWLW
7Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo28119837:27+1042DWWDL
8Central EspanolCentral Espanol281081030:33-338LDLWW
9Albion FCAlbion FC28971236:35+134LDLDW
10Cerro LargoCerro Largo28891128:30-233WLLLL
11JuventudJuventud28881232:38-632LWLLD
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting287111023:30-732LDLWW
13CerroCerro28951422:41-1932LLDDL
14Boston RiverBoston River28861427:38-1130LLDDL
15DanubioDanubio284131123:37-1425WDDLW
16ProgresoProgreso28641821:41-2022WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol2744:2252
2Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo2835:2252
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque2747:3150
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2842:2749
5Club NacionalClub Nacional2840:3643
6WanderersWanderers2835:3443
7Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo2837:2742
8Central EspanolCentral Espanol2830:3338
9Albion FCAlbion FC2836:3534
10Cerro LargoCerro Largo2828:3033
11JuventudJuventud2832:3832
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting2823:3032
13CerroCerro2822:4132
14Boston RiverBoston River2827:3830
15DanubioDanubio2823:3725
16ProgresoProgreso2821:4122

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol64401113110:56+54131DWWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional65371414116:69+47122WLLWD
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado28147742:27+1549WDWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6529201688:64+24107DWWDL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo6528211674:60+14105WWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque64281521101:82+1999WWWDL
7JuventudJuventud6526152477:77093LWLLD
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting6525182265:68-393LDLWW
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol281081030:33-338LDLWW
10Boston RiverBoston River6522192477:77085LLDDL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo6520222369:71-282WLLLL
12Albion FCAlbion FC28971236:35+134LDLDW
13CerroCerro6521162855:83-2878LLDDL
14WanderersWanderers6518202760:81-2174LDWLW
15DanubioDanubio6514262564:78-1468WDDLW
16ProgresoProgreso6516133659:101-4261WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol64110:56131
2Club NacionalClub Nacional65116:69122
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2842:2749
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6588:64107
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo6574:60105
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque64101:8299
7JuventudJuventud6577:7793
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting6565:6893
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol2830:3338
10Boston RiverBoston River6577:7785
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo6569:7182
12Albion FCAlbion FC2836:3534
13CerroCerro6555:8378
14WanderersWanderers6560:8174
15DanubioDanubio6564:7868
16ProgresoProgreso6559:10161

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LDWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013WLLWD
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612WDWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012WWWDL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38LWLLD
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26LDLDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WDDLL
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44WDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829WDWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028LDLDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DWWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDLWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WWWDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522WLLWD
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221LDLWW
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DWWDL
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LDWLW
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418WDDLW
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317WLLLL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617LLDDL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515LWLLD
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WDDLL
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque550014:4+1015WWWDL
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo641112:4+813DWWDL
3CerroCerro64118:7+113LLDDL
4Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo63218:5+311WWWWD
5PenarolPenarol53119:3+69DWWLW
6JuventudJuventud62317:5+29LWLLD
7Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado62226:5+18WDWLW
8Boston RiverBoston River62228:808LLDDL
9Club NacionalClub Nacional62226:7-18WLLWD
10WanderersWanderers62227:9-28LDWLW
11ProgresoProgreso62043:7-46WDDLL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo60515:6-15WLLLL
13Central EspanolCentral Espanol61233:7-45LDLWW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting61234:10-65LDLWW
15DanubioDanubio60331:7-63WDDLW
16Albion FCAlbion FC60064:11-70LDLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque514:415
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo612:413
3CerroCerro68:713
4Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo68:511
5PenarolPenarol59:39
6JuventudJuventud67:59
7Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado66:58
8Boston RiverBoston River68:88
9Club NacionalClub Nacional66:78
10WanderersWanderers67:98
11ProgresoProgreso63:76
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo65:65
13Central EspanolCentral Espanol63:75
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting64:105
15DanubioDanubio61:73
16Albion FCAlbion FC64:110
PromotionRelegation

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División - Apertura fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División - Apertura

ScorePredicts covers Uruguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.19 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.