Qarabag vs Twente Prediction
World · Play-offs
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+7.2%
Qarabag Rest
6 days
Twente Rest
6 days
Qarabag vs Twente: the result in context
Twente beat Qarabag 4-1 after extra time in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 27 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%3.00
X23%3.65
234%2.15
Double Chance
1X66%1.65
X257%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.54
No50%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.23 = 2.67
Over 1.573%1.20
Over 2.555%1.63
Over 3.531%2.50
Under 1.527%4.33
Under 2.545%2.20
Under 3.569%1.47
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 3.1 = 5.1
Over 3.560%1.37
Over 4.545%1.86
Under 3.540%2.60
Under 4.555%1.85
Match Events
22'R. ZerroukiTripping
23'B. LangaDiving
58'S. LobatoRoughing
59'Kady BorgesAssist: M. Qurbanly
70'S. Orjasaeter INM. Pjaca out
70'R. Propper INL. Vennegoor of Hesselink out
70'M. Qurbanly INC. Makreckis out
70'S. Lobato INPedro Bicalho out
76'B. Langa INDani Bolt out
79'M. PjacaAssist: W. Weghorst
86'Kady Borges INJ. Montiel out
90'M. JankovicRoughing
90+2'M. BrunsAssist: M. Pjaca
90+4'B. VarkonyiTripping
90+5'R. Nijstad INA. Adelgaard out
Extra Time0 - 2
91'D. Rots INT. van den Belt out
92'J. MouaddibFoul
94'W. WeghorstAssist: D. Weidmann
97'D. Weidmann INM. Kjolo out
106'M. JankovicUnsportsmanlike conduct
106'M. JankovicUnsportsmanlike conduct
106'W. WeghorstFoul
109'W. Weghorst INF. Thorvaldsen out
114'B. Huseynov INB. Mustafazada out
114'J. Mouaddib INH. Cabrayilzada out
114'Y. Taha
116'Y. TahaUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
QarabagTwente
4-2-3-1Coach: John van den BromAvg ratingAvg rating
23M. Zlomislić
2M. Silva
C55B. Hüseynov
4B. Várkonyi
5B. Langa
88S. Lobato
8M. Janković
21O. Kashchuk
20K. Borges
7J. Mouaddib
22M. Qurbanlı
1L. Unnerstall
28B. van Rooij
38M. Bruns
C3R. Pröpper
43R. Nijstad
42D. Weidmann
6R. Zerrouki
19Y. Taha
11D. Rots
27S. Ørjasæter
9W. WeghorstQarabag Substitutes
25Cebrail Makreckis70'for M. Qurbanly
35Pedro Bicalho70'for S. Lobato
18Dani Bolt76'for B. Langa
9Joni Montiel86'for Kady Borges
1Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
99Mateusz Kochalski
13Bahlul Mustafazada114'for B. Huseynov
32Hikmat Cabrayilzada114'for J. Mouaddib
49Ali Bashirov
Twente Substitutes
7Marko Pjaca70'for S. Orjasaeter79'
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink70'for R. Propper
29Aske Adelgaard90+5'for R. Nijstad
20Thomas Van den Belt91'for D. Rots
16Joël Drommel
22Remko Pasveer
12Guilherme Peixoto
24Krzysztof Kurowski
39Jip Meilink
4Mathias Kjølø97'for D. Weidmann
17Filip Thorvaldsen109'for W. Weghorst
26Benjamin Nagel
Match Stats
QarabagTwente 39%Ball Possession61%
0Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots24
1Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box11
4Blocked Shots10
21Fouls16
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
292Total Passes468
216Passes Accurate393
76%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
QarabagTwente1679Elo Rating 1877
0.78Attack 4.06
2.23Defense 2.28
14%Hit Rate 86%
-Shots per Game 23.4
-Shots on Target 9.7
-Corners per Game 7.7
-Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Qarabag- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Twente- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.6 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Qarabag1Wins · 100%Draws00%
Twente0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Qarabag5W1D4L
20/08/2026TwenteQarabag
CSKA SofiaQarabagQarabagCSKA Sofia
TwenteQarabag01
W17/08/2026Qarabag
Şamaxı FK
QarabagŞamaxı FK31
W13/08/2026Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagDynamo Kyiv20
W06/08/2026Dynamo KyivQarabag
30/07/2026Dynamo KyivQarabag10
LCSKA SofiaQarabag5040
L23/07/2026QarabagCSKA Sofia00
D16/07/2026
VestriQarabag
VestriQarabag03
W09/07/2026QarabagVestri
QarabagVestri30
W01/07/2026
Ferencvarosi TCQarabag
Ferencvarosi TCQarabag10
L01/07/2026Qarabag
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
QarabagMetalist 1925 Kharkiv26
LTwente3W2D5L
20/08/2026TwenteQarabagTwente
PEC Zwolle
Dunajska StredaTwente
HeerenveenTwenteFerencvarosi TCTwenteTwenteFerencvarosi TC
TwenteQarabag01
L16/08/2026TwentePEC Zwolle31
W13/08/2026Dunajska StredaTwente33
D09/08/2026HeerenveenTwente10
L06/08/2026TwenteDunajska Streda
TwenteDunajska Streda60
W02/08/2026
GenkTwente
30/07/2026GenkTwente21
LFerencvarosi TCTwente22
D24/07/2026
EmmenTwente
23/07/2026EmmenTwente03
WTwenteFerencvarosi TC12
L18/07/2026Twente
Gent
TwenteGent02
LReferee Profile
3.97Cards per match
3.75Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.97 cards a match, 0.47 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.50).
Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne
Brighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
Hradec Králové
SC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
Pafos
Getafe
Tromso
HNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabag
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwente
FC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
SC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FCDunajska StredaVestri
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea Cluj
Brann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
Aluminij
Vojvodina
Ajax
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
Paks
Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Borac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGent
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 | WDW |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | WWD |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 | WLW |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 | DLD |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | FC Thun | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Aarhus | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Qarabag Predictions
- Twente Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Qarabag vs Twente forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Twente have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Qarabag and Twente have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.