Racing Club vs Independiente Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Racing Club Rest
6 days
Independiente Rest
6 days
Racing Club vs Independiente: the result in context
Racing Club and Independiente drew 1-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.2 goals a game. Racing Club tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.3 for Independiente.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.20
X30%3.10
227%3.50
Double Chance
1X73%1.29
X257%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.99
No53%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 0.85 = 2.07
Over 1.564%1.45
Over 2.538%2.38
Over 3.519%4.47
Under 1.536%2.59
Under 2.562%1.56
Under 3.581%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.79
Over 9.547%2.29
Over 10.536%3.10
Under 8.541%1.93
Under 9.553%1.54
Under 10.564%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.7 = 5.1
Over 3.575%-
Over 4.558%-
Under 3.525%-
Under 4.542%-
Match Events
6'Juan BarinagaFoul
17'Matías ZarachoFoul
29'Matías Zaracho
45'Luciano Cabral INMatías Abaldo out
49'Mateo Ezequiel MartínezArgument
64'Gonzalo EscuderoFoul
65'Maximiliano Meza(Penalty)
72'Tomás Conechny INDuván Vergara out
72'Matías Zaracho INDiego Ulises·Ortegoza out
73'Matías Kranevitter INLeonel Pérez out
76'Juan Barinaga INEzequiel Cannavo out
78'Chimy Ávila INIván Morales out
78'Santiago Arias INLeonardo Godoy out
81'Lautaro Diaz INElías David Torres out
86'Nahuel Banegas INFacundo Zabala out
87'Iván MoralesFoul
89'Maximiliano Meza INLautaro Millán out
90+2'Leonardo GodoyFoul
90+3'Leonel PérezFoul
Lineups
Racing ClubIndependiente
4-3-3Coach: Jádson VieraAvg ratingAvg rating
25F. Cambeses
14J. Barinaga
38M. Martinez
43G. Escudero
19I. Rodríguez
11M. Zaracho
5M. Kranevitter
20G. Lodico
32L. Díaz
9A. Martínez
17T. Conechny
33R. Rey
4S. Arias
36S. Valdez
35J. Arrayago
5N. Banegas
16M. Perez
23I. Marcone
8M. Meza
7S. Montiel
6E. Ávila
10L. CabralRacing Club Substitutes
18A. Espino
24A. Fernández
23N. Colombo
40F. Fraga
16D. Ortegoza72'for Matías Zaracho
33L. Pérez73'for Matías Kranevitter90+3'
2M. Pérez
30M. Tagliamonte
46A. Tello
22E. Torres81'for Lautaro Diaz
7D. Vergara72'for Tomás Conechny
4E. Cannavo76'for Juan Barinaga
Independiente Substitutes
2F. Calderón
13J. Fedorco
29L. Godoy78'for Santiago Arias90+2'
32D. Martínez
77S. Mele
14Lautaro Millán89'for Maximiliano Meza
9I. Morales78'for Chimy Ávila87'
24J. Palais
30Tomás Parmo
34F. Tempone
22F. Zabala86'for Nahuel Banegas
19M. Abaldo45'for Luciano Cabral
Match Stats
Racing ClubIndependiente 53%Ball Possession47%
8Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
16Fouls9
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
403Total Passes370
306Passes Accurate262
76%Pass Accuracy71%
Team Comparison
Racing ClubIndependiente1623Elo Rating 1655
1.41Attack 0.94
1.44Defense 1.64
34%Hit Rate 17%
11.0Shots per Game 11.3
4.2Shots on Target 2.9
6.5Corners per Game 3.3
2.5Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
🔥Derby Match
Game State Tendencies
Racing Club- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independiente- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Racing Club3Wins · 33%Draws445%
Independiente2Wins · 22%
2Wins · 22%1.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9
Previous meetings
04/04/2026IndependienteRacing Club10
28/09/2025Racing ClubIndependiente00
16/03/2025IndependienteRacing Club11
25/08/2024Racing ClubIndependiente00
16/04/2023IndependienteRacing Club11
10/07/2022Racing ClubIndependiente10
20/03/2022IndependienteRacing Club12
09/08/2021IndependienteRacing Club10
11/04/2021Racing ClubIndependiente10
Clásico de AvellanedaFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Racing Club3W1D6L
12/10/2026Racing Club
Belgrano CordobaRacing Club
Boca JuniorsRacing Club
Sarmiento Junin
HuracanRacing Club
Independ. RivadaviaRacing ClubRacing ClubBoca JuniorsRacing ClubBelgrano Cordoba
Racing ClubBelgrano Cordoba02
L05/10/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoRacing Club
27/09/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoRacing Club12
WRacing ClubBoca Juniors23
L19/09/2026Racing ClubSarmiento Junin31
W14/09/2026HuracanRacing Club21
L07/09/2026Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
31/08/2026Racing ClubAtletico Tucuman12
LIndepend. RivadaviaRacing Club31
L24/08/2026Racing ClubBoca Juniors11
D20/08/2026Racing ClubBelgrano Cordoba10
W15/08/2026Racing Club
Banfield
Racing ClubBanfield01
LIndependiente3W3D4L
12/10/2026
Talleres CordobaIndependienteIndependiente
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa FeIndependienteIndependiente
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de SantiagoIndependienteIndependiente
Gimnasia M.IndependienteIndepend. Rivadavia
LanusIndependienteIndependiente
Platense
Talleres CordobaIndependiente00
D03/10/2026IndependienteInstituto Cordoba14
L19/09/2026Union Santa FeIndependiente12
W14/09/2026IndependienteSan Lorenzo11
D06/09/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoIndependiente01
W31/08/2026IndependienteGimnasia M.03
L22/08/2026IndependienteIndepend. Rivadavia00
D17/08/2026LanusIndependiente13
W13/08/2026Atletico TucumanIndependiente
09/08/2026Atletico TucumanIndependiente40
LIndependientePlatense01
LReferee Profile
5.27Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 229 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | DWWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | WDLWW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DWDLD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WLLDW |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | WLDWW |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DLLDD |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLWLD |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLD |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 29 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:14 | +7 | 24 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:13 | +5 | 24 | WLLWD |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | +7 | 23 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 20 | DWWLD |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | DWLLD |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 17 | DWDLD |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | LWLDD |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | LLDLD |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | WLWDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 13 | 18:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 16:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 7:12 | 17 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 12:20 | 9 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | +9 | 25 | LWLWD |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 22 | WLLDW |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:13 | +5 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | +1 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 | WWDDL |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 | DLLDD |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 | LLWLL |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 | LLWWD |
| 14 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 | LDLLL |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 20:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 13 | 17:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 13 | 14:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 11:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Huracan | 13 | 12:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 13 | 17:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 13 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Tigre | 13 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 14 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 13 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 14:22 | 8 |
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This match
About the Racing Club vs Independiente forecast
As a derby, this Liga Profesional Argentina meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Racing Club have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.