Independiente vs Platense Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina · Clausura - 4

Independiente

0-1

Finished

HT 0-0

Platense

Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires· Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina 09/08/2026

Independiente

0-1

Finished

Platense

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

4.4 / 10

AI Best Pick

59%Trust

1X2

Home Win

1.75

SignalSOLIDModel64%RiskMediumGap+1.9%

Value Analysis

71%Trust

Goals O/U

Over 1.5 Goals

1.50

SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+8.9%

Independiente Rest

5 days

Platense Rest

5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result

59%1.75

22%3.25

19%5.50

Double Chance

81%1.14

41%2.05

Both Teams to Score

Yes

47%2.30

53%1.55

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.56 + 0.78 = 2.34

Over 1.5

70%1.50

Over 2.5

47%2.55

Over 3.5

25%5.00

Under 1.5

30%2.50

Under 2.5

53%1.50

Under 3.5

75%1.15

Corners

Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5

Over 8.5

60%1.79

Over 9.5

46%2.22

Over 10.5

32%3.08

Under 8.5

40%1.95

Under 9.5

54%1.57

Under 10.5

68%1.30

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7

Over 3.5

69%-

Over 4.5

51%1.76

Under 3.5

31%-

Under 4.5

49%1.98

Match Events

15'Goal Disallowed - offsideG. Avalos

44'S. MontielFoul

46'M. Perez Curci INL. Millan out

49'I. VazquezFoul

64'F. Zapiola ING. Togni out

64'L. Heredia INK. Retamar out

65'G. Mainero

68'M. Abaldo INM. Meza out

77'L. Gimenez INH. Bobadilla out

84'K. LomonacoFoul

86'G. Mainero INN. Lopez out

86'I. Marcone INL. Cabral out

90+5'N. LopezDelay of game

Lineups

Independiente

4-2-3-1Coach: Gustavo Quinteros

Platense

4-2-3-1Coach: Walter Zunino

33R. ReyRodrigo Rey

4S. AriasSantiago Arias

13J. FedorcoJuan Fedorco

26K. LomónacoKevin Lomónaco

22F. ZabalaFacundo Zabala

16M. Perez CurciMateo Perez Curci

23I. MarconeIván Marcone

28M. GutiérrezMaximiliano Gutiérrez

7S. MontielSantiago Montiel

19M. AbaldoMatías Abaldo

9G. ÁvalosGabriel Ávalos

30J. CozzaniJuan Cozzani

25J. Ignacio SaboridoJuan Ignacio Saborido

13I. VazquezIgnacio Vazquez

31V. CuestaVíctor Cuesta

3T. Ariel SilvaTomás Ariel Silva

26P. FerreiraPablo Ferreira

24M. BarriosMartín Barrios

7G. MaineroGuido Mainero

23L. HerediaLeonardo Heredia

10F. ZapiolaFranco Zapiola

20L. GiménezLuciano Giménez

Independiente Substitutes

14Lautaro MillánM

8Maxi MezaF

10Luciano CabralM

77Santiago MeleG

21Fernando ClosterD

3Jonathan De IrastorzaD

35Juan Miguel ArrayagoD

38Luciano BarrosD

32David MartínezM

15Imanol MachucaF

18Facundo ValdézF

34Felipe TemponeF

Platense Substitutes

43Nicolás RetamarF

16Gastón TogniF

19Héctor BobadillaF

11Nico LópezF

22Nicolás SumavilG

32Santiago QuirosD

34Mateo MendiaD

4Agustín LagosD

18Bautista MerliniF

17Felipe BussioM

27Santiago DalmassoM

33Juan GautoF

Match Stats

IndependientePlatense

66%Ball Possession34%

13Corner Kicks1

2Yellow Cards2

19Total Shots8

5Shots on Goal2

10Shots off Goal6

13Shots Inside Box3

6Shots Outside Box5

4Blocked Shots1

12Fouls17

2Offsides0

1Goalkeeper Saves5

506Total Passes272

400Passes Accurate171

79%Pass Accuracy63%

Independiente

Platense

1671Elo Rating 1569

0.92Attack 0.61

2.01Defense 1.50

37%Hit Rate 0%

14.6Shots per Game 12.0

4.1Shots on Target 2.2

5.4Corners per Game 4.5

1.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+102 Elo

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Platense

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Independiente 50%Draw 36%14% Platense

1.77Avg Goals

34%BTTS Rate

37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

23/05/2026

Union Santa Fe

Independiente

10/05/2026

Rosario Central

Independiente

28/05/2026

Corinthians

Platense

20/05/2026

Santa Fe

Platense

Referee Profile

Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina · 31 matches analysed

6.1Avg Yellows

6.4Avg Cards

25.6Avg Fouls

Stricter than 100% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	LLWWD
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	DWDDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DWDWD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WDLWW
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	DWDLW
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	WWLDL
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	DDDWD
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DWWWD
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	LLDWW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	WDDDD
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	DDDLL
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	DDDWD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	WDLWD
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	DLLLD
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DDDDD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	14:14	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	24:20	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17:17	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5:12	11

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto Cordoba	9	6	1	2	10:6	+4	19	LLDWW
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13:11	+2	18	WDDDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	9	4	5	0	12:7	+5	17	DWDWD
4	Gimnasia M.	9	5	1	3	14:9	+5	16	DDDLL
5	Boca Juniors	9	3	5	1	12:11	+1	14	DWDDD
6	Independiente	9	4	2	3	8:7	+1	14	DWDLW
7	Lanus	9	4	1	4	11:8	+3	13	WWLDL
8	Union Santa Fe	9	4	1	4	16:14	+2	13	DWWWD
9	Newells Old Boys	9	3	4	2	10:8	+2	13	DLLLD
10	San Lorenzo	9	3	2	4	4:6	-2	11	DDDWD
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	3	1	5	9:9	0	10	LLWWD
12	Deportivo Riestra	9	2	3	4	8:10	-2	9	DDDDD
13	Platense	9	2	3	4	9:14	-5	9	DDDWD
14	Talleres Cordoba	9	2	2	5	10:14	-4	8	WDLWW
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7:13	-6	8	WDLWD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	9	10:6	19
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	13:11	18
3	Velez Sarsfield	9	12:7	17
4	Gimnasia M.	9	14:9	16
5	Boca Juniors	9	12:11	14
6	Independiente	9	8:7	14
7	Lanus	9	11:8	13
8	Union Santa Fe	9	16:14	13
9	Newells Old Boys	9	10:8	13
10	San Lorenzo	9	4:6	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	9:9	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	9	8:10	9
13	Platense	9	9:14	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	9	10:14	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	7:13	8

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

ScorePredicts covers Argentina football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Independiente and Platense have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.77 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Independiente vs Platense Prediction

AI Best Pick

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Independiente Substitutes

Platense Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Recent Form

Referee Profile

League Table

Apertura - Group A

Clausura - Group A