Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 4
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid 05/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap+2.6%
Value Analysis
50%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.12SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+6.6%
Rayo Vallecano Rest
4 days
Racing Santander Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%2.25
X28%3.42
222%3.20
Double Chance
1X78%1.36
X250%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.63
No46%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.03 = 2.68
Over 1.572%1.25
Over 2.548%1.83
Over 3.526%3.00
Under 1.528%3.77
Under 2.552%2.00
Under 3.574%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.565%1.40
Over 9.556%1.68
Over 10.547%2.10
Under 8.535%2.67
Under 9.544%2.08
Under 10.553%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.560%1.25
Over 4.541%1.57
Under 3.540%3.70
Under 4.559%2.36
Match Events
2'Óscar ValentínFoul
4'Sergio Canales
17'Andrei RațiuAssist: Sergio Camello
25'Yassir ZabiriFoul
28'Pablo García
35'Iñigo VicenteFoul
39'Sergio CamelloDissent
43'Sergio CamelloAssist: Unai López
47'Sergio CamelloAssist: Unai López
55'Manu Hernando INPablo Ramon Parra out
55'Matteo Prati INAndré Almeida out
55'Facundo González INJeanuël Belocian out
57'Sergio Camello INAlexandre Zurawski out
57'Óscar Valentín INGnangoro Bouare out
65'Jorge De Frutos INFrancisco Pérez Martínez out
66'Florian LejeuneFoul
74'Álvaro García INGeorgiy Tsitaishvili out
75'Adrià Pedrosa INIvan Balliu out
85'Francisco Pérez MartínezViolent conduct
89'Jorge De FrutosAbusive Language
90'Pablo García INJuan Carlos Arana out
90'Alvaro Mantilla INAarón Martin Caricol out
Lineups
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander
4-2-3-1Coach: José Alberto López
1D. CárdenasDani Cárdenas
2A. RațiuA. Rațiu
24F. LejeuneF. Lejeune
6P. CissP. Ciss
17A. PedrosaAdrià Pedrosa
8U. LópezUnai López
23Ó. ValentínÓscar Valentín
4P. DíazPedro Díaz
19J. de FrutosJorge de Frutos
10S. CamelloSergio Camello
18Á. GarcíaÁlvaro García
13J. AgirrezabalaJulen Agirrezabala
2Á. MantillaÁlvaro Mantilla
4M. HernandoManu Hernando
16F. GonzálezFacundo González
17J. SalinasJorge Salinas
23I. MartínIván Martín
18M. PratiM. Prati
15P. GarcíaPablo García
20S. CanalesSergio Canales
10I. VicenteIñigo Vicente
21M. ZabiriM. ZabiriRayo Vallecano Substitutes
9AlemãoF
25E. AuderoG
20I. BalliuD
36G. BouareM
26Marco de las SíasD
22Pelayo FernándezD
11R. NtekaM
21Fran PérezF
15Mujaid SadickD
14G. TsitaishviliF
37Rayane BelidF
Racing Santander Substitutes
24J. BelocianD
14M. GueyeM
7G. GuliashviliF
3Aarón MartínD
22Pedro FelipeD
38H. PerezF
5Pablo RamónD
6Íñigo Sainz-MazaM
12Asier VillalibreF
8André AlmeidaM
9Juan Carlos AranaF
1S. ErikssonG
Match Stats
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander 49%Ball Possession51%
9Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
16Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
15Fouls12
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
386Total Passes412
317Passes Accurate334
12Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander1783Elo Rating 1715
1.65Attack 1.86
0.04Defense 1.21
23%Hit Rate 46%
12.4Shots per Game 10.9
5.9Shots on Target 4.1
6.2Corners per Game 5.3
2.3Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Rayo Vallecano- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Racing Santander- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano1W1D3L
31/08/2026
BarcelonaRayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Alaves
SevillaRayo Vallecano
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano52
L20/08/2026Rayo VallecanoAlaves11
D15/08/2026SevillaRayo Vallecano21
L08/08/2026
IpswichRayo Vallecano
IpswichRayo Vallecano30
L01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
CharleroiRayo Vallecano23
WRacing Santander2W1D2L
28/08/2026Racing Santander
Elche
GetafeRacing SantanderRacing Santander
Villarreal
Racing SantanderElche32
W23/08/2026GetafeRacing Santander10
L16/08/2026Racing SantanderVillarreal22
D07/08/2026Racing SantanderAlaves
Racing SantanderAlaves6171
L07/08/2026Racing Santander
Sporting Gijon
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon41
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | +5 | 10 | LLWWD |
| 5 |  Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 9 | DWWDD |
| 8 |  Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | +2 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 13 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 14 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 | DDLWL |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 19 | Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 2 | LLLDD |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 2 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 5 | 21:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 17:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 5 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Alaves | 6 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 5 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 5 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 5 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 5 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 5 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Levante | 5 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia | 6 | 2:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga | 5 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 5 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 8:16 | 2 |
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Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About La Liga
ScorePredicts covers Spain football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.