Renate vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction

Renate
3-3
Finished
HT 2-0
Desenzano Calvina
Mino Favini, Meda·C. Papi 14/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Renate Rest
6 days
Desenzano Calvina Rest
5 days

Renate vs Desenzano Calvina: the result in context

Renate and Desenzano Calvina drew 3-3 in the Serie C - Girone A on 14 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.80
X
28%3.40
2
26%3.90
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
53%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.22 = 2.46
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.80
Over 3.5
29%2.95
Under 1.5
26%3.59
Under 2.5
50%1.90
Under 3.5
71%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'N. AnelliAssist: A. Delcarro
25'M. Suarez
42'N. Anelli
43'V. Millico
51'C. Riviera
53'C. Santini
55'C. Santini
63'L. Giorgi
67'J. Italeng INO. Karlsson out
68'K. Biondi
70'A. Procaccio INL. Lupano out
73'S. Dore INP. Ruiz Giraldo out
74'P. Ruiz Giraldo
75'C. Santini
79'V. Millico INS. Russini out
79'M. Parlato INP. Reggiori out
80'N. Anelli
83'L. Kerrigan INM. Tempre out
83'M. Suarez INM. Cali out
85'M. Moscati INL. Ubaldi out
85'L. Giorgi INF. Liberati out
90+5'
90+5'C. Santini(Penalty)

Team Comparison

RenateRenate
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
1464Elo Rating 1549
2.02Attack 0.87
2.14Defense 1.68
27%Hit Rate 37%

Game State Tendencies

RenateRenate
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union BresciaUnion Brescia1494128:12+1631WWWWL
2CittadellaCittadella13101219:6+1331DWLWW
3TrentoTrento1376019:7+1227WDWWW
4OspitalettoOspitaletto1474320:11+925WWDLL
5Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1473422:17+524WLDWL
6TrevisoTreviso1364314:9+522WLWWL
7LeccoLecco1355322:11+1120WWDWD
8AlcioneAlcione1446423:22+118LLWLW
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1445521:21017LLWDD
10PergolettesePergolettese1345414:15-117LLWWW
11LumezzaneLumezzane1344514:17-316WDLLD
12PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1344515:22-716WDWLL
13Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1435613:18-514DLLLL
14NovaraNovara1334611:18-713LWLDL
15Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1334616:26-1013DLWWL
16RenateRenate1426620:21-112DWWDL
17Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1326513:17-412DLWWD
18Juventus U23Juventus U231325612:23-1111LDLWD
19Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi1424810:23-1310LLLLL
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1315711:21-108DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Union BresciaUnion Brescia1428:1231
2CittadellaCittadella1319:631
3TrentoTrento1319:727
4OspitalettoOspitaletto1420:1125
5Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1422:1724
6TrevisoTreviso1314:922
7LeccoLecco1322:1120
8AlcioneAlcione1423:2218
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1421:2117
10PergolettesePergolettese1314:1517
11LumezzaneLumezzane1314:1716
12PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1315:2216
13Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1413:1814
14NovaraNovara1311:1813
15Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1316:2613
16RenateRenate1420:2112
17Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1313:1712
18Juventus U23Juventus U231312:2311
19Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi1410:2310
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1311:218
PromotionRelegation

About the Renate vs Desenzano Calvina forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C - Girone A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Renate and Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Desenzano Calvina are 13th and Renate 16th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Renate 20-21, Desenzano Calvina 13-18. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Renate and Desenzano Calvina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.