Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

Rizespor
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Fenerbahçe
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize·Ozan Ergun, Türkiye 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Rizespor Rest
19 days
Fenerbahçe Rest
7 days

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe: the result in context

Fenerbahçe beat Rizespor 3-0 in the Süper Lig on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fenerbahçe have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.54
X
23%4.00
2
58%1.68
Double Chance
1X
42%2.15
X2
81%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 2.17 = 3.20
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
61%1.64
Over 3.5
39%2.59
Under 1.5
18%4.40
Under 2.5
39%2.20
Under 3.5
61%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.45
Over 9.5
52%1.78
Over 10.5
43%2.17
Under 8.5
36%2.53
Under 9.5
48%2.00
Under 10.5
57%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.45
Over 4.5
51%1.90
Under 3.5
31%2.62
Under 4.5
49%1.85

Match Events

12'M. AsensioAssist: K. Akturkoglu
59'M. Asensio INI. Kahveci out
66'A. Kutucu INI. Doicaru out
72'Q. Laci INC. Bozdogan out
72'A. Mebude INE. Bulut out
80'V. Muriqi INR. Lukaku out
80'M. Greenwood INO. Aydin out
82'T. Antalyali ING. Borrelli out
83'I. KahveciAssist: O. Aydin
87'O. AydinAssist: R. Lukaku
88'K. Akturkoglu INK. Peprah out
88'M. Guendouzi INI. Yuksek out

Lineups

Rizespor
4-1-4-1
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating7.16
Yahia Fofana5.275Y. Fofana
Mithat Pala6.554M. Pala
Attila Mocsi6.24A. Mocsi
Modibo Sagnan6.793M. Sagnan
Zakaria Ariss6.017Z. Ariss
Taylan AntalyalıC7.714T. Antalyalı
Adedire Mebude6.911A. Mebude
Ibrahim Olawoyin6.910I. Olawoyin
Qazim Laci6.620Q. Laci
Ahmed Kutucu6.923A. Kutucu
Ali Sowe6.39A. Sowe
Ederson7.331Ederson
Nélson Semedo7.027N. Semedo
Milan ŠkriniarC7.337M. Škriniar
Nathan Aké7.215N. Aké
Archie Brown6.33A. Brown
N'Golo Kanté6.991N. Kanté
Mattéo Guendouzi7.76M. Guendouzi
Mason Greenwood6.911M. Greenwood
Marco Asensio7.710M. Asensio
Kerem Aktürkoğlu6.37K. Aktürkoğlu
Vedat Muriqi6.919V. Muriqi

Rizespor Substitutes

30Zafer Görgen
37Taha Şahin
5Tayyip Talha Sanuç
21Siaka Bakayoko
19Umut Erdem
70Can Bozdoğan72'for Q. Laci6.3
6Moussa Diakité
79Iustin Doicaru66'for A. Kutucu6.9
29Gennaro Borrelli82'for T. Antalyali
99Emrecan Bulut72'for A. Mebude6.6

Fenerbahçe Substitutes

17İrfan Can Kahveci59'for M. Asensio83'7.9
34Mert Günok
21Kojo Peprah Oppong88'for K. Akturkoglu
22Levent Mercan
70Oğuz Aydın80'for M. Greenwood87'8.2
5İsmail Yüksek88'for M. Guendouzi
28Bartuğ Elmaz
8Mert Hakan Yandaş
45Dorgeles Nene
9Romelu Lukaku80'for V. Muriqi6.7

Match Stats

RizesporFenerbahçe
50%Ball Possession50%
2Corner Kicks5
19Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots5
4Fouls6
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves5
454Total Passes458
383Passes Accurate373
84%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

RizesporRizespor
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
1649Elo Rating 1848
0.99Attack 2.85
1.24Defense 1.29
17%Hit Rate 54%
15.0Shots per Game 18.0
4.4Shots on Target 6.1
4.7Corners per Game 5.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RizesporRizespor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RizesporRizespor0Wins · 0%
Draws110%
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe9Wins · 90%
4.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig17/04/2026
FenerbahçeRizespor
22
Süper Lig23/11/2025
RizesporFenerbahçe
25
Süper Lig02/02/2025
FenerbahçeRizespor
32
Süper Lig25/08/2024
RizesporFenerbahçe
05
Süper Lig17/02/2024
RizesporFenerbahçe
13
Süper Lig01/10/2023
FenerbahçeRizespor
50
Türkiye Kupası19/01/2023
FenerbahçeRizespor
21
Süper Lig22/04/2022
RizesporFenerbahçe
06
Süper Lig05/12/2021
FenerbahçeRizespor
40
Süper Lig30/01/2021
FenerbahçeRizespor
10

Referee Profile

Ozan Ergun119 matches

5.15Cards per match
4.90Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ozan Ergun5.15
Other referees4.78

5.15 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.78).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
2GalatasarayGalatasaray861117:11+619WWLWW
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe851222:6+1616WWWDL
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor851218:5+1316WWWLW
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
6BeşiktaşBeşiktaş850316:10+615LWLWW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK841318:13+513WWLWW
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
11BaşakşehirBaşakşehir832312:12011WDWLL
12RizesporRizespor83148:11-310LLDWL
13GöztepeGöztepe823317:16+19WWDDL
14KonyasporKonyaspor92256:9-38WLDDW
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AmedAmed920:1020
2GalatasarayGalatasaray817:1119
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe822:616
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor818:516
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
6BeşiktaşBeşiktaş816:1015
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK818:1313
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
11BaşakşehirBaşakşehir812:1211
12RizesporRizespor88:1110
13GöztepeGöztepe817:169
14KonyasporKonyaspor96:98
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rizespor and Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Fenerbahçe are 3rd and Rizespor 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rizespor 8-11, Fenerbahçe 22-6. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fenerbahçe have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.