Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Fenerbahçe
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Beşiktaş
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul· H. U. Meler 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap-2.8%
Fenerbahçe Rest
5 days
Beşiktaş Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.81
X
26%3.75
2
21%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
47%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.64
No
45%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.14 = 2.80
Over 1.5
82%1.21
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.73
Under 1.5
18%4.15
Under 2.5
41%2.13
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
53%1.41
Over 9.5
40%1.69
Over 10.5
31%2.08
Under 8.5
47%2.69
Under 9.5
60%2.04
Under 10.5
69%1.69
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'Milan Škriniar
38'Ridvan YilmazAssist: Leandro Trossard
45'Emirhan TopçuFoul
45+1'Mason GreenwoodFoul
45'Ridvan Yilmaz INKassoum Ouattara out
45'İrfan Can Kahveci INKerem Aktürkoğlu out
52'Milan ŠkriniarArgument
52'Ederson Santana de MoraesDissent
53'Dušan VlahovićArgument
59'Václav ČernýFoul
64'Václav Černý INIlhan Fakili out
68'Oğuz Aydın INNene Dorgeles out
68'Vedat Muriqi INRomelu Lukaku out
73'Dušan VlahovićAssist: Orkun Kökçü
76'Junior Olaitan INWilfred Ndidi out
76'Mattéo GuendouziDissent
77'Emirhan Topçu INTiago Djaló out
84'Mattéo Guendouzi INIsmail Yüksek out
85'Dušan Vlahović INOh Hyeon-gyu out

Lineups

Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Coach: İ. Kartal
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Coach: V. Italiano
Ederson31EdersonEderson
Nélson Semedo27N. SemedoNélson Semedo
M. Škriniar37M. ŠkriniarM. Škriniar
N. Aké15N. AkéN. Aké
A. Brown3A. BrownA. Brown
M. Guendouzi6M. GuendouziM. Guendouzi
N. Kanté91N. KantéN. Kanté
M. Greenwood11M. GreenwoodM. Greenwood
İ. Kahveci17İ. Kahveciİ. Kahveci
O. Aydın70O. AydınO. Aydın
V. Muriqi19V. MuriqiV. Muriqi
A. Nübel1A. NübelA. Nübel
A. Murillo62A. MurilloA. Murillo
E. Agbadou12E. AgbadouE. Agbadou
E. Topçu53E. TopçuE. Topçu
R. Yılmaz33R. YılmazR. Yılmaz
S. Özcan6S. ÖzcanS. Özcan
V. Černý18V. ČernýV. Černý
J. Olaitan15J. OlaitanJ. Olaitan
O. Kökçü10O. KökçüO. Kökçü
L. Trossard19L. TrossardL. Trossard
D. Vlahović28D. VlahovićD. Vlahović

Fenerbahçe Substitutes

21K. Peprah OppongD
5İ. YüksekM
7K. AktürkoğluF
14Y. DemirD
28B. ElmazM
34M. GünokG
9R. LukakuF
22L. MercanD
18M. MüldürD
45N. DorgelesF

Beşiktaş Substitutes

80D. AlemdarG
22Taylan BulutD
35Tiago DjalóD
29I. FakiliF
8K. YılmazM
90S. KılıçsoyF
9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
11K. OuattaraD
17E. PokuF
4W. NdidiM

Match Stats

FenerbahçeBeşiktaş
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
3Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
18Fouls21
2Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves1
419Total Passes415
342Passes Accurate345
21Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
1841Elo Rating 1843
1.04Attack 2.44
2.24Defense 2.07
31%Hit Rate 69%
11.7Shots per Game 15.4
5.0Shots on Target 6.3
3.6Corners per Game 7.3
2.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fenerbahçe 46%Draw 0%54% Beşiktaş
2.24Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

H. U. Meler · 13 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
24.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 70% of referees analysed

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray541013:6+713WWWWD
2BeşiktaşBeşiktaş540112:4+812WWWLW
3AmedAmed531112:5+710WDWLW
4KasımpaşaKasımpaşa52307:5+29WDDWD
5RizesporRizespor53025:4+19WLWLW
6KocaelisporKocaelispor53025:4+19LWWWL
7Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK52217:5+28DWLWD
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor52216:5+18DWLWD
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor52129:5+47LWLWD
10Çorum FKÇorum FK521212:10+27WWLLD
11FenerbahçeFenerbahçe52128:6+27DLWWL
12Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.52125:9-47LLDWW
13SamsunsporSamsunspor51136:11-54LLLWD
14BaşakşehirBaşakşehir51136:11-54LLDLW
15Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK51132:11-94LWDLL
16KonyasporKonyaspor51044:8-43WLLLL
17EyüpsporEyüpspor51042:8-63LLWLL
18GöztepeGöztepe50239:13-42DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray513:613
2BeşiktaşBeşiktaş512:412
3AmedAmed512:510
4KasımpaşaKasımpaşa57:59
5RizesporRizespor55:49
6KocaelisporKocaelispor55:49
7Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK57:58
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor56:58
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor59:57
10Çorum FKÇorum FK512:107
11FenerbahçeFenerbahçe58:67
12Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.55:97
13SamsunsporSamsunspor56:114
14BaşakşehirBaşakşehir56:114
15Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK52:114
16KonyasporKonyaspor54:83
17EyüpsporEyüpspor52:83
18GöztepeGöztepe59:132
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Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş Prediction

This Süper Lig meeting between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Süper Lig

ScorePredicts covers Turkey football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.24 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.