Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul 10/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Fenerbahçe Rest
4 days
AS Roma Rest
4 days
Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma: result, form and history
Fenerbahçe and AS Roma drew 1-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%3.35
X26%3.52
244%2.10
Double Chance
1X56%1.71
X270%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.53
No45%2.41
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.73 = 3.08
Over 1.579%1.19
Over 2.556%1.65
Over 3.539%2.52
Under 1.521%4.50
Under 2.544%2.24
Under 3.561%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.7 = 9.2
Over 8.559%1.50
Over 9.541%1.87
Over 10.533%2.42
Under 8.541%2.36
Under 9.559%1.87
Under 10.567%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.563%1.32
Over 4.544%1.67
Under 3.537%3.18
Under 4.556%2.10
Match Events
39'Bryan CristanteAssist: Donyell Malen
47'Devyne RenschFoul
48'Archie BrownAssist: Mason Greenwood
51'Archie BrownFoul
53'Manu Koné INNiccolò Pisilli out
62'Bartuğ Elmaz INLevent Mercan out
69'Kerem AktürkoğluDissent
69'Penalty cancelledPaulo Dybala
71'Mert MüldürDissent
72'Vedat Muriqi INRomelu Lukaku out
72'Kerem Aktürkoğlu INOğuz Aydın out
74'Gianluca Mancini INLeonardo Balerdi out
74'Devyne Rensch INNahuel Molina out
74'Matias Soule INRodrigo Mora out
84'Ismail YüksekFoul
86'Bryan CristanteFoul
87'Donyell Malen INMarten de Roon out
Lineups
FenerbahçeAS Roma
3-4-2-1Coach: G. GasperiniAvg ratingAvg rating
31Ederson
18M. Müldür
37M. Škriniar
15N. Aké
3A. Brown
91N. Kanté
5İ. Yüksek
28B. Elmaz
11M. Greenwood
19V. Muriqi
7K. Aktürkoğlu
99M. Svilar
23G. Mancini
5E. Ndicka
22Hermoso
2D. Rensch
4B. Cristante
17M. Koné
43Wesley
21P. Dybala
18M. Soulé
14D. MalenFenerbahçe Substitutes
27Nélson Semedo
14Y. Demir
34M. Günok
17İ. Kahveci
9R. Lukaku72'for Vedat Muriqi
22L. Mercan62'for Bartuğ Elmaz
77O. MimoviÄ
45N. Dorgeles
21K. Peprah Oppong
13T. Çetin
70O. Aydın72'for Kerem Aktürkoğlu
AS Roma Substitutes
26L. Balerdi74'for Gianluca Mancini
9S. Castro
70G. De Marzi
15M. de Roon87'for Donyell Malen
87D. Ghilardi
95P. Gollini
3K. Koulierakis
77E. Lulli
20N. Molina74'for Devyne Rensch
61N. Pisilli53'for Manu Koné
86Rodrigo Mora74'for Matias Soule
Match Stats
FenerbahçeAS Roma 42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls19
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
441Total Passes615
368Passes Accurate554
18Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
FenerbahçeAS Roma1830Elo Rating 1933
1.99Attack 3.52
1.28Defense 0.85
41%Hit Rate 56%
15.4Shots per Game 16.6
5.2Shots on Target 6.8
4.1Corners per Game 5.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Fenerbahçe- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
AS Roma- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Fenerbahçe6W2D2L
05/09/2026Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
SamsunsporFenerbahçe
LyonFenerbahçeFenerbahçe
KonyasporFenerbahçeLyon
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Fenerbahçe
Sturm GrazFenerbahçeFenerbahçeSturm Graz
Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçeFenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
FenerbahçeBeşiktaş12
L30/08/2026SamsunsporFenerbahçe02
W26/08/2026LyonFenerbahçe12
W22/08/2026FenerbahçeKonyaspor42
W18/08/2026FenerbahçeLyon11
D15/08/2026Gençlerbirliği S.K.Fenerbahçe21
L11/08/2026Sturm GrazFenerbahçe01
W05/08/2026FenerbahçeSturm Graz20
W29/07/2026Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçe11
D21/07/2026FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze10
WAS Roma6W2D2L
05/09/2026AS Roma
Atalanta
LecceAS RomaAS Roma
Fiorentina
AS RomaAtalanta21
W31/08/2026LecceAS Roma04
W24/08/2026AS RomaFiorentina40
W15/08/2026
Borussia DortmundAS Roma
Borussia DortmundAS Roma22
D08/08/2026
BrightonAS Roma
BrightonAS Roma30
L04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
Newport CountyAS Roma14
W01/08/2026
CardiffAS Roma
CardiffAS Roma41
L26/07/2026
CannesAS Roma
CannesAS Roma33
D17/05/2026AS Roma
Lazio
AS RomaLazio20
W10/05/2026
ParmaAS Roma
ParmaAS Roma23
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | +15 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:7 | +6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | +13 | 9 | WWLW |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 9 | LWWW |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 9 | WWWL |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 9 | WLWW |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 9 | LWWW |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 | WWLW |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 8 | WDDW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 6 | WWLL |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 | WLLW |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 | WDLD |
| 20 | AS Roma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 | LLWD |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 4 | WLDL |
| 23 |  Atletico Madrid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 | LDWL |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 | DLWL |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 | WLLL |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 | LWLL |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 3 | LLWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 | LLWL |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 | LLWL |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 | LLWL |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:16 | -12 | 3 | LLLW |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 | DLLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:17 | -16 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 4 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 4 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting CP | 4 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 4 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bayern München | 4 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 | Lask Linz | 4 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 | Galatasaray | 4 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 4 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 | AS Roma | 4 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 | FC Porto | 4 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 | Napoli | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Villarreal | 4 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 | Sabah FA | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Lens | 4 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 | Slavia Praha | 4 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Lille | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Champions League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Fenerbahçe Predictions
- AS Roma Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Standings
- UEFA Champions League Stats 2026
- UEFA Champions League top scorers
- UEFA Champions League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Champions League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fenerbahçe and AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League table
Fenerbahçe and AS Roma are close in the UEFA Champions League table, 19th and 20th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Fenerbahçe 6-11, AS Roma 10-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fenerbahçe have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AS Roma have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Fenerbahçe and AS Roma have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.