San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 24
San Diego
2-3
Finished
HT 1-3
San Jose Earthquakes
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego· Alexis Da Silva, USA 10/09/2026
San DiegoSan Diego
2-3
Finished
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel67%RiskMediumGap+4.7%
San Diego Rest
4 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.75
X
25%4.20
2
22%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.25
X2
47%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.40
No
32%2.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.14 = 2.82
Over 1.5
79%1.10
Over 2.5
57%1.38
Over 3.5
35%1.97
Under 1.5
21%6.55
Under 2.5
43%2.95
Under 3.5
65%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.5
56%1.46
Over 9.5
45%1.79
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
44%2.55
Under 9.5
55%1.95
Under 10.5
67%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.51
Over 4.5
45%2.07
Under 3.5
36%2.38
Under 4.5
55%1.70

Match Events

3'N.TsakirisAssist: Beau Leroux
6'Penalty confirmedPreston Judd
7'Red card cancelledCarlos Joaquim dos Santos
7'Carlos Joaquim dos SantosFoul
8'N.Tsakiris(Penalty missed)
12'Preston JuddAssist: N.Tsakiris
13'Preston Judd
18'Christopher McVeyFoul
30'Preston Judd INOusseni Bouda out
35'Ousseni BoudaAssist: N.Tsakiris
37'Ousseni BoudaTime wasting
42'Anders DreyerAssist: Onni Valakari
45+2'Gabriel Pirani INAmahl Pellegrino out
45+3'Beau LerouxFoul
45'Aníbal Godoy INAlejandro Alvarado Jr out
45'Dagur Dan Þórhallsson INkieran sargeant out
45'Luka Jovanovic INEduard Löwen out
45'Reid Roberts INMax Floriani out
52'Jeppe TverskovDissent
67'Jack Jasinski INBenjamin Kikanovic out
67'Beau Leroux INRonaldo Vieira out
68'Onni Valakari INCédric Bakambu out
75'Max FlorianiFoul
80'Carlos Joaquim dos Santos
82'Alejandro Alvarado Jr INDuran Ferree out
88'Penalty confirmedCédric Bakambu
90+2'Max Floriani
90+4'Cédric Bakambu(Penalty)
90+5'Ronaldo VieiraDissent

Lineups

San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: B. Arena
C. dos Santos1C. dos SantosC. dos Santos
O. Verhoeven33O. VerhoevenO. Verhoeven
M. Duah26M. DuahM. Duah
C. McVey97C. McVeyC. McVey
D. Þór­halls­son3D. Þór­halls­sonD. Þór­halls­son
A. Godoy20A. GodoyA. Godoy
J. Tverskov6J. TverskovJ. Tverskov
Gabriel Pirani12G. PiraniGabriel Pirani
A. Dreyer10A. DreyerA. Dreyer
O. Valakari8O. ValakariO. Valakari
E. Achouri99E. AchouriE. Achouri
A. Gunn1A. GunnA. Gunn
D. Munie5D. MunieD. Munie
D. Romney4D. RomneyD. Romney
R. Roberts18R. RobertsR. Roberts
Jack Jasinski17J. JasinskiJack Jasinski
I. Harkes6I. HarkesI. Harkes
Beau Leroux34B. LerouxBeau Leroux
Vítor Costa87V. CostaVítor Costa
N. Tsakiris10N. TsakirisN. Tsakiris
L. Jovanović9L. JovanovićL. Jovanović
P. Judd19P. JuddP. Judd

San Diego Substitutes

70A. AlvaradoF
94C. BakambuF
21B. DukeM
18D. FerreeG
32I. MurphyD
90A. PellegrinoF
5Kieran SargeantD
19D. VazquezM
14B. B. ZambleF

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

23E. LöwenM
31Francesco MontaliG
2J. RickettsD
16J. SkahanM
14R. VieiraM
28B. KikanovicF
25M. FlorianiD
20N. FernandezM
7O. BoudaF

Match Stats

San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
53%Ball Possession47%
1Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards1
10Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls17
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
546Total Passes485
481Passes Accurate423
16Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

San DiegoSan Diego
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1589Elo Rating 1591
1.38Attack 1.29
0.60Defense 1.64
31%Hit Rate 50%
10.5Shots per Game 10.5
4.8Shots on Target 3.5
5.4Corners per Game 3.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend28% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

San DiegoSan Diego
  • No tendency data available
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

San Diego 28%Draw 0%72% San Jose Earthquakes
2.34Avg Goals
28%BTTS Rate
67%Over 2.5

Recent Form

San DiegoSan Diego
3W0D2L
06/09/2026
Orlando City SCSan Diego
10
L30/08/2026
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy
31
W23/08/2026
San DiegoColorado Rapids
30
W20/08/2026
Portland TimbersSan Diego
31
L16/08/2026
Los Angeles FCSan Diego
01
W
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
0W2D3L
06/09/2026
AustinSan Jose Earthquakes
11
D30/08/2026
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
00
D23/08/2026
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC
15
L20/08/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
10
L16/08/2026
San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
13
L

Referee Profile

Alexis Da Silva, USA · 21 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 72% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego25861142:42030LLLWW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2542:4230
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

San Jose Earthquakes have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. San Diego and San Jose Earthquakes have met 3 times recently, averaging 2.34 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.